I am Dr. of Pharmacy as well as I also have degree of MBA Management. In MBA Management we have studied the Statistical forecasting.
Statistical forecasting concentrates on using the past to predict the future by identifying trends and patterns.
So our spread sheet can be easily used for Statistical forecasting because this spread sheet is good sample of the active NOCs.
I am posting the yesterday conclusion with some corrections
Good News for 3131 and 631 Applicants
Titanic of 3131 and 0631 is not sinking till the 30th October and 15th November respectively
This is cleared from SS
SS states
Number of applications of 1122 received till the cap = 30
Number of applications of 3152 received till the cap = 30
( Too same )
Average of both = 30
3131 is not reached to 30 till now
At 31st October, the number of applications of 3131 received = 24
Similarly 0631 is not reached to 30 till now
At 11th October, the number of applications of 0631 received = 20
So the last updates were real one
Congratulations for all the applicants of 3131 and 0631
I appreciate the organizer of SS
Today I observed from the spread sheet that
100 % applications of 1122 were ready to post before 1st of July so they were posted to CIO till 12th of July .This means 100 % applicants were unable to reach in cap last year.
54 % applications of 3152 were ready to post before 1st of July so they were posted to CIO till
12th of July .This means 54 % applicants were unable to reach in cap last year. The remaining 46 % became able to post their applications next 8 days.
13 % applications of 3131 were ready to post before 1st of July so they were posted to CIO till 12th of July .This means 13 % applicants were unable to reach in cap last year. At 31st October 3131
reached 80 %.The remaining 20 % may be posted till 15th November.
10 % applications of 0631 were ready to post before 1st of July so they were posted to CIO till 12th of July .This means 10 % applicants were unable to reach in cap last year. At 11th October 0631 reached 66 %. The remaining 34 % may be posted till 25th November.
hi farrukh! Does this mean that noc 3131 has already reached its cap already last nov. 15 based on your analysis? As of nov 17 the cap is already at 491. My application was only received last nov 18 do you think there is stillna chance that my application be in before it reaches the 500 cap.
Thank you.
Conclusion:- The actual cap date of 3131 may remain between 1st to 15th November
and The actual cap date of 0631 may remain between 1st to 25th November.
The above all data is collected from spread sheet not from CIO updates.