This is exactly I see it. If you just look list of the candidates in the pool below as of Jan 18, things become more clear.
601-1200 202
451-600 796
441-450 1,420
431-440 4,439
421-430 4,323
411-420 5,020
With the high rate new profiles getting added this year, and the smaller rate of picking profiles in EE there isn't any chance of Ontario invites going to anyone less than 420 or 430 for that matter. Note that Ontario has only 6600 to offer for the whole year.
Ontario's requirement of having a min score of 400 is actually meaningless.
Doesn't matter. They won't go anywhere either unless they get nomination or job or somehow increasing the scores to 440+
Its a great disappointment. I don't like to sound pessimistic but data speaks it clear. People less than 420 CRS look for increasing the score or something. Don't sit on hopes.