I'm really curious about the pattern of our applications. Why did a lot of us receive medical and bio requests so early? I see a lot of people previously received medical and bio requests AFTER file transfer. Any insight?
I don't have any direct insight, but when you say people "previously" received medical and bio requests after file transfer, what period are you referring to? (When is the 'previous'?)
I took a glance at the 2019 tracker and vast majority seemed to receive biometric and med requests at roughly the same time, early, and my impression is not connected to visa office transfer. I haven't tried to do more detailed analysis to see if there's some commonality between those files where meds were requested much later. A very quick look at the 2018 tracker gives same impression, and no obvious change in the proportions.
I am guessing that the impression that something significant has changed in this case is driven by the board dynamics here more than CIC - specifically, that forum members stop posting in the thread for a given month after they are done the process (and likely many stop using the board or this forum completely, too). So as time goes on, those that continue to post are those whose files have taken longer for some reason, giving a distorted impression about procedures and percentages of those affected by some issue.
In other words those still posting about apps from > 12 months ago are likely disproportionately those whose apps have taken more than 12 months (and same would apply for other periods).
I think the stats term for this is survivorship bias, 'survivors' here being those whose apps take longer.
But I'm only guessing )