That 80% number has a condition. It's from the date of R10 check. If you read the September and October thread they are no longer doing MEP in 2 weeks. The time is now 3+ weeks. So they have already starting building buffer for their timelines. Also, not all 20% are from slow visa offices.Sometimes I get negative thoughts about “80% get PPR within 6 months” rule. What if rest of the 20% are all from slow VOs like Montreal?
But then a positive thought crossed my mind too - what if they start to accelerate now, just to meet their year-end targets?!
Bad day at work for me, so my brain is hooked to Canada dreams
Here is a back of napkin kind of calculation. As per the CIC data in 2017 56% of applications were either from Canada or USA (Residence country). Let's say 80% of all these application end up in Ottawa ... that is ~44% applications. And this number is very close to the %age of PPR we see in <4 months. And, if you see most people who get PPR <4 months are from Ottawa.
So, at a very basic level Ottawa does bulk of the work in 4 months. But good thing is to meet 80% other visa offices have to chip in. And hence I think Montreal will have to process our application in 6 months ... albeit with 2 week buffer for R10 check.
So you will have your PPR at max by second week of December.