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July draw predictions

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Ultraxion

Hero Member
May 10, 2022
258
190
canuck655 said:
There are people on that link who went from AOR to PPR between sept 21 and Jan 22. In fact most of the entries are of that case vs a long delay
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Things improved a bit since Sean is in office. If you are around here in H2 2021 you wouldn't say the same thing..
 
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Ultraxion

Hero Member
May 10, 2022
258
190
canuck655 said:
If they process the new apps in 3-4 months between AOR and PPR that would be quite the pleasant surprise...
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That's common practice for IRCC.. I remember IRCC recently scrached all visitor visa application before a certain date, saying those applications need to be resubmitted, while they continue to process applications submitted after that date.

Don't expect any logic or reason from them. Their backlog data shows that there are still cases pending decision for non-EE FSW, that is something before 2015..
 
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canuck655

Star Member
Aug 3, 2022
55
11
Ultraxion said:
That's common practice for IRCC.. I remember IRCC recently scrached all visitor visa application before a certain date, saying those applications need to be resubmitted, while they continue to process applications submitted after that date.

Don't expect any logic or reason from them. Their backlog data shows that there are still cases pending decision for non-EE FSW, that is something before 2015..
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I'm going to be applying now so hopefully they meet the standards. The data from that sheet seemed very optimistic (3-4 months AOR to PPR on average, not even 6 months)
 
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Ultraxion

Hero Member
May 10, 2022
258
190
canuck655 said:
I'm going to be applying now so hopefully they meet the standards. The data from that sheet seemed very optimistic (3-4 months AOR to PPR on average, not even 6 months)
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Best of luck mate! Things are definitely getting better. I have all faith in Mr. Fraser. He is gonna be the man who clean up the mess since pandemic.
 
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P

Phan Do

Full Member
Dec 17, 2019
29
4
Hi guys, for employment verification letter (foreign exp), does it matter if the date on the letter is from 2019? or I need to get a newer one? Thanks guys
 
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lumberjack23

Full Member
Mar 17, 2015
49
13
In 2 months, 2250+2500+2750+3000=10500 people are cleared, right now 500+ has slightly under 8000 people, and on Aug 2 there were 640 PNP, assuming that 1000 500+ people gets added between every draw, I think it is highly likely that in 5-6 draws 500+ gets cleared?
 
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canuck655

Star Member
Aug 3, 2022
55
11
lumberjack23 said:
In 2 months, 2250+2500+2750+3000=10500 people are cleared, right now 500+ has slightly under 8000 people, and on Aug 2 there were 640 PNP, assuming that 1000 500+ people gets added between every draw, I think it is highly likely that in 5-6 draws 500+ gets cleared?
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500-600 has 8000 people with score 533 or less after 3rd Aug, 600-1200 will have 600 again.
If they pick 2250 then 1500 people will be from the 500-600 pool. Hopefully score can drop to low 520s otherwise it will be frustrating
 
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lumberjack23

Full Member
Mar 17, 2015
49
13
canuck655 said:
500-600 has 8000 people with score 533 or less after 3rd Aug, 600-1200 will have 600 again.
If they pick 2250 then 1500 people will be from the 500-600 pool. Hopefully score can drop to low 520s otherwise it will be frustrating
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do you know how many 500-600 typically enter the pool each draw? People were saying July was an anomaly which I agree with, usually students start working around may - july and lots of people didn't enter the pool until they reopened.
 
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canuck655

Star Member
Aug 3, 2022
55
11
lumberjack23 said:
do you know how many 500-600 typically enter the pool each draw? People were saying July was an anomaly which I agree with, usually students start working around may - july and lots of people didn't enter the pool until they reopened.
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Not very certain. Maybe 1000 new ones will enter again? I'm in the low 520s but still a bit scared on the outcomes.
 
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raghavgrover

Star Member
Jul 26, 2019
186
57
raghavgrover said:
I have a question guys- I have an lmia exempt work permit and a job offer from the employer for Toronto location which is what is in the EE profile. Let’s say I get an ITA, will I be able to change the location of intended employment after the ITA as my company is thinking to transfer me to Calgary and I don’t want to update it right away unless it’s 100% sure and I get a renewed job offer letter.
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Anyone?
 
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Pujaholy

Full Member
Apr 1, 2021
23
8
I am in the pool right now. I completed one year of full time job in Canada, so I applied through CEC stream. My score is 439, right now. I am waiting for ITA which I think will take time for me to receive one considering my score. But in September, I am going to India and planning to come back in December end. My only concern is that if I get ITA then after submitting all the documents (which are all ready) I may get passport request. If that happens, is it okay to send the passport to Canada from India? After stamping, will they send the passport to Indian address? I really don't want to go back to India before end of December. Really worried. What do you guys think I should do? Anyone faced similar kind of situation before?
 
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