July 01, 2011 FSW Applicants_MI 3

[takemblues]

my address reappeared as well ;D. ecas same as before

mine disappeared on 7th nov and reappeared on 10th, INSHALLAH we will get RBVO soon.

 

[msamoh]

mine disappeared on 7th nov and reappeared on 10th, INSHALLAH we will get RBVO soon.

mine the same ..I hope so..

 

[Your Highness]

Dear PRapp,

Thanks for sharing your analysis.

My analysis goes like this. Till Aug 16th the average appl per day was 1.11. From Aug 22nd to 31st Oct is was 4 per day. From the last 2 updates (7th Nov and 10th Nov) the same has gone up to 5 per day, which is alarming.

Days remaining from 19th Aug to 14th Sep = 27
No. of applications yet to be filled is 500-381=119
So the average that will see us thru would be 4.4

So assuming they are still on 18th Aug, if the average remains at 4 per day, we will still make it. But if the average continues at 5 per day, then it's a no go for us.

What do think of this? Do share your views.

Your Highness,

I do my analysis like this. in 7 weeks ( till Aug 15) 0631 reached 380. So roughly 54 apps per week. I have checked last 3 weeks, the average apps per week has fallen to 30. And which is true also because more applications were there in July. If the average remains 30 0631 will close in 15th Aug + 4 weeks, around 12th September. However I am hoping average per week should fall and hence it might close around 20th September.

So I am hoping from now on it should be less than 4 apps per day for 0631. At the start it was 7 - 8 apps per day

 

[Your Highness]

Well here's another analysis based on data from our very own SS.

Salman is the latest member whose CC has been charged. His appl was rcvd on 18th Aug, got his CC charged on 31st Oct. This means there's a 74 day gap between appl rcvd and cc charged (for a conservative calculation, lets assume that CAPs is updated once CC is charged). In that case CIC is working on appls rcvd around 28th or 29th of Aug (I have calculated 74 days backwards from 10th Nov).

 

[helppp]

Well here's another analysis based on data from our very own SS.

Salman is the latest member whose CC has been charged. His appl was rcvd on 18th Aug, got his CC charged on 31st Oct. This means there's a 74 day gap between appl rcvd and cc charged (for a conservative calculation, lets assume that CAPs is updated once CC is charged). In that case CIC is working on appls rcvd around 28th or 29th of Aug (I have calculated 74 days backwards from 10th Nov).

This is good news for us mid Sep people

this is what i agree with... mine reached on 11.10.11, i don't think i will make it.... tough luck indeed...

 

[helppp]

this is what i agree with... mine reached on 11.10.11, i don't think i will make it.... tough luck indeed...

unless caps does't mean fees encashment,,,

 

[Your Highness]

this is what i agree with... mine reached on 11.10.11, i don't think i will make it.... tough luck indeed...

Helppp.....please do not go by this calculation whole heartedly. Please do not be disheartened by this. For one, this is a very very conservative calculation and without any validated proof that CAPs is updated only after CC/BD is charged. Secondly this takes into account a highest average, while actually the average would soon be coming down as evidently there is a decline in number of applications rcvd during Sep and Oct as compared to July.

Many of us here believe that 0631 will go well into first half of Oct. We will all get there buddy.

Cheers

 

[vinodkumar]

@ Your Highness, let's wait for another two weeks.. matter will be clear, i mean all mid sept applicants under 0631 should be in.

 

[vinodkumar]

CIC is not working today rite??? its a stat holiday in Canada today.

 

[helppp]

Helppp.....please do not go by this calculation whole heartedly. Please do not be disheartened by this. For one, this is a very very conservative calculation and without any validated proof that CAPs is updated only after CC/BD is charged. Secondly this takes into account a highest average, while actually the average would soon be coming down as evidently there is a decline in number of applications rcvd during Sep and Oct as compared to July.

Many of us here believe that 0631 will go well into first half of Oct. We will all get there buddy.

Cheers

thanx alot dear highness, don't worry, am ok, by the way am 3131, and i've been calculating it this way since the beginning,,,,,

 

[steelz]

Caips is the system that cio uses to update and track our files progress. They have implemented a new system called gcms but fortunately they third party providers of caips have access to bith systems.

http://www.caips.ca/ is one of the sites that can provide you with caips but there are others, prices vary from 25 usd to 125 and the choice is yours. The only problem is that it needs few weeks to reach you and sometimes you need help to understand the report (you have us for that ).

Usually, one would need caips files when his application has been still for some time but in your case I think it will help! Did you receive a reply from the other email ID?

Thank you VERY VERY MUCH for this information , +1 for it .

i sent e-mail to the wrong e-mail on my application and thank god it says the following.

Delivery to the following recipient failed permanently:

I will go and order CAIPS FileCheck, no harm to try , i totally trust you , brother you know more than my stupid immigration lawyer.

i will keep u updated.

i will go check my P.O. BOX also today.

thanks brother

i wish you all the best

 

[luckymystery]

Hi everyone, I´m so happy, just got PER by mail.

I´ve been folowing this topic and spreadsheet almost everyday, but was kind of afraid to post, this is my third time sending the app, first time they couldn´t encash bd, sencond time didn´t make it in to the CAP, so now was our final try, GOD is GREAT!!!!!

App reeceived August 12 by Mike
BD encashed October 25
NOC 2151
VO Guatemala City

Please add me in to the spreadsheet

Monica

Many a congrats..
And good luck till the end of the process and in Canada as well.

 

[luckymystery]

Hi everyone,

I just got an email from FSW,

Application received August 18
DD enchased October 31
AOR recievd November 10 (after 78 days)
NOC 0811
Visa office London

Regards,
Salman

Many a congrats Dear Salman. good luck for next step.

 

[luckymystery]

hello everyone my address ca e back. it disappeared nov1 til 10.. today morning its back.. but it is still in process and inside when i click it: we received your application on july 11....

Mine also reappeared today. and it disappeared on 5th Nov. and it came back without any change.
Let's hope next time it comes with good news.

 

[luckymystery]

yes dear , i am trying to release the pressure on PER and concentrate on PEBC exam .

if it work with me federal , i will apply through quebec

good luck to you dear

Thanks for you good wishes. Hope to see you successful in getting PER and laters the PEBC exam. 8)