How in the hell is the tracker still down after this many days? If a production site with a large user base like this one was down for days under my leadership at work, I'd get into some serious trouble.
I got email for oath ceremony for the date of Apr 11th, I scheduled for in person as I selected paper copy to be download.No I am also still waiting, I want to see whether they are asking for Virtual ceremony or asking us to come to ofc ?
Congrats man did you been able to log in the trackerI got email for oath ceremony for the date of Apr 11th, I scheduled for in person as I selected paper copy to be download.
I didnot try to login, I got email directly so no need to loginCongrats man did you been able to log in the tracker
Still down for me as well.How in the hell is the tracker still down after this many days? If a production site with a large user base like this one was down for days under my leadership at work, I'd get into some serious trouble.
Well other candidates got oaths email and citizen certificates too (December and November) I think it’s something to do with the new system they are trying to put in. But it’s so stressful really to not be able to sign to our trackerI see that the citizenship processing for all stage of the application from Jan/Feb/March has stopped from the past week or two. No progress at all.
Is it because of the Spring Break or the elections on April 28th?
I'm from Feb 2025 group. Some friends got FP request or LLP completed last week. Tracker seems down intermittently - everyday someone successfully logged into Tracker then lose access again. I myself never got success since Thursday. It was a little relief for me that IRCC is doing processing while tracker's down.I see that the citizenship processing for all stage of the application from Jan/Feb/March has stopped from the past week or two. No progress at all.
Is it because of the Spring Break or the elections on April 28th?
Estimates for the recent months especially averages are going to be systematically underestimated - because of course they exclude all of the ones that are taking much longer. That is, they are not in the spreadsheet yet, and so not included in either the median or the average.Jan 2024: 75 days; Feb: 63 days; Mar: 42 days; April: 44 days; May: 62 days; June: 64 days; July: 65 days; August: 57 days; September: 51 days; October: 40 days; November: 24 days December: 22 days
Overall average: 62 days.
Median: 50 days.
Median is the number that really matters and as you said that won't change. Also since there are only a few entries in Nov/Dec they don't really change the outcome at all.Estimates for the recent months especially averages are going to be systematically underestimated - because of course they exclude all of the ones that are taking much longer. That is, they are not in the spreadsheet yet, and so not included in either the median or the average.
If you want to see this in action - look at 2025 files. Those are right now showing only the very few that got processed most quickly. (As of today, only three from January are to oath date.)
Just eyeballing the figures above - anything from August or September on is likely showing this effect, and for November and December, it's obvious. And that intuitively makes sense since we believe (are led to believe by IRCC) that ~80% of files are complete in 8-10 months (going from recent timelines posted), which would take us back to ... August.
(After those 80% are through the python, the median should change only a little bit/somewhat slowly, while the average will change more and more quickly because the last 20% are going to be large enough numbers to have more effect.)
Well, sort of. If you mean the overall figures for Jan-Dec, yep, the average/median is ~ 60 and 50 days respectively. I was referring to the monthly averages listed by month, where looking at the more recent months will mislead.Median is the number that really matters and as you said that won't change. Also since there are only a few entries in Nov/Dec they don't really change the outcome at all.