IRCC processing time website update 24 months

[Canada sponsorship]

Hello everyone,
I see that inland spousal sponsorship timeline for permanent residency has jumped to 24 months.
Is this due to cuts to family sponsorship in levels plan?
Any ideas if it's a glitch because outside Canada one has 10 months still which doesn't make any sense.
This is causing stress and anxiety as that's double the time it was before.
Thank you

 

[lovindahubby]

Hello everyone,
I see that inland spousal sponsorship timeline for permanent residency has jumped to 24 months.
Is this due to cuts to family sponsorship in levels plan?
Any ideas if it's a glitch because outside Canada one has 10 months still which doesn't make any sense.
This is causing stress and anxiety as that's double the time it was before.
Thank you

I think that’s wrong .. because normally inland is 10 months and Outland is 24 months.. maybe a glitch but that’s totally wrong

 

[Canada sponsorship]

I think that’s wrong .. because normally inland is 10 months and Outland is 24 months.. maybe a glitch but that’s totally wrong

For past few months outland time had been consistently shown as 10 months which has been lower than monthly updated inland time which is usually also shown at website around 10-12 months.

 

[armoured]

Hello everyone,
I see that inland spousal sponsorship timeline for permanent residency has jumped to 24 months.
Is this due to cuts to family sponsorship in levels plan?
Any ideas if it's a glitch because outside Canada one has 10 months still which doesn't make any sense.
This is causing stress and anxiety as that's double the time it was before.
Thank you

That's what it's showing. As far as I'm aware they do this purely on a backward looking basis, ie. they're not guessing about how long it will take, just purely what happened most recent period they calculated.

Too soon to say whether it's meaningful; could be because something changed, some serious slowdown, some random statistical fluke, etc.

My guess would be that they undertook some internal corporate effort to clear the decks of old files (eg prior to start of 2023) and that resulted in a one-off bump showing like this. It makes a bit of sense because there was a period (IIRC) where they drew a line and started processing 'new' incoming spousal apps separate (while they kept the 'covid backlog' with some dedicated unit), effectively two different queues. Possible they decided to wind this up with some extra effort for end of year.

I can't think of any other plausible (to me) narrative that would explain. That might just be my lack of imagination though.

And at any rate, still a guess.

 

[lovindahubby]

That's what it's showing. As far as I'm aware they do this purely on a backward looking basis, ie. they're not guessing about how long it will take, just purely what happened most recent period they calculated.

Too soon to say whether it's meaningful; could be because something changed, some serious slowdown, some random statistical fluke, etc.

My guess would be that they undertook some internal corporate effort to clear the decks of old files (eg prior to start of 2023) and that resulted in a one-off bump showing like this. It makes a bit of sense because there was a period (IIRC) where they drew a line and started processing 'new' incoming spousal apps separate (while they kept the 'covid backlog' with some dedicated unit), effectively two different queues. Possible they decided to wind this up with some extra effort for end of year.

I can't think of any other plausible (to me) narrative that would explain. That might just be my lack of imagination though.

And at any rate, still a guess.

So true

 

[lovindahubby]

For past few months outland time had been consistently shown as 10 months which has been lower than monthly updated inland time which is usually also shown at website around 10-12 months.

Yes they say that but it’s taking up to 24 months . My friend husband just recently came to Canada and it literally took 24 months to process Outland

 

[armoured]

Yes they say that but it’s taking up to 24 months . My friend husband just recently came to Canada and it literally took 24 months to process Outland

There is always some percentage that take longer than others (eg that other 20%). There are some that get refused.

 

[Flyingfast]

Yes they say that but it’s taking up to 24 months . My friend husband just recently came to Canada and it literally took 24 months to process Outland

When my wife immigrated 2 years ago from Jamaica the estimated processing time was 24months. She was in Canada within 6 months

 

[lovindahubby]

When my wife immigrated 2 years ago from Jamaica the estimated processing time was 24months. She was in Canada within 6 months

Yes I kno someone came within 6 months as well , now it all change

 

[armoured]

Yes I kno someone came within 6 months as well , now it all change

I think you've missed the point that the estimated timeframe is only that, an estimate.

The estimate will be longer than the actual for most (all but ~20-odd percent) even if it is accurate, and it is a backward-looking estimate - it can be wrong when the timeframes change after the applicant applies. (Which it often does!)

Usually these changes are pretty minor, but sometimes the timeline estimates can be dramatically wrong.

Again - I suspect it is a one-off thing due to things that happened a few years ago. I may be right, I may be wrong, but there's not much you can do about it now. Wait a couple months and see if the timeframe estimate changes.

 

[lovindahubby]

I think you've missed the point that the estimated timeframe is only that, an estimate.

The estimate will be longer than the actual for most (all but ~20-odd percent) even if it is accurate, and it is a backward-looking estimate - it can be wrong when the timeframes change after the applicant applies. (Which it often does!)

Usually these changes are pretty minor, but sometimes the timeline estimates can be dramatically wrong.

Again - I suspect it is a one-off thing due to things that happened a few years ago. I may be right, I may be wrong, but there's not much you can do about it now. Wait a couple months and see if the timeframe estimate changes.

No I don’t.. I clearly understand the time frame .. I just reply back to the statement where he said his wife came up from Jamaica in 6 months.” You notice I said I know someone who came up in 6 months as well ..
I was not talking about the time frame whether it’s 24 months or w. E it is .. I’m just saying yes I know someone as well who came in 6 months but everything change now .

 

[Canada sponsorship]

That's what it's showing. As far as I'm aware they do this purely on a backward looking basis, ie. they're not guessing about how long it will take, just purely what happened most recent period they calculated.

Too soon to say whether it's meaningful; could be because something changed, some serious slowdown, some random statistical fluke, etc.

My guess would be that they undertook some internal corporate effort to clear the decks of old files (eg prior to start of 2023) and that resulted in a one-off bump showing like this. It makes a bit of sense because there was a period (IIRC) where they drew a line and started processing 'new' incoming spousal apps separate (while they kept the 'covid backlog' with some dedicated unit), effectively two different queues. Possible they decided to wind this up with some extra effort for end of year.

I can't think of any other plausible (to me) narrative that would explain. That might just be my lack of imagination though.

And at any rate, still a guess.

Thanks for your response.
That makes sense and I will monitor coming months for any change in processing time.
Hopefully it goes down.