If they are serious about allowing outlanders to land next year then 5000 invitations just like last year.
FSW WORLDWIDE
- Thread starter js555
- Start date
In that case 3-4 draws should set us good
I think the opening all program draw would be atleast 5k invites or if they went all out then maybe 7500 invites!In that case 3-4 draws should set us good
Either way we all shall perish!
High tides lift all boats
D
Deleted member 1050918
Guest
Facts of life:Ok
1. Sept 1 FSW LEGALLY GUARANTEED by IRCC
2. I want my whiskey
D
Deleted member 1050918
Guest
Last all program draw of 2021 will have a cutoff of 460-465In that case 3-4 draws should set us good
Bet
Recent Kubeir Video is bad news. At 475 and looks like its going to be tough getting ITA in atleast half a dozen initial draws even after the draws start.
Ministerial Instructions respecting invitations to apply for permanent residence under the Express Entry system #203 – August 26, 2021
See full text of Ministerial Instruction
Canadian Experience Class
Number of invitations issued: 40,000
Rank required to be invited to apply: 1 or above
Date and time of round: August 26, 2021 at 11:25:22 UTC
CRS score of lowest-ranked candidate invited: 0.5
Tie-breaking rule: August 11, 2021 at 11:13:57 UTC
See full text of Ministerial Instruction
Canadian Experience Class
Number of invitations issued: 40,000
Rank required to be invited to apply: 1 or above
Date and time of round: August 26, 2021 at 11:25:22 UTC
CRS score of lowest-ranked candidate invited: 0.5
Tie-breaking rule: August 11, 2021 at 11:13:57 UTC
D
Deleted member 1050918
Guest
Love Kubeir's work but I think he was a bit off. He assumed 3k draws, which is unlikely. Now if it is 3k weekly then sure, it helps IRCC with 2022 targets. But 3k biweekly all program won't happen. It's either 3k weekly or 5k/6k biweekly. Why? Assume 3k biweekly, which means 27k ITAs sent this year. Assume 25% rejection rate -> 20k accepted. Assume 5% complex apps that won't get PPR in 2022 -> 19k PPRs in 2022. That's just not enough, it's not even 1/5 of 2022 targets. IRCC needs about double that in order to be safe in 2022.
There are currently about 19,000 candidates in the 470+ range. that's only 4x 5000 draws -> 2 months. New people will be joining in the pool of course so add 2 more draws to that -> in 3 months (Dec 2021) the cutoff will be about 470 and by the end of Dec it will be about 465.
I watched it. He was only analyzing a hypothetical scenario if they decide to issue 3000 invites per draw
The chances of landing outland applicants this year is pretty thin. Consider this: some people have to resign from their work then plan their relocation. This might take time as many institutions would want at least a month notice before you leave their organisation. Imagine someone getting PPR in September, give notice same September but gotta wait till October to leave the work. Then they start to plan their trips.
Also, we have to consider that the VAC that will stamp visa and issue COPR might not be quick with it. Many people are waiting for up to 3months to get their visa stamps and COPR after submission. A lot of factors seems to be working against outlanders landing in Canada this year.
Best/Safest bet would be first quarter of 2022, for those that are close to the finish line.
Since they've been doing CEC draws of at least 3000 invitations each time. There will definitely be more than 3000 invitations if it's all programme draw.
These resellers will hoard it. It's going to be super expensive. I'd rather go with Onexplayer, the top variant is selling for about $1,200 with the keyboard and carrier pouch. If you don't want the pouch, you will get the unit for less than $1k... All on Aliexpress.
I am waiting for SteamDeck too. Hopefully, it's available for less.