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Express Entry Year-End Report 2015

sk6492

Star Member
Sep 20, 2013
75
7
Category........
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
App. Filed.......
17-01-2017
AOR Received.
18-01-2017
Med's Done....
21-02-2017
Why is OINP so overrated. It just made 871 nominations. Where as British columbia made 1528, almost double!
 

Asivad Anac

VIP Member
May 27, 2015
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cjs said:
From the report, it seems that minimum score required to receive ITA may touch 430 in coming time. may b 8-9 months down the line.
Plus Ontatio PNP will have big chunk from PNP quota, so people with 400+ still have fair chance of getting ITA.
430 could well be the long term floor. Once the backlog is cleared off, cutoff scores should drop below 450 unless provinces increase their EE intake and/or LMIA regulations become less stringent. Either of those would push the cutoff higher.
 

Asivad Anac

VIP Member
May 27, 2015
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sk6492 said:
Why is OINP so overrated. It just made 871 nominations. Where as British columbia made 1528, almost double!
Because BC had much more stringent qualifying criteria. Most outland applicants wouldn't fit BC's requirements. Ontario did not discriminate between inland and outland applicants in their program.
 

mysunshine

Star Member
Jan 23, 2016
106
1
Asivad Anac said:
Because BC had much more stringent qualifying criteria. Most outland applicants wouldn't fit BC's requirements. Ontario did not discriminate between inland and outland applicants in their program.
Do you think 455 will stand a chance? About when in your opinion? Thank you!
 

Asivad Anac

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May 27, 2015
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mysunshine said:
Do you think 455 will stand a chance? About when in your opinion? Thank you!
Hard to say. 3 prerequisites before the score breaches 460 again.

1. Back to back draws or more draws/month - IRCC is unlikely to do those now as the pool appears to have stabilized into some kind of equilibrium. And they are comfortable with doing 2 draws in a month which spaces out their workload.

2. More ITAs/draw - No reason to do this either. There are considerable backlogs so they are deliberately reducing the number of ITAs/draw. Plus they reduced economic immigration targets by 20% for 2016 compared to 2015.

3. Lesser PNPs - This might be the only savior in the short term. Ontario has noticeably slowed down in the recent past. BC is heavily skewed towards inland applicants. In April-June, the pool might have fewer applicants with 600+ thereby forcing the cutoff to creep down to below 460.
 

bellaluna

VIP Member
May 23, 2014
7,405
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sk6492 said:
Why is OINP so overrated. It just made 871 nominations. Where as British columbia made 1528, almost double!
BC PNP for EE also started in January 2015 while OINP for EE started in June 2015. BC had a half-year head start, so it looks like they processed at practically the same pace.
 

anarsoul

Hero Member
Jul 12, 2014
695
52
cjs said:
I ll say in next 3-4 draws, it ll touch 455..
Unlikely with same number of ITA per draw. Pool is not something static, new candidates arrive all the time. Look at statistics, without back to back draws more than 50% of 1500 (i.e. 750) invitations have 600+. Unfortunately, there's no breakout for 450-499 scores, but you can safely assume that there're always 250 candidates in 450-499 range with score above 460-470.
 

cjs

Hero Member
Nov 13, 2015
780
40
anarsoul said:
Unlikely with same number of ITA per draw. Pool is not something static, new candidates arrive all the time. Look at statistics, without back to back draws more than 50% of 1500 (i.e. 750) invitations have 600+. Unfortunately, there's no breakout for 450-499 scores, but you can safely assume that there're always 250 candidates in 450-499 range with score above 460-470.
I am also thinking on the bases of dynamic pool. This is just an assumption, lets see if it touches 455 or not. My bet is with 455 in next 3-4 draws..
There can be back to back draws also, no one knows how CIC works :)
 

Alexios07

Champion Member
Jun 22, 2015
1,002
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cjs said:
I ll say in next 3-4 draws, it ll touch 455..
If only we have three 1,5k draws per month. With 1k per draw, no way the score can drop, just look at 2015.
 

cjs

Hero Member
Nov 13, 2015
780
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Alexios07 said:
If only we have three 1,5k draws per month. With 1k per draw, no way the score can drop, just look at 2015.
With back to back draw, it is possible.
 

Itsmee

Hero Member
Sep 28, 2015
592
57
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/national/express-entry-program-skewed-too-heavily-toward-in-demand-jobs-critics/article29488413/
 

Alexios07

Champion Member
Jun 22, 2015
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cjs said:
With back to back draw, it is possible.
The question is when? with more than 20k nominations cut, I don't see why people keep saying there will be back to back draw. Even the government is increasing the fund for refugee and family reunification, not express entry -> no way they can issue more itas than 2015.
 

andy108

VIP Member
Nov 26, 2015
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Australia
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App. Filed.......
**-09-2017
Asivad Anac said:
The much awaited year-end report is here.

I haven't read it completely yet but I did notice that as on Jan 3rd 2016, more than 50% of the pool had a score between 350 and 449 with more than 5000 applicants just between 430 and 449. CEC has the fastest average processing time of 3.5 months (for 80% of CEC applicants). International students in Canada appear to comprise 13% of the pool while they have received up to 22% of the ITAs.
Thanks for sharing.