More Notices in Gazette Re Changing Regulations to Implement Bill C-24
In particular:
Notice requesting comments on a proposal to amend the Citizenship Regulations
to implement provisions of the Strengthening Canadian Citizenship Act
and to make other regulations as a result
See the
March 14 issue of the Gazette
Proposed regulations are
not included in this notice,
unlike the proposed regulations included with the regulatory impact analysis statement in the
February 28 issue (discussed here some pages back).
I am not sure why the difference or what it means. Others may better know the procedures for adopting amendments and additions to regulations.
I suspect (but if someone knows differently, please let me know) that some types of regulations must be published in advance, while for others only a notice of intent to amend the regulations is required. I further suspect the latter has to do with regulations more or less derived directly from the governing statutory provisions.
What does this mean relative to the subject of discussion here, the expected date when the revised residency requirements will come into force?
It is safe to say, I think, that this means there is virtually no chance the revised residency requirements will come into force before mid-April. The notice period, for submitting comments, is 30 days beginning March 14. So these changes to the regulations, which will affect things like what is to be included with the application regarding the residency requirement, including "upfront evidence" that the applicant has "met the tax filing requirement," will not be in place for at least 30 more days.
Gut check: Beyond forecasts derived from hard analytical evidence (like given these recent notices, I feel confident in predicting it will not happen before the end of April), my track record for predictions based on intuition is not good. Cannot help, however, having a gut feeling this is coming down sooner than when most have predicted. My bet is still on June 1st, but as I hinted recently, May 1st seems to be a better bet than merely one of the possibilities,
coming up hard from behind on the outside one might say at the race track.
Still, we do not know. We do not know. I suppose that July 1st will remain the odds-makers best bet. But given the way this government operates, these notices are largely pro forma and to my view signal the government is ready to move ahead on this. Submitted comments have near zero chance of being considered seriously. And given the scheduling modus operandi of this government, tending to give as little notice it legally can, pro forma or otherwise, to me this signals the coming-into-force-date will not be very far behind.
The question I cannot answer is whether this March 14 notice is sufficient, or will a regulatory impact statement have to be published, and time after that to comment? the proposed regulations themselves published with time following that to comment? My sense is this is it, this is all the notice necessary before these regulations can be published.
How soon can they take effect once published? or "registered?" That's another question for anyone who understands the regulation adoption and amendment process better. I suppose the question is can they be "registered" without being previously published? I know regulations can be made effective as of the date they are registered, so if they can be registered without prior publication of the proposed regulation itself, well then this is all the notice we may see.
This is relative to notice of the regulations implementing the changes.
Notice of the date the Governor-in-Council orders the revised residency provisions to come into force is a separate thing. The real thing one might say. We do not know if there will be any advance notice (like there was
not for the provisions ordered to come into force as of August 1, 2014), but some notice seems likely, even if it is only a mere week or three.