DECEMBER 2014 FSW APPLICATION SUBMISSION

[asab_ece]

Ok, I manually calculated those averages for each month for 2172:
May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
1.1 1.2 0.68 0.45 0.61 1.22 2.21 4.62


Then easily created the graph:
http://screencast.com/t/YXElBsiq


We can see there is a very strong spike in last 3 months :-X
I suppose it is possible that our data is incomplete much more than we thought, and CAP will be reached.. but we don't really know for sure, and cant really do anything about it.
What we do know:

• SS has ~136 apps up to Oct 19, while CIC declared ~319 - this suggests 1/3 ratio approximately
• SS has total of ~250, so if ratio is 1:3 we are all safe, if it is 1:4 we should still be Ok (mostly).

Could the ratio for 2172 be worse than 1:4?

I suggest you can take a ratio figure based on apps which have a Fee Encashed Date so that we are sure of the charged apps. Also it is advisable to take the cap count given on 16th Dec to be upto 1st October. Based on these figures we are sure to have realistic figure.

 

[Carmageddon]

Plot a Graph with Dates on the horizontal axis and No of applications received on the vertical axis. You can do this for all 4 NOC together or seperately.

In Excel 2013, select the columns that contain the Dates and the NOC(s) (do not select the total Row)
Go to the Insert tab on excel, on the chart menu click 'insert column chart' and choose 2-D clustered column
You should get your chart.

I will recommend you do for each of the 4 NOCs you mentioned seperately so you have a more legible chart.

Good luck!

Thanks brother!

http://screencast.com/t/c4TV9ZmuI66

But to be honest, it does not give me any more insights than the simple graph I made.. how to consolidate it for Months only? Not sure whether that'd give any better understanding.

I suggest you can take a ratio figure based on apps which have a Fee Encashed Date so that we are sure of the charged apps. Also it is advisable to take the cap count given on 16th Dec to be upto 1st October. Based on these figures we are sure to have realistic figure.

The 2172 count up to Oct 1st is ~87 applications, which does give 1:4 rate.
Could we assume that is the worst rate possible? Because George (managersonline) stated more than once, the CIC cap figures were for apps received before Oct 19th.

I am also not that good with Excel, but little basic filtering on the main tab shows ~96 applications with encashed fee until Dec 1st (not including).

I am not certain what that means...

 

[harry592]

I am NOC 2172 applicant (DD)...received date 18th Dec.

Just now I called CIC to check the status of application...

Got same reply...check the status after 10 weeks i.e. around 26th Feb..Person told me it's too early to know the status..

 

[Toronto Ninja]

Great analyses guys. Truth is, our analyses are limited by the completeness of the SS. Secondly, we do not know for sure the completeness of CIC's count regarding their last release of no of applications towards the cap. If all goes well, it'll take less than 2 weeks for us to know our fate - at least for those of us with CCs. Till then, all the best.

 

[sflake]

One more factor that should be taken into consideration that once 2171 suddenly announced as capped on 20th Nov, many applicants sent another application within 5 to 10 days. Most of these applicants did this secretly as a backup plan without updating SS. Moreover, whoever was preparing to send an application for 2171, which had a high ratio, directly switched to 2172.

 

[sunjai]

Can anyone tell me...when will our fund for settlement will be verified ? and how they do the verification ?

 

[paras juneja]

Hi Friend

29 Dec D D applicant NOC Code 1113. what is the expected date of DD Cash . C I O charging which date for D D mode any reply /..........................................

 

[anu321]

My friend got his CC charged today for his 18-Dec application NOC 1224.

 

[CIN1117]

Great News Guys...

Got Charged Today on my CC

Now Wait for the PER..!!!

Congrats

 

[84stephen]

Hi Friends,

Happy to inform u all.. My CC Charged...

Application Rcvd : 19/12/2014

NOC:0911

congrats bro.........

 

[84stephen]

Great News Guys...

Got Charged Today on my CC

Now Wait for the PER..!!!

A big congrats bro...to NOC 2232
btw when ur app reached?

 

[harrysaini]

A big congrats bro...to NOC 2232
btw when ur app reached?

the Fedex showed it on the 16th but when i called CIC they said it reached on the 18th of DEC

 

[84stephen]

the Fedex showed it on the 16th but when i called CIC they said it reached on the 18th of DEC

acc to the present CIC speed i might assume the charge of my DD in last days of FEB...or in 1st week of Mar
frm which location u filled ur app?

 

[jlauhn]

My friend got his CC charged today for his 18-Dec application NOC 1224.

That's great! I applied under NOC 1224 as well!

 

[mhussein]

User CCWEF NOC 0111 App Received 19/12/2014 CC Charged Today


Congratulations