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belle_mx said:
Hello George,

First of all I want you to know I've really enjoyed your many analysis based on the spread sheet data. For me those have a great value and fulfill the whole purpose of having the spread sheet. Thank you for taking the time of making these analysis, and I am specially grateful for sharing them with us.

That been said, I want to ask you (or request you) to analize the spread sheet to find out which is the percentage of success once we achieve the first milestone of cc/dd charge. As I understand this is a major filter as many applications are returned before the charge. I know the ss only has a sample of the whole universe of applications processed by CIC. But I hope the data in the ss could be enough to make this forecast.

Or maybe for this purpose there is available (and more relevant) the 2013ss.

If you have already done something like this could you please share the link of the thread?

Thank you


According to the latest data available in the SS as of today 1st Feb, 2015, it shows that there is a rate of 99% acceptance after getting your CC charged and the only reason to get NER after your CC is charged is one of the following three reasons:-
1) - Points calculated less than 67 by CIO - (wrong calculation by applicant)
2) - Jobs mentioned by applicant doesn't match with 80% of jobs in NOC as published by Canadian Government
3) - Upon verification call by CIO to the "company/job place", they found person is not working so issued NER

Therefore if someone got his CC charged and he has calculated his points with hundred percent accuracy (because it is extremely easy to know your points) and his experience certificate contains the more than 80% of jobs and duties mentioned in NOC details published by Canadian Government, and he didn't do cheating by making fake documents, then rest assured that there is no reason he will 100% get the PER. Because up to PER level only this much of information is verified and checked. Whereas rest of the issued like security clearance, background check, medicals etc. are done at quite later stage.

Therefore whoever got his CC charged will get PR visa with 99% confident level as per information being fed by the forum members.

There are also certain numbers that that predict that the forum reflects approximately 25%+ applications of worldwide FSWP applications. This percentage is based upon the fact that applications entered in the spreadsheet before 19th November are total of 4300 applications, where CIC website mentions a total of 16000+ applications. So already more than 25% of those 16000-applicants are in spreadsheet. But of course this is just an approximation and statistical figure with certain level of probability involved in these numbers. And accuracy level will only depend upon the truthfulness of the forum members while they are entering information in spreadsheet. Because invalid/fake data will only result in invalid/unrealistic analysis. Therefore validity-level of this analysis will be same as the validity-level of data entered by forum participants in the spreadsheet.

Rest assured as per current trend being observed it is evident that CIO is extremely lenient in accepting most of the applications of FSWP2014 and also in speed of processing, and it is 100% sure that this is the fastest ever FSW program in the history of CIC since they introduced the Federal Skilled Worker program. It can be noted that from the fact that several applicants have already received the PR visa and the processing time has been reduced from 27+ months to only 6-13 months after the date of receipt of application.

Wish all of you best of luck and hope that we all will one day land in Canada can have one physically establish a FSWP2014 forum after landing there in order to help each other there as well as we are doing it here.

regards,George,
Doha,Qatar
 
Svarog said:
congrats mate!

you've been charged and that is good news,
it takes about a month (maybe less if they continue to work in overdrive) to get the per email...

Hi Hussein,

As per the current trends, the PER email could reach you around 22-23 Feb.

regards,
Kashif.
 
Wonderful analysis! +1 for you George

managersonline said:
According to the latest data available in the SS as of today 1st Feb, 2015, it shows that there is a rate of 99% acceptance after getting your CC charged and the only reason to get NER after your CC is charged is one of the following three reasons:-
1) - Points calculated less than 67 by CIO - (wrong calculation by applicant)
2) - Jobs mentioned by applicant doesn't match with 80% of jobs in NOC as published by Canadian Government
3) - Upon verification call by CIO to the "company/job place", they found person is not working so issued NER

Therefore if someone got his CC charged and he has calculated his points with hundred percent accuracy (because it is extremely easy to know your points) and his experience certificate contains the more than 80% of jobs and duties mentioned in NOC details published by Canadian Government, and he didn't do cheating by making fake documents, then rest assured that there is no reason he will 100% get the PER. Because up to PER level only this much of information is verified and checked. Whereas rest of the issued like security clearance, background check, medicals etc. are done at quite later stage.

Therefore whoever got his CC charged will get PR visa with 99% confident level as per information being fed by the forum members.

There are also certain numbers that that predict that the forum reflects approximately 25%+ applications of worldwide FSWP applications. This percentage is based upon the fact that applications entered in the spreadsheet before 19th November are total of 4300 applications, where CIC website mentions a total of 16000+ applications. So already more than 25% of those 16000-applicants are in spreadsheet. But of course this is just an approximation and statistical figure with certain level of probability involved in these numbers. And accuracy level will only depend upon the truthfulness of the forum members while they are entering information in spreadsheet. Because invalid/fake data will only result in invalid/unrealistic analysis. Therefore validity-level of this analysis will be same as the validity-level of data entered by forum participants in the spreadsheet.

Rest assured as per current trend being observed it is evident that CIO is extremely lenient in accepting most of the applications of FSWP2014 and also in speed of processing, and it is 100% sure that this is the fastest ever FSW program in the history of CIC since they introduced the Federal Skilled Worker program. It can be noted that from the fact that several applicants have already received the PR visa and the processing time has been reduced from 27+ months to only 6-13 months after the date of receipt of application.

Wish all of you best of luck and hope that we all will one day land in Canada can have one physically establish a FSWP2014 forum after landing there in order to help each other there as well as we are doing it here.

regards,George,
Doha,Qatar
 
Good Analysis... Thanks for your effort and sharing to all forumites...

Regards,

managersonline said:
According to the latest data available in the SS as of today 1st Feb, 2015, it shows that there is a rate of 99% acceptance after getting your CC charged and the only reason to get NER after your CC is charged is one of the following three reasons:-
1) - Points calculated less than 67 by CIO - (wrong calculation by applicant)
2) - Jobs mentioned by applicant doesn't match with 80% of jobs in NOC as published by Canadian Government
3) - Upon verification call by CIO to the "company/job place", they found person is not working so issued NER

Therefore if someone got his CC charged and he has calculated his points with hundred percent accuracy (because it is extremely easy to know your points) and his experience certificate contains the more than 80% of jobs and duties mentioned in NOC details published by Canadian Government, and he didn't do cheating by making fake documents, then rest assured that there is no reason he will 100% get the PER. Because up to PER level only this much of information is verified and checked. Whereas rest of the issued like security clearance, background check, medicals etc. are done at quite later stage.

Therefore whoever got his CC charged will get PR visa with 99% confident level as per information being fed by the forum members.

There are also certain numbers that that predict that the forum reflects approximately 25%
 
Appt App Rcvd NOC CC or DD
Kazimir Dec1 1113 Jan 23 CC
Rain0117 Dec1 0111 Jan 23 CC
Igwee Dec1 2241 Jan 23 CC
Jiauhn Dec1 1224 Jan 23 CC
Jagdeepsgandhi Dec1 0111 Jan 24 CC
smo Dec1 2172 Jan 24 CC
--------------------------------------------------------------------
Supergirl Dec2 5125 Jan 26 CC
pmatioli Dec2 2172 Jan 26 CC
Dave82 Dec2 4214 Jan 26 CC
Zobitariq Dec2 0113 Jan 26 CC
racdee Dec2 0112 Jan 26 CC
--------------------------------------------------------------------
hcdane Dec3 1212 Jan 26 CC
MCPHEMS Dec3 1212 Jan 26 CC
Alex Dec3 2241 Jan 27 CC
Viva21 Dec3 0112 Jan 27 CC
Artash Dec3 2243 Jan 26 CC
Mahitha Dec3 0112 Jan 26 CC
--------------------------------------------------------------------
engoil_hussein Dec4 2145 Jan 26 CC
Jane123 Dec4 2172 Jan 27 CC
sbasha4 Dec4 2172 Jan 27 CC
--------------------------------------------------------------------
goodlucktocanada Dec5 2172 Jan 28 CC
Msunithagrace Dec5 0112 Jan 28 CC
TKMC112981 Dec5 2172 Jan 27 CC
canfsw Dec5 2241 Jan 28 CC
--------------------------------------------------------------------
snayak Dec8 2172 Jan 29 CC
Ivgvor Dec8 0111 Jan 29 CC
Shilys Dec8 0311 Jan 30 CC
German_Canadian Dec8 2172 Jan 29 CC
husseinca Dec8 2172 Jan 30 CC
--------------------------------------------------------------------
Zaraman Dec 9 0112 Jan 29 CC
Tito123 Dec 9 1114 Jan 30 CC
--------------------------------------------------------------------
Bordi Dec10 1114 Jan 31 CC
Kashbaig Dec10 2172 Jan 31 CC
Gagandeep Dec10 2232 Jan 31 CC
Gaurav Dec10 0112 Jan 31 CC
 
managersonline said:
According to the latest data available in the SS as of today 1st Feb, 2015, it shows that there is a rate of 99% acceptance after getting your CC charged and the only reason to get NER after your CC is charged is one of the following three reasons:-
1) - Points calculated less than 67 by CIO - (wrong calculation by applicant)
2) - Jobs mentioned by applicant doesn't match with 80% of jobs in NOC as published by Canadian Government
3) - Upon verification call by CIO to the "company/job place", they found person is not working so issued NER

Therefore if someone got his CC charged and he has calculated his points with hundred percent accuracy (because it is extremely easy to know your points) and his experience certificate contains the more than 80% of jobs and duties mentioned in NOC details published by Canadian Government, and he didn't do cheating by making fake documents, then rest assured that there is no reason he will 100% get the PER. Because up to PER level only this much of information is verified and checked. Whereas rest of the issued like security clearance, background check, medicals etc. are done at quite later stage.

Therefore whoever got his CC charged will get PR visa with 99% confident level as per information being fed by the forum members.

There are also certain numbers that that predict that the forum reflects approximately 25%+ applications of worldwide FSWP applications. This percentage is based upon the fact that applications entered in the spreadsheet before 19th November are total of 4300 applications, where CIC website mentions a total of 16000+ applications. So already more than 25% of those 16000-applicants are in spreadsheet. But of course this is just an approximation and statistical figure with certain level of probability involved in these numbers. And accuracy level will only depend upon the truthfulness of the forum members while they are entering information in spreadsheet. Because invalid/fake data will only result in invalid/unrealistic analysis. Therefore validity-level of this analysis will be same as the validity-level of data entered by forum participants in the spreadsheet.

Rest assured as per current trend being observed it is evident that CIO is extremely lenient in accepting most of the applications of FSWP2014 and also in speed of processing, and it is 100% sure that this is the fastest ever FSW program in the history of CIC since they introduced the Federal Skilled Worker program. It can be noted that from the fact that several applicants have already received the PR visa and the processing time has been reduced from 27+ months to only 6-13 months after the date of receipt of application.

Wish all of you best of luck and hope that we all will one day land in Canada can have one physically establish a FSWP2014 forum after landing there in order to help each other there as well as we are doing it here.

regards,George,
Doha,Qatar

Wonderful analysis George. Thank you for taking this pain and helping us in understanding the statistics.
 
muhzahid said:
I am also 1st dec applicant, mode of payment is DD. I have just asked my bank about encashment of my DD, but the bank has informed that it is yet outstanding i.e. no encashed.

Hope we will be encashed in the comings days...

Regards,
No update my friend for your dd ?
 
minasoliman said:
No update my friend for your dd ?
I'll get the information tomorrow hopefully.

Where can I get the excel sheet's link to update my data...

Regards,
 
managersonline and seniors, I remember one thing, I did not put my reference letters in a signed envelope, does it really matter? Thanks!
 
managersonline said:
According to the latest data available in the SS as of today 1st Feb, 2015, it shows that there is a rate of 99% acceptance after getting your CC charged and the only reason to get NER after your CC is charged is one of the following three reasons:-
1) - Points calculated less than 67 by CIO - (wrong calculation by applicant)
2) - Jobs mentioned by applicant doesn't match with 80% of jobs in NOC as published by Canadian Government
3) - Upon verification call by CIO to the "company/job place", they found person is not working so issued NER

Therefore if someone got his CC charged and he has calculated his points with hundred percent accuracy (because it is extremely easy to know your points) and his experience certificate contains the more than 80% of jobs and duties mentioned in NOC details published by Canadian Government, and he didn't do cheating by making fake documents, then rest assured that there is no reason he will 100% get the PER. Because up to PER level only this much of information is verified and checked. Whereas rest of the issued like security clearance, background check, medicals etc. are done at quite later stage.

Therefore whoever got his CC charged will get PR visa with 99% confident level as per information being fed by the forum members.

There are also certain numbers that that predict that the forum reflects approximately 25%+ applications of worldwide FSWP applications. This percentage is based upon the fact that applications entered in the spreadsheet before 19th November are total of 4300 applications, where CIC website mentions a total of 16000+ applications. So already more than 25% of those 16000-applicants are in spreadsheet. But of course this is just an approximation and statistical figure with certain level of probability involved in these numbers. And accuracy level will only depend upon the truthfulness of the forum members while they are entering information in spreadsheet. Because invalid/fake data will only result in invalid/unrealistic analysis. Therefore validity-level of this analysis will be same as the validity-level of data entered by forum participants in the spreadsheet.

Rest assured as per current trend being observed it is evident that CIO is extremely lenient in accepting most of the applications of FSWP2014 and also in speed of processing, and it is 100% sure that this is the fastest ever FSW program in the history of CIC since they introduced the Federal Skilled Worker program. It can be noted that from the fact that several applicants have already received the PR visa and the processing time has been reduced from 27+ months to only 6-13 months after the date of receipt of application.

Wish all of you best of luck and hope that we all will one day land in Canada can have one physically establish a FSWP2014 forum after landing there in order to help each other there as well as we are doing it here.

regards,George,
Doha,Qatar

Wonderful analysis George, +1 for you mate !
 
Tito123 said:
hello all, happy to report i got charged abt 3pm today naija time. noc 1114 application rec 9 dec. thanks for all ur insight n encouragement. u guys rock

Congrats Bro
 
Hi MRELLA - I am also NOC 1114 my application got to CIC on 5 Dec 2014 and I got cc charged on 28 Jan 15. Fingers and toes crossed that your charge goes through this week
 
Hello people! This is my first post but I always follow up this excellent fórum and helps me a lot.
I notice the noc 2234 hasn't a lot of applicants.

My question is: agents checks all nocs at the same time or they priorityse specific nocs?

I am dec. 24 applicant and I hope to get a feedback from CIC in a few weeks.

And I want to congrats all The successfull december applicants too!! ;D