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CRS 440 - 449 Only- Connect Here

astralsource

Champion Member
Jul 10, 2016
2,059
1,239
Croatia
Category........
FSW
Visa Office......
Ottawa, ON
NOC Code......
5122
App. Filed.......
22-04-2017
AOR Received.
22-04-2017
Med's Request
19-06-2017
Med's Done....
13-04-2017
Aal_ said:
where does it say 40k+ to go? and what is the average size per draw if that is true?
Im just speculating based on the quota and cleared backlog. It should be around 2500 per draw..

Im a little bit worried they do such large draws, they cant continue like this forever.
 

Aal_

Hero Member
Feb 28, 2016
962
89
NOC Code......
2174
App. Filed.......
16-03-2017
AOR Received.
17-03-2017
Med's Done....
23-02-2017 / Passed: 12-07-2017
Passport Req..
11-09-2018
astralsource said:
Im just speculating based on the quota and cleared backlog. It should be around 2500 per draw..

Im a little bit worried they do such large draws, they cant continue like this forever.
to be honest if they draw 2500 or even 2000 per draw, and every 2 weeks a number less than this number enters the pool, we are guaranteed ITA. The problem with CIC was consistency and this is what we need.
 

vabs200

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Aug 22, 2016
286
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astralsource said:
Im just speculating based on the quota and cleared backlog. It should be around 2500 per draw..

Im a little bit worried they do such large draws, they cant continue like this forever.
For sure they can't have such massive draws forever. IMO, they want to give a chance to people who've been stuck below 450 since ever and the only way to do that is to have large draws. Once they have reached a certain minimum CRS then they would start having smaller draws and the score would be consistent at a certain level. Now, what that certain minimum CRS is is something that only CIC and time can tell.
 

patricia.hple

Star Member
Jun 3, 2016
161
5
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NOC Code......
1122
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Pre-Assessed..
From yesterday draw, I'm hoping that miracle will happen to us all in March. Maybe 3-4 more draws?
 

Badr

Full Member
Jun 2, 2016
23
0
vabs200 said:
For sure they can't have such massive draws forever. IMO, they want to give a chance to people who've been stuck below 450 since ever and the only way to do that is to have large draws. Once they have reached a certain minimum CRS then they would start having smaller draws and the score would be consistent at a certain level. Now, what that certain minimum CRS is is something that only CIC and time can tell.
and how would they satisfy the annually quota?? they cannot stop before inviting the 126k people they want for 2017. unless there is another way we are unaware about
 

Arslanellahi

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Jun 21, 2016
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Islamabad
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I am sitting at 444 right now and have just paid IQAS for my wife's evaluation. After successful evaluation, my score will bump to 454. I hope they follow similar trend of invites at least for next 2 months.. :)
 

vabs200

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Aug 22, 2016
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Badr said:
and how would they satisfy the annually quota?? they cannot stop before inviting the 126k people they want for 2017. unless there is another way we are unaware about
The quota is set for number of PRs and not for ITAs. We also do not know for sure if the paper based applications backlog has actually been dealt with. However, the ITAs this year will never go down to the levels that we saw last year.
 

Mthornt

Hero Member
Dec 28, 2015
817
207
Canada
Hopefully this trend keeps up for the next couple months at least, there are no guarantees. I personally think ITAs will be heavy during the first quarter to allow time during the rest of the year, to start and finish the entire process for these candidates. That way, it all takes place (or at least most of it) during 2017, and not leak over into 2018. This will allow CIC to actually hit its target during the 2017 year, and we may see the invites taper off later in the year. If we don't we'd be looking at over 120k ITAs, so I highly doubt this trend would continue throughout the year.

CIC are the only people who know exactly what the strategy is. With that said, these numbers of people leaving the pool may leave others in place to receive PNP once they re-open to beginning filling their quotas for 2017. The simple fact is that they will admitting more people than last year with the increase in quota, the exact strategy they will use to do that no-one knows, these next couple months will continue to shed light on the situation.
 

Aal_

Hero Member
Feb 28, 2016
962
89
NOC Code......
2174
App. Filed.......
16-03-2017
AOR Received.
17-03-2017
Med's Done....
23-02-2017 / Passed: 12-07-2017
Passport Req..
11-09-2018
omar_ahmed21 said:
I think CRS 440-450 around 12000 candidates waiting for ITA ::)
Not probable, there were 13000 between 400 and 449 same time last year
 

Tikhe0001

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Sep 14, 2015
68
2
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Sitting at 445.

Feel next score will be 449 if 8th Feb and 445 if draw takes place 1st Feb.

But there is a fear also that the score may change direction like last year if IRCC decides to issue lesser itas again
 

omar_ahmed21

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Nov 22, 2016
305
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Toronto
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1315
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Aal_ said:
Not probable, there were 13000 between 400 and 449 same time last year
Last Year CRS 440-449 bracket has 2,486 candidates

Lets say the number triple with the changes such as extra points for Canadian graduates.

2486x3= 7458 current candidates

So, my guesses ! ::)

Feb 8th draw= CRS 448 / 3000+ ITAs
Feb 15th draw= CRS 442/ 3000+ ITAs
Feb 22th draw= CRS 440/ 3000+ ITA's
 

patricia.hple

Star Member
Jun 3, 2016
161
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This thread and the Ray of Hope 54th thread make me feel very hopeful. So many people believe that the whole 440s bracket will be cleared by the end of February... I'm too excited to the point that I get nervous. Argh i hate being in this passive waiting stage. Is there anything that WE can do to make sure that the score dropping trend will not reverse? :s I am feeling very nervous :(
 

astralsource

Champion Member
Jul 10, 2016
2,059
1,239
Croatia
Category........
FSW
Visa Office......
Ottawa, ON
NOC Code......
5122
App. Filed.......
22-04-2017
AOR Received.
22-04-2017
Med's Request
19-06-2017
Med's Done....
13-04-2017
patricia.hple said:
This thread and the Ray of Hope 54th thread make me feel very hopeful. So many people believe that the whole 440s bracket will be cleared by the end of February... I'm too excited to the point that I get nervous. Argh i hate being in this passive waiting stage. Is there anything that WE can do to make sure that the score dropping trend will not reverse? :s I am feeling very nervous :(
Focus on the postITA documents now, get PCC for example, that will calm you down and direct energy to something useful.