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CRS 440 - 449 Only- Connect Here

DEEPCUR

Champion Member
Apr 12, 2016
2,428
642
Guys, how far it would go down? Wouldn't it stop somewhere? Last year too it has come down till 450, but it shot up again. Does anyone expect how the trend would be and when it would start going up again?
 

Pawshi

Hero Member
Apr 2, 2016
704
156
New Delhi
Category........
Visa Office......
New Delhi
NOC Code......
0111
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
App. Filed.......
April 2016
The scores have to go down below 450. But how much, no one knows. Where would it stop, no one knows. The lowest score was 450. It was almost 15 months back in Sept/Oct 2015. The difference between those time and today are following -

1. Increased quota of economic immigrant by 22% in 2017 (From 58400 in 2016 to 71700 in 2017) 2000 of Atlantic figures are not included. Refer any site for the immigration targets to validate. (Refer CIC site http://www.cic.gc.ca/english/department/media/notices/2016-10-31.asp)
2. Paper based applications prior to 2015 is coming to an end. There will not much length in the queue who applied before the start of the express entry in 2015. So, it is stated categorically in the 2017 that "as a majority of admissions in 2017 are expected to come from Express Entry."
3. LMIA fatness has been removed. In everydraw there was a good % of LMIA based candidates who had poor human capital, but with 600 LMIA points, they were ahead of all of us. That fatness has been removed.
4. Starting March 2017, there would be less number of the PNP applicants in the draw because of following reason -
4a) As OINP would finish the PNP decision of all the cases received before March 2016. There would not be the big numbers with new PNP. When they restart again with Human Capital Priorities, it will take atleast 6 months for the decision.
4b) Nova Scotia Express Entry is closed for quite sometime
4c) and so many others.
5. The point is that PNP applicants in express entry would not eat much of the space in each draw. Also, PNP nominated applicants does not eat the economic immigrant quote. They do have their own PNP quota.

With all the five points above, it appears to me that this trend towards lower CRS with same volume of ITA would continue for this year. Yes, there may be a possibility of any unexpected and last minute surprises.

But, last few draws have really given a decent hope to stay alive in the boat. I am in the queue with 434.

Thank you.
 

karanssharma

Hero Member
Nov 5, 2012
306
9
Ontario
Category........
NOC Code......
01**
Job Offer........
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IELTS Request
7.5
VISA ISSUED...
23/11/12
LANDED..........
12/12/12
waiting for LMIA approval, will put on 444 all together. :eek:
 

karanssharma

Hero Member
Nov 5, 2012
306
9
Ontario
Category........
NOC Code......
01**
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
IELTS Request
7.5
VISA ISSUED...
23/11/12
LANDED..........
12/12/12
jackdawn said:
hang on guys. Those who are between 440-450 will get opportunity in the next draw
definetly not in the next one..hopefully february draws. but still hopes alive
 

Aspiring CA

Star Member
Aug 17, 2016
98
9
Category........
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
BA2LAMAZ said:
I don't quite understand your question
Hi!

I quoted your old post wherein you are currently having 444 CRS last September. Given that you are CEC Inland, and i am outland i became skeptic on my CRS once i create my EE after my IELTS.

But i can see that you have received your ITA now, i am happy for you.
 

astralsource

Champion Member
Jul 10, 2016
2,059
1,239
Croatia
Category........
FSW
Visa Office......
Ottawa, ON
NOC Code......
5122
App. Filed.......
22-04-2017
AOR Received.
22-04-2017
Med's Request
19-06-2017
Med's Done....
13-04-2017
Pawshi said:
5. The point is that PNP applicants in express entry would not eat much of the space in each draw. Also, PNP nominated applicants does not eat the economic immigrant quote. They do have their own PNP quota.
Didnt know that! Thank you. +1
 

patricia.hple

Star Member
Jun 3, 2016
161
5
Category........
NOC Code......
1122
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
I wonder when is a realistic time that CRS will reach 440... Before April, you think?
 

DEEPCUR

Champion Member
Apr 12, 2016
2,428
642
patricia.hple said:
I wonder when is a realistic time that CRS will reach 440... Before April, you think?
Scores dropping will purely depend upon number of ita s in each draw. If they keep drawing 1500, scores may not keep dropping.
 

Escobar Gaviria

Hero Member
Oct 10, 2016
279
6
124
Pakistan
Category........
FSW
Visa Office......
London, UK
NOC Code......
3112
App. Filed.......
03-11-2016
AOR Received.
April 17th, 2017
IELTS Request
Upfront
Med's Request
Upfront
Med's Done....
16-06-2017
Passport Req..
22-08-2017
LANDED..........
Hopefully 2017
Good to see people posting in this group.
Hang in there guys, good days are coming.
 

astralsource

Champion Member
Jul 10, 2016
2,059
1,239
Croatia
Category........
FSW
Visa Office......
Ottawa, ON
NOC Code......
5122
App. Filed.......
22-04-2017
AOR Received.
22-04-2017
Med's Request
19-06-2017
Med's Done....
13-04-2017
Hey hey February promises good days for this group
 

Nadaaman

Full Member
May 19, 2016
23
4
Hello everybody,

Let's try to keep this thread active so it can give us An indication on how many of us are in this score range 8)
I'm standing at 446 here ..
 

Aal_

Hero Member
Feb 28, 2016
962
89
NOC Code......
2174
App. Filed.......
16-03-2017
AOR Received.
17-03-2017
Med's Done....
23-02-2017 / Passed: 12-07-2017
Passport Req..
11-09-2018
440 here ... good luck for all
 

astralsource

Champion Member
Jul 10, 2016
2,059
1,239
Croatia
Category........
FSW
Visa Office......
Ottawa, ON
NOC Code......
5122
App. Filed.......
22-04-2017
AOR Received.
22-04-2017
Med's Request
19-06-2017
Med's Done....
13-04-2017
Number of ITAs issued in 2015 - 31.000
Number of ITAs issued in 2016 - 33.782
So far in 2017 there was 9.744 ITAs, at least 40.000(+) to go. Do you agree?
 

Aal_

Hero Member
Feb 28, 2016
962
89
NOC Code......
2174
App. Filed.......
16-03-2017
AOR Received.
17-03-2017
Med's Done....
23-02-2017 / Passed: 12-07-2017
Passport Req..
11-09-2018
astralsource said:
Number of ITAs issued in 2015 - 31.000
Number of ITAs issued in 2016 - 33.782
So far in 2017 there was 9.744 ITAs, at least 40.000(+) to go. Do you agree?
where does it say 40k+ to go? and what is the average size per draw if that is true?