Chances of ITA with 453 points

[adore_amod]

Hi Friends,

After seeing this 10th March draw where only 1000 candidates are invited, I am really worried that what will be cut off for future draws.
Do you think that there are any chances to get ITA with 453 points.

thanks

 

[Reginald]

People with 453 have been invited in the past. So I would say yes, there is a chance.

 

[andy108]

The only thing to remember, the score went down only once to this level, and with new immigration plan numbers, it may never take place again.

 

[quicksilver6]

The only thing to remember, the score went down only once to this level, and with new immigration plan numbers, it may never take place again.

Twice

 

[Pippin]

There have been 6 draws that were 453 or lower. http://www.cic.gc.ca/english/express-entry/past-rounds.asp Good luck.

 

[mohitkoladia]

Hi Friends,

After seeing this 10th March draw where only 1000 candidates are invited, I am really worried that what will be cut off for future draws.
Do you think that there are any chances to get ITA with 453 points.

thanks

I am waiting with 456

 

[barsha2000]

very high

 

[Aragorn165]

Very high. Hold on tight.

 

[adore_amod]

Is there still chances of getting ITA with 453 points? I am very depressed after seeing the 24 th march draw where cut off is 470 points and ITA given to only 1014 candidates.

 

[quarko]

Awfully low. About half of the invitations issued in 2015 were accounted toward 2016 quotas. They have already issued ~10k invitations in 2016 + ~30k from 2015, therefore, only 20k invitations remains for 2016 with 9 months to go. 20/9 = ~2000 per month, or ~1000 per draw twice per month. Which is exactly what is happening right now. And you can clearly see that with this rate the cutoff is 470. Therefore, I can almost guarantee that the score won't drop lower than ~465 in the nearest 6 months.

 

[jimjim]

Nobody knows for sure. I predict you will get one in the next 2-3 months. I highly doubt if you get one in the next month.

 

[PseudoNamePK]

Unless Nostradamus is on this forum, there is really no one who can accurately predict the score and number of ITAs in a particular round.

I am at CRS 454 and given the last two rounds it looks like they are trying to reduce the number of ITAs they send each month. This means people like you and me will have to wait a little longer than anticipated for our chance. It is still possible for the score to fall to 453 if they have 2 rounds in consecutive weeks and that is always a possibility and it has happened before. Remember on 17-Apr-15 the CRS score fell down from 735 to 453 just because they had two consecutive rounds. You will have to be patient and it may be 4-5 months before this opportunity arises so now would be a great time to get your PCCs and other documents ready. Remember, you only have to be successful once and you win this 'game'.

 

[axlh17]

Awfully low. About half of the invitations issued in 2015 were accounted toward 2016 quotas. They have already issued ~10k invitations in 2016 + ~30k from 2015, therefore, only 20k invitations remains for 2016 with 9 months to go. 20/9 = ~2000 per month, or ~1000 per draw twice per month. Which is exactly what is happening right now. And you can clearly see that with this rate the cutoff is 470. Therefore, I can almost guarantee that the score won't drop lower than ~465 in the nearest 6 months.

But it seems the cutoff dropped quite a lot in 2015? Do you think there's still chance it will also drop below 460 this year?

 

[quarko]

Well, there is always a chance for them to start issuing invitations that count towards 2017 quotas (like it has happened in 2015). Who knows, maybe that's how they like this process - issuing invitations in advance.

 

[axlh17]

Awfully low. About half of the invitations issued in 2015 were accounted toward 2016 quotas. They have already issued ~10k invitations in 2016 + ~30k from 2015, therefore, only 20k invitations remains for 2016 with 9 months to go. 20/9 = ~2000 per month, or ~1000 per draw twice per month. Which is exactly what is happening right now. And you can clearly see that with this rate the cutoff is 470. Therefore, I can almost guarantee that the score won't drop lower than ~465 in the nearest 6 months.

So it seems the target for 2016 should be ~60k, but they already used up 40k, that's why the cutoff is so high right now. I guess then starting 2017 the cutoff should become lower once another 60k become available?