AOR in January 2017 - Connect Here!

[Moe Juve]

I'm just wondering what will happen after IP2..
Are they gonna send me an email for PPR or it will be a message in my application?
Thanks guys

 

[prashantduggal]

I'm just wondering what will happen after IP2..
Are they gonna send me an email for PPR or it will be a message in my application?
Thanks guys

It can be any of them or both.

 

[Oty]

When I called IRCC last week, I was told that my application has been approved since July 18. Since then, I have bn awaiting my PPR. Does anyone know the possible cause of delay?

 

[Moe Juve]

When I called IRCC last week, I was told that my application has been approved since July 18. Since then, I have bn awaiting my PPR. Does anyone know the possible cause of delay?

Did you pass 6 months already?

 

[Oty]

Did you pass 6 months already?

No, my AOR is May 5. I only called last week to confirm receipt of a submitted document, then I was told my application has bn approved and that I should expect further instructions.

 

[YB1984]

Hi,
i am trying many many times to call from outside Canada, and they always cut the phone which they transfer it to CIC.

any advice please or any number we can use from outside canada.
thanks

 

[Moe Juve]

No, my AOR is May 5. I only called last week to confirm receipt of a submitted document, then I was told my application has bn approved and that I should expect further instructions.

Well if you are already passed the 6 months then that will confirm what the representative said. Before 6 months you wont know if you got approved or not and they wont tell you any info about getting approved. They will tell you either we received your application or they might tell you that you passed medical and criminality, or your application has been transferred to a local office.
Also we (January AORs) still didnt get approved. Some got IP2 some still NA and some got it already. Take it easy and time will go and you will receive your PPR.

 

[Moe Juve]

Hi,
i am trying many many times to call from outside Canada, and they always cut the phone which they transfer it to CIC.

any advice please or any number we can use from outside canada.
thanks

Yea the same case with all callers from inside Canada. Keep calling this is the only way.

 

[India2201Canada]

Where did you get 54507 figure from? From Jan 1st up to date?

Even though if it is 10%, have you heard of statistical sample? Please read here: http://iqsresearch.com/what-makes-a-statistically-valid-sample/

The best, most accurate way to find out would be to ask every single person in Louisville. But at 1,000,000 people in the region, that’s impossible. So statisticians and researchers have created methods that allow us to ask a sample of the population to get that information we want.

So what is a small enough sample that we can predict how many Louisvillians like vanilla ice cream? Half a million? No. How about 100,000? No, smaller. Maybe 10,000? Nope.

Surprisingly enough, for a population of about one million people, we would only need to survey 384people to get a reliable answer. There are specific factors we have to consider regarding who to pick, making sure all pockets of the population are included, and the quality of the research basis, but if we can satisfy all those factors, we only have to talk to 384 people total.

As i said above, you can't see the un-updated cases:



about 11% are inactive:



Moreover, there is 10+ moderators on the tracker who monitor many forums, for any updates and update the tracker on behalf of users on regular basis, if a user misses anything.

Please do the research before saying "no one updates the tracker" and "it only has 10%".

January, has cleared ~75%

ok i am not saying that you are completely wrong.
But here are my observations. lets take into consideration only the month of january.
there are 512 active january cases as of now.
112 are on medicals passed & e-apr Aor staus.
out of those 114, only 31 are those who have updated there cases in july.
I know u cant update if there is no update at all but what is the probablity that those who have updated before july have still not got anything. there are high chances they have got it and not updated. 45% of them have not updated since after may at all.
also there are many cases whose date of creation and last update date is the same. so there 99% chance they created the tracker and than forgot about it.

You say there are moderators. well in the month of march there are many duplicates. 3 that i can name right now. all of them with last update as same as date of creation. so why arent the duplicate cases removed.

and yes if you calculate the number of ppr's given out this year they are 54500+ and compare it to the number of cases on the tracker this year.yes i know about the method of sampling, but this is different. the more the cases, the more workload for the offices. isnt there a high chance that the ratio of ppl getting ppr here is faster than out of those who arent on the tracker. yes it can be visa-versa but think about this. on the tracker the percentage of ppr received is 73% but if you add all the actual cases of january, the figure will drastically change. It can be more than 73% and even less. and when u consider so many cases, even small percentages matter.

 

[Oty]

Well if you are already passed the 6 months then that will confirm what the representative said. Before 6 months you wont know if you got approved or not and they wont tell you any info about getting approved. They will tell you either we received your application or they might tell you that you passed medical and criminality, or your application has been transferred to a local office.
Also we (January AORs) still didnt get approved. Some got IP2 some still NA and some got it already. Take it easy and time will go and you will receive your PPR.

Are u implying I don't know what I'm saying or I lied? That your AOR is January and awaiting approval doesn't mean some others haven't gotten theirs processed faster.

 

[Kanikananda]

Hi guys
I am suffering from common cold and cough ... please advice if i shld get my medical done or shld I wait and not take a chance ... however thedictors hv suggested me tht this shld nt be a cncrn

 

[Oty]

Hi,
i am trying many many times to call from outside Canada, and they always cut the phone which they transfer it to CIC.

any advice please or any number we can use from outside canada.
thanks

+1 (613) 944-4000

 

[andy108]

Please see my comments in line.

ok i am not saying that you are completely wrong.
But here are my observations. lets take into consideration only the month of january.
there are 512 active january cases as of now.
112 are on medicals passed & e-apr Aor staus.
out of those 114, only 31 are those who have updated there cases in july.
I know u cant update if there is no update at all but what is the probablity that those who have updated before july have still not got anything. there are high chances they have got it and not updated. 45% of them have not updated since after may at all.
also there are many cases whose date of creation and last update date is the same. so there 99% chance they created the tracker and than forgot about it.

Andy:

1. The total number of active cases:


2. 13 are e-apr aor status, 12 are updated within last 60 days. 1 within 90 days (will go inactive after 90)

3. 101 in meds pass. 65 updated within last 60 days, 36 within 90 days (will go inactive after 90).

4. All of the cases which being inactive are sent reminders to update. Unless user unsubscribe or update the case, reminders will continue to be dropped.

You say there are moderators. well in the month of march there are many duplicates. 3 that i can name right now. all of them with last update as same as date of creation. so why arent the duplicate cases removed.

Andy: 3? OMG! That's not a lot of 500+ cases. Sorry, but we are all humans. You can tell which 3, so we will remove.

and yes if you calculate the number of ppr's given out this year they are 54500+ and compare it to the number of cases on the tracker this year.yes i know about the method of sampling, but this is different. the more the cases, the more workload for the offices. isnt there a high chance that the ratio of ppl getting ppr here is faster than out of those who arent on the tracker. yes it can be visa-versa but think about this. on the tracker the percentage of ppr received is 73% but if you add all the actual cases of january, the figure will drastically change. It can be more than 73% and even less. and when u consider so many cases, even small percentages matter.

Andy: The more cases or the less, it will be reflected in the sample. As sample is large enough, more than large enough to show the real picture.

This is pure speculation, you try to argue with statistical sampling by using speculative arguments without pointing to any facts. One can assume whatever - tracker offers statistically valid and very diverse sample.

The sample is 100% supported by other evidence, i.e. January AOR group, 100 members, about 30 are waiting for PPR.

AR: Where did figure of 54500 Passport request come from, can you share the report name, url?

To sum up, one can believe in whatever he wants, but arguing with statistics without facts is pointless. I understand that results you see may differ from your expectations. I am sorry.

 

[Rain1925]

AOR on Jan. 24.
CEC inland

My profile seems frozen forever

 

[andy108]

AOR on Jan. 24.
CEC inland

My profile seems frozen forever

You are not alone there a few CECs waiting.... since Jan