31st Express Entry Draw Predictions/31st Draw Predictions

[papapsi]

Well the last two draws were 474 and 470, and they have reduced the number of quotas due to refugees haven't they? How come nobody else is worried

I hope you guys are right but at this point I am just a little worried, been in Canada for so many years I don't wanna end up going back so I really need that PR and got rejected in my last ITA due to a PCC error :|

The general quota is down about 20% but what we've been told is the additional 10k refugees won't affect the already reduced quota for 2016. The data for 2015 is all over the place. I think when the April draws come through we will have a clearer picture. I'm slightly worried too. There are three possible outcomes:
a. Figure stays the same
b. Figure drops
c. Figure increases

The thing is the distribution of scores more than the number of people to be drawn determines the cut-off CRS. If more than 80% have CRS between 420-450 as an example then it's more likely the score will be in the middle there somewhere. If however the distribution is biased towards 450+ then it stands to reason that it'll be 450+. The key is in the CRS distribution at draw time and this may well be the same, up or down.

 

[Talitha Koum]

I feel draw will be on 8th April with scores around 465-469.
Draws may go down from 465 and below mid year.

 

[JUST CHILL]

Draw on April 6, with cutoff 474.

 

[GagamM]

hi this maybe a stupid question- If the cutoff is 460 or 470 does that mean all candidates that have CSR points above the cutoff gets an invitation?

 

[papapsi]

hi this maybe a stupid question- If the cutoff is 460 or 470 does that mean all candidates that have CSR points above the cutoff gets an invitation?

Exactly so. I'm yet to hear if someone was above and didn't get an ITA for that round.

 

[Aal_]

hi this maybe a stupid question- If the cutoff is 460 or 470 does that mean all candidates that have CSR points above the cutoff gets an invitation?

Well that is why you see variations in invitations. Like 1014 1030 etc ... these variations account to taking all people who are above or equal to the CRS.

At least that's what my head is telling me.

 

[GagamM]

Thank you all for your responses, this really helped me understand the whole EE system better. looking at last few draws, this next one most likely will be 465

 

[papapsi]

Thank you all for your responses, this really helped me understand the whole EE system better. looking at last few draws, this next one most likely will be 465

Great at 481 I don't think you need to worry. You're sure to be in the next round. Congrats in advance

 

[sushsmart15]

Great at 481 I don't think you need to worry. You're sure to be in the next round. Congrats in advance

With 470, even you are just 1 or 2 draws away from an ITA.

 

[twztedelegance]

With 470, even you are just 1 or 2 draws away from an ITA.

What about 469

Praying for ITA tomorrow

 

[papapsi]

What about 469

Praying for ITA tomorrow

Amen. I sense we will both smile tomorrow. It is well