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31st draw 954 invitations 470

ThiagoSCF

Star Member
Aug 31, 2015
137
0
123
Brazil
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
twztedelegance said:
hope so brother, my work permit is over in july and i will be devastated if i have to leave canada
I'm sorry for your situation. But even if you were able to get the ITA in this round, it's very unlikely that you would receive the PR before july...
 

kronstadter

Full Member
Feb 3, 2016
44
0
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
kronstadter said:
From what I see here http://eefacts.com/ (the second chart and the following list) there was only one draw under 1000 invitations (apart from the starting ones), ant it was the first draw of April last year. Is there anything special in April? End of some-kind of quota? Or something related to financial year?
Actually the second one in April, last year was also at a low level - 715
 

Asivad Anac

VIP Member
May 27, 2015
10,630
1,398
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kronstadter said:
Actually the second one in April, last year was also at a low level - 715
And so was May, right? It probably isn't the month that decides number of ITA/draw.

IRCC probably decide the number of ITAs for a particular draw by looking at the number of backlog cases coming through and the number of qualifying PAs in the pool at that point in time which is possibly determined by them setting the 'artificial' floor at some definite number in such a way that they can get +/- 1000 ITAs/draw (or more realistically, the number of applicants* being picked up in that draw). This used to be +/- 1500 last year which has gone down now because economic immigration targets were revised downwards earlier in the year.

*Number of applicants = Number of ITAs (PAs) + number of dependent family numbers in those applications.
 

snorden88

Hero Member
Oct 15, 2015
288
15
124
India
Category........
Visa Office......
CPC-Ottawa
NOC Code......
1221
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
App. Filed.......
27-05-2016
AOR Received.
27-05-2016
Med's Request
Upfront
Passport Req..
22-11-2016
VISA ISSUED...
30-11-2016
LANDED..........
--/03/2017
how long does it take to get the ITA ..

thanks
 

kronstadter

Full Member
Feb 3, 2016
44
0
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
Asivad Anac said:
And so was May, right? It probably isn't the month that decides number of ITA/draw.
No - in May last year was 1361

Asivad Anac said:
This used to be +/- 1500 last year which has gone down now because economic immigration targets were revised downwards earlier in the year.
How profound is that revision? 1000 is 2/3 from 1500, I don't think the revision is 33% (at least I hope so)
 
Mar 24, 2016
7
0
Hi, everyone!

My overall score is 471 but I haven't received any new messages/e-mails, even though my application status is "open".

Is there a delay between the actual draw and being notified that you have been invited? Could there be something wrong with my profile?

Thanks a lot.
 

snorden88

Hero Member
Oct 15, 2015
288
15
124
India
Category........
Visa Office......
CPC-Ottawa
NOC Code......
1221
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
App. Filed.......
27-05-2016
AOR Received.
27-05-2016
Med's Request
Upfront
Passport Req..
22-11-2016
VISA ISSUED...
30-11-2016
LANDED..........
--/03/2017
angst-ridden applicant said:
Hi, everyone!

My overall score is 471 but I haven't received any new messages/e-mails, even though my application status is "open".

Is there a delay between the actual draw and being notified that you have been invited? Could there be something wrong with my profile?

Thanks a lot.
don't fret. I haven't received it yet too!
 

Han

Hero Member
Feb 24, 2014
777
124
Category........
Visa Office......
Ottawa
NOC Code......
2133
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
App. Filed.......
08-01-2016
AOR Received.
08-01-2016
Passport Req..
20-06-2016
VISA ISSUED...
28-06-2016
LANDED..........
29-06-2016 :)
angst-ridden applicant said:
Hi, everyone!

My overall score is 471 but I haven't received any new messages/e-mails, even though my application status is "open".

Is there a delay between the actual draw and being notified that you have been invited? Could there be something wrong with my profile?

Thanks a lot.
Yes, there is a delay up to 24 hours.
All the best,
 

nedved13

Star Member
Nov 5, 2015
152
3
Category........
Visa Office......
Paris
NOC Code......
2132
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
Doc's Request.
TEF 02-02-2016
AOR Received.
01-02-2016
Med's Done....
04-02-2016
Passport Req..
16-06-2016
snorden88 said:
how long does it take to get the ITA ..

thanks
Congrats from 0 to 24 hours
 

Aal_

Hero Member
Feb 28, 2016
962
89
NOC Code......
2174
App. Filed.......
16-03-2017
AOR Received.
17-03-2017
Med's Done....
23-02-2017 / Passed: 12-07-2017
Passport Req..
11-09-2018
Guys it's fairly simple, they must look at the number of ITA'S they want to issue if they take 470 or 469. If 470 is 970 and 469 is 1200 for example, they would for sure pick 470, to have the smallest variance. They have to do this since they cannot take part of the 469's only.
 

twztedelegance

Hero Member
Jul 14, 2015
261
28
New Brunswick
Aal_ said:
Guys it's fairly simple, they must look at the number of ITA'S they want to issue if they take 470 or 469. If 470 is 970 and 469 is 1200 for example, they would for sure pick 470, to have the smallest variance. They have to do this since they cannot take part of the 469's only.
so u think they will possibly go below 470 in next few draws or no

seems they like it as a lower number now :-X

i wonder how i can get few more points, i am waiting for NBPNP but dunno when/if it will come
 

Aal_

Hero Member
Feb 28, 2016
962
89
NOC Code......
2174
App. Filed.......
16-03-2017
AOR Received.
17-03-2017
Med's Done....
23-02-2017 / Passed: 12-07-2017
Passport Req..
11-09-2018
twztedelegance said:
so u think they will possibly go below 470 in next few draws or no

seems they like it as a lower number now :-X
The only way they would do that is if 1000 - (number of applicants >= 470) > (number of applicants = 469)

This is the condition to go to 469 IMHO.
 

Aal_

Hero Member
Feb 28, 2016
962
89
NOC Code......
2174
App. Filed.......
16-03-2017
AOR Received.
17-03-2017
Med's Done....
23-02-2017 / Passed: 12-07-2017
Passport Req..
11-09-2018
twztedelegance said:
so u think they will possibly go below 470 in next few draws or no

seems they like it as a lower number now :-X

i wonder how i can get few more points, i am waiting for NBPNP but dunno when/if it will come
It's really not what they like, it is how much variance around 1000. 1000 is the golden number. All this is only valid if they stick at 1 draw every 2 weeks. Or else every calculation falls apart. I think it will be steady from now on as I can see.