2ND DRAW FOR FEB ???? ANY IDEA????
- Thread starter adam2012
- Start date
I'm also waiting for an ITA on the next draw after receiving my nomination last week. CIC is unpredictable that's a given fact. Trend varies from time to time and I just hope there will be 3 draws same as the number of ITA drawn last month.
IRCC may conduct draws on 17-Feb and/or 24-Feb. If they hold 2 more draws in Feb. then it confirms that most likely they will hold 3 draws every month in 2016.
Everything is a mere guess, nobody knows for sure what IRCC may finally do
Everything is a mere guess, nobody knows for sure what IRCC may finally do
Aragorn165
Champion Member
- Sep 18, 2015
- 106
- Category........
- Visa Office......
- NDVO
- Job Offer........
- Pre-Assessed..
- App. Filed.......
- 04-03-2016
- Nomination.....
- 03-11-2015
- AOR Received.
- 04-03-2016
- Passport Req..
- 02-09-2016
February will be an interesting month- it will confirm whether or not CIC plans on having three draws a month going forward. On my part, I think they will stick to two a month- that said, someone on this forum calculated and extrapolated trends, and projected that June will have three draws next. That sounds to me the most reasonable prediction to stick to.
Assuming they stick to ~ 1500 ITAs/draw, it entirely depends on the backlog whether IRCC will have 2 or 3 draws per month. If the backlog has reduced significantly in 2015 (which it should have), 2016 could well see close to 5000 ITAs/month (or 3 draws of ~ 1500 ITAs each month).Aragorn165 said:
Extrapolating from 2015 is a bad idea - 2015 wasn't an ideal year for IRCC or EE.
Aragorn165
Champion Member
- Sep 18, 2015
- 106
- Category........
- Visa Office......
- NDVO
- Job Offer........
- Pre-Assessed..
- App. Filed.......
- 04-03-2016
- Nomination.....
- 03-11-2015
- AOR Received.
- 04-03-2016
- Passport Req..
- 02-09-2016
Oh, definitely, a single year is a terrible sample size to draw any conclusions from- however, I think that the influx of refugee applications at the end of last year should effectively perform the same function as IRCC's backlog last year (now mostly cleared) did- in which case, the trends may reflect last year's trends a fair bit, at least trends from the back half of last year.Asivad Anac said:
We'll find out tomorrow. Hopefully I am wrong
Asivad, do you mind taking a look on this excel file: Permanent Resident Inventory. If I'm not wrong, this file represents the processing cases of PR from IRCC, as of October 2015.Asivad Anac said:
As of October 2015, IRCC still had in its inventory:
- 13,454 applications for Skilled Workers
- 16,654 applications for PNP
- 7,877 applications for CEC
That is a huge backlog of cases for IRCC to process. Hopefully, I am wrong.
RamsayBolton said:
Does it only include applications from the pre-EE era or does it show the complete number till date? If it's from the pre EE times then it essentially means roughly 50% of the immigration targets of an average year for CIC. That's pretty bad!
Almost 11:00 AM in Ottawa, and no news yet. I guess we go back to 2 draws per month guys. The score is not going down sub 450 soon
I think there will be draw today and may be now because the website is down. Or it can be because everyone is checking for the draw. Never know. :.Anyways good luck for all those waiting.
.Anyways good luck for all those waiting.
Usually the news comes around 9:30 to 10:00 PM Indian time. Still half an hour more to go!RamsayBolton said:Almost 11:00 AM in Ottawa, and no news yet. I guess we go back to 2 draws per month guys. The score is not going down sub 450 soon
Just a wishful thinking!