16 Draw Unite:prediction of draw, Number of Draws . crs 400 +

[tomneversfield]

I wish you all the best of luck, but as far as predictions go, I think there won't be any draws till Sept 18th... And the required score will be in the upper 700's then...
However, I do think they'll go back down to the level of 440's by late 2015, early 2016.... just not right now.

 

[taffarel]

what willvthe 16 draw like?

If the 16 th draw is in a week i.e 28th August It wil first time go below 450......

If the 16 th Draw is on 4th Sep it might go just 448.....but still below 450

Only if the draw happens after 21 days it will go p to 461.....

The number of invities have to be increased for the quota of 2105 to be filled....great chances now for those below 450...

Cheers ...dont lose hopes...just relax and see now the crs going down....the first time going below 450.....it will...it will...and it will......or no one will file
Express Entry profile in 2016....they have to keep it alive


best of luck

if new draw in two weeks, 445 points.

 

[cryptic0]

I am loving looking at all these predictions. The numbers are all over the place and have no factual basis. Pure speculation. It would be nice if we stop these numbers around like this. No one really knows what the cutoff score will be on any of the draws.

 

[qx43]

What is with the fun police around here? If you don't like this topic, just avoid the thread. Regardless, I think there is a decent chance at one draw being below 450 before the end of the year ;D

 

[akhil5293]

any chance if I can get ITA 410+

 

[bestofluck]

Kateg will be wrong in very near future. It has to go below 450. kateg no matter you spread as many negetiive vibrations, God is great

 

[beeba-bacha]

Definitely the points will go below 450 in near future.

 

[rafzy]

Definitely the points will go below 450 in near future.

I hope near future is 16th draw

 

[mushej]

at the end of the year the score will decrease to 400. The next year will be year for scores 300+

 

[bestofluck]

Lets observe the logic


Any person can get maximum of 481 crs if he is outside Canada. This is practically not achievable because no one can score 136 in IELTS. My score is 133 though. So this means all a person can score being outside Canada is something around 461 practically.

So All rounds which says above crs 461 means no Outsider is selected or just one o 2 are selected from outside Canada.

Now Express Entry Wants to take people who are outside Canada. And all those who are outside canada and getting good crs are between 420 and 470 crs. more being in range of 440 -450. The highest outsiders crs is average 445.

So lets assume an average of 445 is the outsider. So Express Entry scores will be always less than 445 in future. Once the lot of people in Canada has applied than the crs 445 will become benchmark. Which means all those above 400 will always be in hot list in 2016 and mostly all will get ITA above 400.

 

[mushej]

Time will tell

 

[bestofluck]

Time will tell

Kateg is not time..so what kateg says is all rubbish. kateg has no logic just a negetive person who dont want anyone to get ITA excpet him. poor kateg i wish u get some positivity from people here .

 

[chopsumbongw]

Lets observe the logic


Any person can get maximum of 481 crs if he is outside Canada. This is practically not achievable because no one can score 136 in IELTS. My score is 133 though. So this means all a person can score being outside Canada is something around 461 practically.

So All rounds which says above crs 461 means no Outsider is selected or just one o 2 are selected from outside Canada.

Now Express Entry Wants to take people who are outside Canada. And all those who are outside canada and getting good crs are between 420 and 470 crs. more being in range of 440 -450. The highest outsiders crs is average 445.

So lets assume an average of 445 is the outsider. So Express Entry scores will be always less than 445 in future. Once the lot of people in Canada has applied than the crs 445 will become benchmark. Which means all those above 400 will always be in hot list in 2016 and mostly all will get ITA above 400.

Well I don't think 136 for is impossible as I have CLB 10 which amounts to 136 points for language. (I am from India)
Someone with a master's degree, CLB 10 and with at least 3 years of experience should score 475+.

Recent trends have founds around 40% - 50% of graduates pursue at least a Master's Degree.
Every year several people will cross the 3 year work experience which will grant them more points in skills transferability.

The number of applications will only increase year on year as it has been for the last 5 years according to statistics on CIC.

Now I do hope the required CRS points reduce in the future draws as I myself am sitting smug on 441 points with no possibility to increase my points unless I improve my french or pursue a master's degree.

In my opinion, I would say we could see the points reduce towards the end of October as most PNP may be issued by then.

Good Luck to Us !!

 

[bestofluck]

Well I don't think 136 for is impossible as I have CLB 10 which amounts to 136 points for language. (I am from India)
Someone with a master's degree, CLB 10 and with at least 3 years of experience should score 475+.

Recent trends have founds around 40% - 50% of graduate pursue at least a Master's Degree.
Every year several people will cross the 3 year work experience which will grant them more points in skills transferability.

The number of applications will only increase year on year as it has been for the last 5 years according to statistics on CIC.

Now I do hope the required CRS points reduce in the future draws as I myself am sitting smug on 441 points with no possibility to increase my points unless I improve my french or pursue a master's degree.

In my opinion, I would say we could see the points reduce towards the end of October as most PNP may be issued by then.

Good Luck to Us !!

Good u have 136 points. thats too rare and always there is exception. I too have 133. but thing is maximum u can get is 481. whic is practically not possible or say only .1 percent possible. how can crs not go below 45 than? how many will they get in 2016 when the quota is 60 000 PR to be given.

How many are crs above 456 from outside Canada. very few. they have to go down to 400.

you are right without masters 440 is a limit . so is mine. i have 438. 3 less in ielts compared to ur 136. but we both have fair good chance and thats why i am not applying to pnp. if we applly in hurry the we will curse ourself for not having patience. this is a patience test. wait and watch. My wiating time is end of OCtober,. than i apply to PNP

 

[chopsumbongw]

Hi Bestofluck,

I mean there will be bucket loads of new applications next year including a lot of people who don't make the cut this year. Some people would improve their IELTS scores and some may cross 3 years of work experience.

We can just hope for the Best at this point!

If logic and simple math prevails unless CIC increases the number of ITAs in the remaining draws it may not happen any time soon.