13th Jan 2016, 2nd Draw of the year. Cut-off 453

[spacevash]

that's strange thing to hear back from CIC ... You just have to wait.

ITA sometimes takes upto 24 hours to land in your MYCIC account.

Thank you. I hope I get an ITA. If not, then there is no point of having a point system, if they are going to select few people for 455 and then just drop to another score.

 

[naofel_bd]

Just got ITA Alhamdulillah

 

[JoacRy]

Wow, it will be interesting to see if the score pushes through the 2015 psychological barrier of 450. Based on the trend in January so far, it's an even money bet.

 

[RamsayBolton]

Wow, it will be interesting to see if the score pushes through the 2015 psychological barrier of 450. Based on the trend in January so far, it's an even money bet.

I think they will break the 450 barrier within the next two draws. My score is 447, so I'm praying to every Gods that I know to help me. By the way, will we going to have the Express Entry 2015 report from CIC soon? I bet there would be some very interesting facts and numbers for us.

 

[polcoin]

Got ITA after 3 months wait.
Congratulations to all others who got their ITAs.

 

[myselfchinmay]

Congratulations to all who got ITA in this draw !!! All the very best for guys who are waiting for ITA !!! I am creating one whatsapp group for 13 JAN ITA please send me your contact details, if you are interested

 

[Harsha5877]

It sucks that updating EE profile takes 24 hours to enter the system.

Got the invite. Strange that my profile still shows no invitation at this point of time but I have the invite.

Cheers

 

[Canada90728]

Congratulations to all who got the ITA today.

Need some honest suggestion. I stand at 451. Got couple of days to submit my OINP application. Should I reject OINP and wait for the score to come down to 451? Or should I go ahead with it?

 

[JoacRy]

Congratulations to all who got the ITA today.

Need some honest suggestion. I stand at 451. Got couple of days to submit my OINP application. Should I reject OINP and wait for the score to come down to 451? Or should I go ahead with it?

In no way am I telling you what to do here, I am just giving an honest suggestion because you asked for it. Based on what's happened so far there is a chance the score could go below 450 (if the draw is held next week). I mean think about it there was a 7 point drop from last week to this week.

Based on this if I were you I would not go for the OINP and save my money. Having said that these draws can't be predicted (in either accuracy or frequency). Too many unknowns with CIC.

Again, this is my suggestion and what I would do. I'm not telling you to do one thing or the other. Hope you understand.

 

[Asivad Anac]

Congratulations to all who got the ITA today.

Need some honest suggestion. I stand at 451. Got couple of days to submit my OINP application. Should I reject OINP and wait for the score to come down to 451? Or should I go ahead with it?

450+ should get you an ITA in the next 3-4 months. I'm not expecting CIC to do any more draws in Jan. They're clearly sticking to the 2015 script for now. The algorithm (from Jun'15 onward) works roughly as follows.

1. Keep monitoring the pool each day from the beginning of the month. Conduct a draw on the day when there are ~1500 people at a score >= 450.

2. If you have completed 2 draws for the month, go to 3. Else go to 1 again.

3. Wait for next month and start from 1 again.

Assuming that CIC continues to operate in this fashion, you'll eventually get an ITA with a 451 CRS but it will take a while. No harm in applying to OINP - you can withdraw your application and ask them to return your 1500 fee as well if you get an ITA meanwhile. Your call.

 

[CADparity]

450+ should get you an ITA in the next 3-4 months. I'm not expecting CIC to do any more draws in Jan. They're clearly sticking to the 2015 script for now. The algorithm (from Jun'15 onward) works roughly as follows.

1. Keep monitoring the pool each day from the beginning of the month. Conduct a draw on the day when there are ~1500 people at a score >= 450.

2. If you have completed 2 draws for the month, go to 3. Else go to 1 again.

3. Wait for next month and start from 1 again.

Assuming that CIC continues to operate in this fashion, you'll eventually get an ITA with a 451 CRS but it will take a while. No harm in applying to OINP - you can withdraw your application and ask them to return your 1500 fee as well if you get an ITA meanwhile. Your call.

That's a pretty good and observant analysis. I hadn't thought this way about their algorithm.

Any idea on what happens if you get an ITA while your OPNP application is being processed? Would Ontario give you 600 pts anyway while your application with CIC is pending?

 

[Asivad Anac]

That's a pretty good and observant analysis. I hadn't thought this way about their algorithm.

Any idea on what happens if you get an ITA while your OPNP application is being processed? Would Ontario give you 600 pts anyway while your application with CIC is pending?

If you accept an ITA, Ontario won't be able to nominate that profile anymore, and rightly so, because the sole purpose of nomination is to eventually land an ITA.

 

[Honeyaustin]

Congratulations to all who got the ITA today.

Need some honest suggestion. I stand at 451. Got couple of days to submit my OINP application. Should I reject OINP and wait for the score to come down to 451? Or should I go ahead with it?

keep your application ready if and only submit it when you are about to reach the deadline of 45 days, till than wait and watch you might receive ITA in next draw...
good luck

 

[derekwj37]

yes, that would be good to know if anyone has an idea.

I am about to process our express entry (wife, and me), I wonder is there a better month to submit??

 

[deemama]

Never ever loose hope on anything. Congrats