Canada90728 said:
Congratulations to all who got the ITA today.
Need some honest suggestion. I stand at 451. Got couple of days to submit my OINP application. Should I reject OINP and wait for the score to come down to 451? Or should I go ahead with it?
450+ should get you an ITA in the next 3-4 months. I'm not expecting CIC to do any more draws in Jan. They're clearly sticking to the 2015 script for now. The algorithm (from Jun'15 onward) works roughly as follows.
1. Keep monitoring the pool each day from the beginning of the month. Conduct a draw on the day when there are ~1500 people at a score >= 450.
2. If you have completed 2 draws for the month, go to 3. Else go to 1 again.
3. Wait for next month and start from 1 again.
Assuming that CIC continues to operate in this fashion, you'll eventually get an ITA with a 451 CRS but it will take a while. No harm in applying to OINP - you can withdraw your application and ask them to return your 1500 fee as well if you get an ITA meanwhile. Your call.