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Glaber

Hero Member
Feb 22, 2019
241
568
Based on this, it looks like the majority of FSW applications will be processed this year? Around 80% or so, with the assumption 4000 have been processed between 1st January and 1st February.

Maybe I'm misunderstanding something. Reading the comments today, I thought it was much less and we were all in for a wait until 2023.
Assumptions? yeah I like assumptions too mate. Here are some:

 

Buho09

Star Member
Mar 8, 2021
91
64
Hi Ak1664!
I don't think IRCC follows the FIFO strategy. I assume that IRCC have its own priority pattern which is based on an application's parameters only, not FIFO. And I think the priority list may look like something like this:

1) Inland CEC with extended medicals
2) Applicants with fresh medicals who have all the assessment stages passed, and are just waiting for finalising their applications.
3) Applicants with fresh medicals who have their eligibility passed.
4) Applicants with fresh medicals who have their R10 passed.
5) Applicants with expired medicals who have all the assessment stages passed.
6) Applicants with expired medicals who have their eligibility passed.
7) Applicants with expired medicals who have their R10 passed.
8) Applicants who need to add spouses/kids with all their docs to be assessed from the very beginning.
9) Applicants with unpredictably complex applications

I put points 4-7 in the given order because I believe that applications with expired medicals are placed in a different 'pool' in the information system IRCC officers use until new medicals are uploaded and re-assessed by doctors, not usual IRCC officers.
my meds have already expired 3 months ago. do you think I should go for an upfront medical? would it expedite the process ?
 

Shahrivar

Star Member
Nov 20, 2018
98
45
holy fuck. i believe you are close to ppr. the remeds passed on january tho. The ppr timelines i saw recently had the re meds done on december and january.
You know, I have never believed that getting a visa/resident permit/citizenship is a right. I know that it is something that you have to earn and meet the criteria, but holy shit, how long should an individual wait before they have a meaningful response to his submitted application?
 
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ElvisRamaj

Hero Member
Apr 26, 2021
824
1,861
34
Tirana, AL
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
0114
Assumptions? yeah I like assumptions too mate. Here are some:


@Glaber

So assuming they have enough inventory to accomplish their targets for 2022, shouldn't they conduct at least some kind of draws after the current inventory reaches half by July-August this year, since all of them should be counted towards 2023 quota right ?
 
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dankboi

VIP Member
Apr 19, 2021
3,687
11,099
London, United Kingdom
Category........
FSW
@Shahrivar bruh, what's your NOC / Work history related to government key roles / Military services ?
Are you from mid east ?

There was another user on forum who's almost close to 4 years of processing, they were from Pakistan and a government employee
 

dankboi

VIP Member
Apr 19, 2021
3,687
11,099
London, United Kingdom
Category........
FSW
You know, I have never believed that getting a visa/resident permit/citizenship is a right. I know that it is something that you have to earn and meet the criteria, but holy shit, how long should an individual wait before they have a meaningful response to his submitted application?
how long should an individual wait before they have a meaningful response to his submitted application?

My response-
This Canadian legend / immigration lawyer / ex ircc officer states,
 

Shahrivar

Star Member
Nov 20, 2018
98
45
@Shahrivar bruh, what's your NOC / Work history related to government key roles / Military services ?
Are you from mid east ?

There was another user on forum who's almost close to 4 years of processing, they were from Pakistan and a government employee
I have never worked in any governmental organization, I have traveled to Canada as a tourist. I lived in Finland for 6. Regarding my military service, I completed it as it is compulsory in Iran. So nothing unusual.
 
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GandiBaat

VIP Member
Dec 23, 2014
3,704
2,990
NOC Code......
2173
App. Filed.......
26th September 2021
Doc's Request.
Old Medical
Nomination.....
None
AOR Received.
26th September 2021
IELTS Request
Sent with application
File Transfer...
11-01-2022
Med's Request
Not Applicable, Old Meds
Med's Done....
Old Medical
Interview........
Not Applicable
Passport Req..
22-02-2022
VISA ISSUED...
22-02-2022
LANDED..........
24-02-2022
I did not say anything about new draws. I'm assuming they're smart enough to not to make another draw after reducing the FSW+CEC quota for this year from the regular 110k to ridiculously low 55900. As of February 1 we had 64890 backlog, and if we're going to make an anticipation we should add the 10k files which have been processed in January this year on top of it. 64890+10000= 74890. 55900 people will make it to Canada this year. 18990 WONT! All of these people were gonna make it to Canada in 1st half of the year if the quota wasn't reduced by %50. It is 2x slower than what was anticipated a day ago unless you expected IRCC to reduce the quota from 110k to 55k this year.
Its the TR2PR shit and their Afghan bullshit they kept harassing us with.
 

dankboi

VIP Member
Apr 19, 2021
3,687
11,099
London, United Kingdom
Category........
FSW
I have never worked in any governmental organization, I have traveled to Canada as a tourist. I lived in Finland for 6. Regarding my military service, I completed it as it is compulsory in Iran. So nothing unusual.
raise a webform demanding quick decision. and simply state this webform is prior to filing mandamus. hehe
 

VVV62

Star Member
Feb 11, 2021
174
227
Category........
FSW
AOR Received.
15-10-2020
Med's Done....
26-11-2020
Based on this logic, is it worth redoing medicals to get higher priority, even though I'm M1 and will be extended when they get round to picking up my application?
Unfortunately, I've no idea what people with M1 should do.

my meds have already expired 3 months ago. do you think I should go for an upfront medical? would it expedite the process ?
For other outland applicants (not M1), as I see, sitting and waiting for a re-med request may take an unpredictable amount of time. I know a guy with his meds expired in Sep, 2021, and still he hasn't received a re-med request. In contrast, on this forum and several whatsapp chats I see many PPR-receivers who emphasised that they had done upfront medical exam.

The main question is: how fresh medicals increase one's chances to get PPR sooner than later?
My answer is: we should take into account that there's no official data, and the priority list is just my assumption based on my observations that getting a new medicals may be a key factor. I am just a human, I can make mistakes.