Hello guys,
I have seen on our tracking spreadsheet that around 20 to 30% applicants from January and February month have already received their COPR within 6 months. Is it a regular timeline? Or is it take around 12 months like IRCC says on their website?
IRCC seems to phrase the '12 months' guideline in a way to say that 'most applications are complete in 12 months', and where (pretty consistently) the "most" can / should be read to mean approximately 80%. And the remaining 20% of files that take longer are "more complex". (We actually don't know whether 'complexity' is a function of the file/applicant/process or just definitional in that it includes all files that happen to take longer than 12 months)
BUT: this means that a LOT of files, almost 80%, got processed in less than 12 months (to be a tiny bit facetious, 79% got processed in less than 12 months.
Or when I looked at data from reports here (pre-covid), it was about 50% that were done in about six-seven months.
Or even more simply: it's completely normal that a lot of files would get done quickly ie six months (say about half), another 30% in the next six months, and then 20% just take longer, including some that take a lot longer.
[One major caveat here: that 'most done in 12 months' has absolutely not held during covid - using the previous definition, perhaps it went as high as 18-20 months and they are catching up - only a guess.]
Recent experience of some files going quickly is a reversion to the pre-covid processing times and not an exception. IRCC is catching up, clearing backlogs, and getting closer to pre-covid processing times.
Files are not processed (finished anyway) on a first-come, first-served basis, and never have been.