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dxdroid

Champion Member
Jun 21, 2021
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Nope, that's only a small fraction of apps. Avg processing time for CEC in 2019 (no covid) was 7 months. If IRCC believed they could do that many CECs in 2021 they wouldn't have dropped the number of CEC invites.
Exactly. If they will continue CEC it will not be for this year quota. I will not be surprised if they will be running 3 draws in parallel :)
 

seadrag0n

Champion Member
Mar 6, 2018
2,785
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Lol, September to December is 4months; they can invite and land CECs within that period.
Do you think they will exceed the number of ITA's issued this year since they are very close to the limit and still 4 months are left? This never happened before so I think draws will stop outright.
 

dxdroid

Champion Member
Jun 21, 2021
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Do you think they will exceed the number of ITA's issued this year since they are very close to the limit and still 4 months are left? This never happened before so I think draws will stop outright.
They will not. They are behind their targets for last year, this year is well etc.
 

Jaycejay

Champion Member
Jan 4, 2020
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Lol, September to December is 4months; they can invite and land CECs within that period.
Not really feasible. Consider average of 2weeks to 1 month between ITA and AOR and another 2-3 months between AOR to eCOPR; thats an average of 4 months. Conducting CEC-only draws from Sept 29 is not practical for meeting 2021 targets. 90 % of CECs invited from September 29 will land in January at the earliest.

Why go through that hassle when they can easy land 30,000 FSW-O and PNP-O whose applications are finalized or close to being approved or even those that have expired COPRS when the border reopens
 
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sixtyby3

Star Member
Feb 25, 2021
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To be honest I'd be willing to pay up to CAD5000 if they can guarantee my file will be finalized with a PPR under 4 months. That amount is like paying an officer's full salary for the month so the officer can focus on my app and finish eligibility, medicals, info sharing in a month. Then we wait for CSIS for 3 months to do my security and the officer can take another day or two on it to issue CoPR and PPR. -> 4 months in total
I recall waiting 13 months for a fairly straightforward H1B renewal after working in the US for 2 years. After postponing my vacation plans (I would be unable to re-enter on an expired visa and I would need to return to India for the renewal) multiple times, I paid USD 1500 for the premium processing and got the confirmation within 10 days. Sometimes:
 

Jaycejay

Champion Member
Jan 4, 2020
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Do you think they will exceed the number of ITA's issued this year since they are very close to the limit and still 4 months are left? This never happened before so I think draws will stop outright.
ITAs don’t have limits or quotas. The index they care about is the ‘number of landed immigrants’. Either way; draws need to run in the 4th quarter if they plan to achieve next year’s even higher overall target of 411,000
 

dxdroid

Champion Member
Jun 21, 2021
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ITAs don’t have limits or quotas. The index they care about is the ‘number of landed immigrants’. Either way; draws need to run in the 4th quarter if they plan to achieve next year’s even higher overall target of 411,000
Exactly - the problem is that a lot of people think that quota is based on ITAs which is wrong.
 
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seadrag0n

Champion Member
Mar 6, 2018
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ITAs don’t have limits or quotas. The index they care about is the ‘number of landed immigrants’. Either way; draws need to run in the 4th quarter if they plan to achieve next year’s even higher overall target of 411,000
But they have never gone beyond their ITA target before and there are so many outlanders still waiting to land.
 

dxdroid

Champion Member
Jun 21, 2021
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But they have never gone beyond their ITA target before and there are so many outlanders still waiting to land.
This is not ITA target - it is how many people will land in Canada physically, not ITA number... Last two years were poor because of pandemic, not many people were able to move there.
 
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