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Ray of hope - FSW - 1

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jrossi

Hero Member
Jan 13, 2020
506
699
Why do you think like that?

If they continue to draw every month two times, I think cut-off will go below 460 by end of February.

Its just my prediction but i believe its possible.
Just do the math. The weekly influx of candidates in the pool for that last draw hasn't changed. The score only dropped because it was a B2B, so the pool only had 50% of the usual time to be refilled.
 
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ChessGirl

Star Member
Feb 4, 2020
68
25
Guys, I have been quiet on the group and just putting my head down and studying for TEF. Guess I will still give my exam and hooray to have finally gotten the ITA :)
I was studying for TEF too. Can’t be bothered anymore though lol. But all the best (it’s a worthy certificate to have)
 

Emman O.

Hero Member
Aug 5, 2020
201
124
Just do the math. The weekly influx of candidates in the pool for that last draw hasn't changed. The score only dropped because it was a B2B, so the pool only had 50% of the usual time to be refilled.
Lol the same way you said B2B would never happen, and I actually believed you and panicked.
 

Islander216

Champion Member
Nov 27, 2019
2,110
1,338
All analysts should rest. The events of the past has shown that noone here, at least on this forum works with IRCC. And peradventure you work with them, you don't really have access to info that matters.
Be that as it may, no one should be giving false hope to people who are far away from the cut-off score.

There is a reasonable middle ground between the two extremes.
 

sun2088

Star Member
Nov 13, 2020
168
170
Be that as it may, no one should be giving false hope to people who are far away from the cut-off score.

There is a reasonable middle ground between the two extremes.
What would you say is a reasonable cut-off score range at this point which may likely result in an ITA?
 

Islander216

Champion Member
Nov 27, 2019
2,110
1,338
470 and above in the coming months, but don't be surprised to see that increase next year.

Cut-off scores have only increased each year.

People need to make themselves as competitive as possible.

If people think that because in 2018 people in the 440's were getting ITAs that they have a chance with that kind of score, only disappointment awaits you.

You have to look at the latest cut-off score and aim to be above it ideally.

That's not to say you have no chance if you're below 470 but it gives you perspective and understanding that it's not really in your hands immediately.
 
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sun2088

Star Member
Nov 13, 2020
168
170
470 and above in the coming months, but don't be surprised to see that increase next year.

Cut-off scores have only increased each year.

People need to make themselves as competitive as possible.

If people think that because in 2018 people in the 440's were getting ITAs that they have a chance with that kind of score, only disappointment awaits you.

You have to look at the latest cut-off score and aim to be above it ideally.
Very true and good points but you have to consider the trends and following points:

1. Biden got elected president and his first move will be to undo Trump's immigration reforms. His VP, Harris, as you may know; her mother is an Indian immigrant and she has expressed, numerous times, the importance of immigrants, particularly from countries like India, to the US. In short, expect the US to open up again.

2. The Canadian immigration targets are very high for 2021-2023. What we're seeing now isn't an outlier, rather its part of a regular trend. The people selected now in November, December will be able to land in 2021/2022. Maybe it won't be 5K ITA's being issued at every draw but at minimum, it will be around 4.2K-4.5K if you do the math. In addition, the number of people entering the pool with a CRS score of 470 and above has been about 2.5K - 3.5K.

IRCC didn't have to hold a b2b draw this week, they didn't have to increase the number of ITA's issued from 4.5K to 5K, they didn't even have to make any EE draws this year even as they already reached their quota, but they did.

When you consider all of this, I find it hard not to be optimistic, especially if you're in the 460's, upper 450's.
 

Sujithavarma

Member
Nov 25, 2020
17
1
One question pls.. in my passport and my DOB certificate my mothers surname is as per my fathers surname but in all her documents its her maiden name(as she is government employee). So will this be a problem?
 
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