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Ray of Hope - 167th Draw - All Program

anisha1992

Hero Member
Oct 20, 2020
408
134
Experts...!!!!! Any prediction for Dec 2nd Draw..?
In general, 3000 to 4000 people have entered at score 471 and above between each draw in last 3 months except during draw 166 (~6500 aspirants, hence score 478). If ~4000 people enter between draw167 and the next one and CIC issues ITA to 4500-5000 aspirants, then we should expect a drop of 1 or 2 points. Hence, my prediction is 470-471.
 

Scalphunter

Star Member
Jun 20, 2020
128
38
I just checked the numbers for Nov 5th draw and Nov 18th draw. After the Nov 5th draw, there were 2448 profiles left in the 471-480 bracket. Right before the Nov 18th draw, a total of 2664 new profiles with scores of 471 and above were present in the pool. Add the 2448 left after the Nov 5th draw, and you end up with 5112 profiles with a 471+ score. After the Nov 18th draw, only 112 profiles with scores 471 and above were left in the pool. So if we round the new 471+ profile figure up to 3000 and if they do another 5000 draw, everyone with 471 and above would get the invite and 2000 people from the 461-470 bracket would get the ITA. There are 11,778 profiles in that bracket. I expect the cutoff to be 470 on the next draw. Maybe almost all the 470 folks will get the ITA. If the number of new 471+ profiles is less than the 2664 added between the last two draws, the cutoff might even hit 469.
 
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joconstantine

Hero Member
Mar 30, 2020
657
555
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
0213
Pre-Assessed..
Yes
AOR Received.
01-08-2020
Results: Rounds of invitations
Ministerial Instructions respecting invitations to apply for permanent residence under the Express Entry system #168 – November 25, 2020
No program specified

See full text of Ministerial Instruction
Number of invitations issued: 5,000Footnote*
Rank required to be invited to apply: 5,000th or above
Date and time of round: November 25, 2020 at 13:04:56 UTC
CRS score of lowest-ranked candidate invited: 469
Tie-breaking rule: October 15, 2020 at 08:50:10 UTC
 
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joconstantine

Hero Member
Mar 30, 2020
657
555
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
0213
Pre-Assessed..
Yes
AOR Received.
01-08-2020
I just checked the numbers for Nov 5th draw and Nov 18th draw. After the Nov 5th draw, there were 2448 profiles left in the 471-480 bracket. Right before the Nov 18th draw, a total of 2664 new profiles with scores of 471 and above were present in the pool. Add the 2448 left after the Nov 5th draw, and you end up with 5112 profiles with a 471+ score. After the Nov 18th draw, only 112 profiles with scores 471 and above were left in the pool. So if we round the new 471+ profile figure up to 3000 and if they do another 5000 draw, everyone with 471 and above would get the invite and 2000 people from the 461-470 bracket would get the ITA. There are 11,778 profiles in that bracket. I expect the cutoff to be 470 on the next draw. Maybe almost all the 470 folks will get the ITA. If the number of new 471+ profiles is less than the 2664 added between the last two draws, the cutoff might even hit 469.
Congratulations!
 
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13nitinsharma

Champion Member
Apr 17, 2012
2,568
3,163
Canada
Results: Rounds of invitations
Ministerial Instructions respecting invitations to apply for permanent residence under the Express Entry system #168 – November 25, 2020
No program specified


See full text of Ministerial Instruction

Number of invitations issued: 5,000Footnote*

Rank required to be invited to apply: 5,000th or above

Date and time of round: November 25, 2020 at 13:04:56 UTC

CRS score of lowest-ranked candidate invited: 469

Tie-breaking rule: October 15, 2020 at 08:50:10 UTC
  • If more than one candidate has the lowest score, the cut-off is based on the date and time they submitted their Express Entry profiles.
Footnotes
*
Candidates from all Express Entry programs were eligible for this round of invitations.
 
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astraldust

Hero Member
Feb 24, 2019
228
97
I just checked the numbers for Nov 5th draw and Nov 18th draw. After the Nov 5th draw, there were 2448 profiles left in the 471-480 bracket. Right before the Nov 18th draw, a total of 2664 new profiles with scores of 471 and above were present in the pool. Add the 2448 left after the Nov 5th draw, and you end up with 5112 profiles with a 471+ score. After the Nov 18th draw, only 112 profiles with scores 471 and above were left in the pool. So if we round the new 471+ profile figure up to 3000 and if they do another 5000 draw, everyone with 471 and above would get the invite and 2000 people from the 461-470 bracket would get the ITA. There are 11,778 profiles in that bracket. I expect the cutoff to be 470 on the next draw. Maybe almost all the 470 folks will get the ITA. If the number of new 471+ profiles is less than the 2664 added between the last two draws, the cutoff might even hit 469.
You sir/madam are a magician. The cutoff is 469.
 

ArsheyaBegum

Star Member
Sep 7, 2018
51
11
Hoohoooo, finally got ITA today with score 472.. got mail as well.
All the best for others, CIC new they have published that they hold two more draws in December.