In general, 3000 to 4000 people have entered at score 471 and above between each draw in last 3 months except during draw 166 (~6500 aspirants, hence score 478). If ~4000 people enter between draw167 and the next one and CIC issues ITA to 4500-5000 aspirants, then we should expect a drop of 1 or 2 points. Hence, my prediction is 470-471.Experts...!!!!! Any prediction for Dec 2nd Draw..?
Congratulations!I just checked the numbers for Nov 5th draw and Nov 18th draw. After the Nov 5th draw, there were 2448 profiles left in the 471-480 bracket. Right before the Nov 18th draw, a total of 2664 new profiles with scores of 471 and above were present in the pool. Add the 2448 left after the Nov 5th draw, and you end up with 5112 profiles with a 471+ score. After the Nov 18th draw, only 112 profiles with scores 471 and above were left in the pool. So if we round the new 471+ profile figure up to 3000 and if they do another 5000 draw, everyone with 471 and above would get the invite and 2000 people from the 461-470 bracket would get the ITA. There are 11,778 profiles in that bracket. I expect the cutoff to be 470 on the next draw. Maybe almost all the 470 folks will get the ITA. If the number of new 471+ profiles is less than the 2664 added between the last two draws, the cutoff might even hit 469.
Haha, thanks! This is amazing! Now I gotta wait to see the invite and follow the next steps. Tanks fro all the help and positivity throughout this wait everyone!Congratulations!
You sir/madam are a magician. The cutoff is 469.I just checked the numbers for Nov 5th draw and Nov 18th draw. After the Nov 5th draw, there were 2448 profiles left in the 471-480 bracket. Right before the Nov 18th draw, a total of 2664 new profiles with scores of 471 and above were present in the pool. Add the 2448 left after the Nov 5th draw, and you end up with 5112 profiles with a 471+ score. After the Nov 18th draw, only 112 profiles with scores 471 and above were left in the pool. So if we round the new 471+ profile figure up to 3000 and if they do another 5000 draw, everyone with 471 and above would get the invite and 2000 people from the 461-470 bracket would get the ITA. There are 11,778 profiles in that bracket. I expect the cutoff to be 470 on the next draw. Maybe almost all the 470 folks will get the ITA. If the number of new 471+ profiles is less than the 2664 added between the last two draws, the cutoff might even hit 469.