Ray of hope - FSW - 1

[aj534160]

It will be tough. I am not sure how I will proceed but life goes on. I try my best to advise people so they are aware of pitfalls in immigration so they don’t go through what I did.

I bet you all. Cut-off will come down.
Reduced IELTS, ECA almost to a standstill. How on earth will a candidate get into the pool amid tons of crisis.
I'm in a group where there are tons of aspirants that were planning to write IELTS
No one is really interested to venture out until there's a vaccine.
Pencil/Paper based mode of IELTS houses a majority of candidates and this is not all happening for the past 4 months.
It is also not gonna happen in full swing anytime before end of September
More than all, except University of Mumbai, it is almost next to impossible to firstly obtain a transcript from an university (many universities are shooing away people and not allowing them to enter the campus except some extremely essential services) be it North or Southern India.
Plus some of the potentials candidates have all left metro cities and are stranded in their native. There are lots more that I can keep saying but again, CUT-OFF WILL COME DOWN and that's my strongest bet.
You will see that from the very next draw itself.
I have made an in-depth, detailed, and logical analysis and conveying this.
Time and again I have repeatedly said this to people and I will be mute now
Will come back to you all and prove to you what I said once draws resume.

 

[Uncle Yayo]

This thread has gone quiet though!! I wonder why... lmao

 

[Timbuktu_14]

This thread has gone quiet though!! I wonder why... lmao

Most of the major contributors have gotten their ITA so the pressure is off - understandably so. lol.

 

[kunalkardam]

Most of the major contributors have gotten their ITA so the pressure is off - understandably so. lol.

I was not a major contributor to the forum but still waiting for the next draw. I am at 471, hopefully FSW continues.

 

[Praveen32]

I bet you all. Cut-off will come down.
Reduced IELTS, ECA almost to a standstill. How on earth will a candidate get into the pool amid tons of crisis.
I'm in a group where there are tons of aspirants that were planning to write IELTS
No one is really interested to venture out until there's a vaccine.
Pencil/Paper based mode of IELTS houses a majority of candidates and this is not all happening for the past 4 months.
It is also not gonna happen in full swing anytime before end of September
More than all, except University of Mumbai, it is almost next to impossible to firstly obtain a transcript from an university (many universities are shooing away people and not allowing them to enter the campus except some extremely essential services) be it North or Southern India.
Plus some of the potentials candidates have all left metro cities and are stranded in their native. There are lots more that I can keep saying but again, CUT-OFF WILL COME DOWN and that's my strongest bet.
You will see that from the very next draw itself.
I have made an in-depth, detailed, and logical analysis and conveying this.
Time and again I have repeatedly said this to people and I will be mute now
Will come back to you all and prove to you what I said once draws resume.

I would back up your observation... considering this, could u tell us as to how many candidates are getting into the pool every 2 weeks ? ( approximately)

 

[Sunilneha]

I bet you all. Cut-off will come down.
Reduced IELTS, ECA almost to a standstill. How on earth will a candidate get into the pool amid tons of crisis.
I'm in a group where there are tons of aspirants that were planning to write IELTS
No one is really interested to venture out until there's a vaccine.
Pencil/Paper based mode of IELTS houses a majority of candidates and this is not all happening for the past 4 months.
It is also not gonna happen in full swing anytime before end of September
More than all, except University of Mumbai, it is almost next to impossible to firstly obtain a transcript from an university (many universities are shooing away people and not allowing them to enter the campus except some extremely essential services) be it North or Southern India.
Plus some of the potentials candidates have all left metro cities and are stranded in their native. There are lots more that I can keep saying but again, CUT-OFF WILL COME DOWN and that's my strongest bet.
You will see that from the very next draw itself.
I have made an in-depth, detailed, and logical analysis and conveying this.
Time and again I have repeatedly said this to people and I will be mute now
Will come back to you all and prove to you what I said once draws resume.

I wish the score would drop in upcoming draws!! As I am at 468 since November 2019...

 

[mushthaq33]

I wish the score would drop in upcoming draws!! As I am at 468 since November 2019...

I wish the same too. Hopefully they'll continue with the all programs draw. Standing at 467 since October 2019.

 

[HardikV]

Folks, need some advice. I was counting my lucky stars cos the OINP was for 471-500 and last week, my score dropped to 470 cos of growing old! But with the invite letter, I guess that didnt matter and I have procured the required documents, and all set to upload them this weekend.

And now, FSW has resumed. I'm confused although I'm tilted towards proceeding with OINP and pay that $1500. If it works out, it works out while I can continue to assess if the FSW score comes down. Any thoughts?

Please Please Please go with PNP

 

[aj534160]

Please Please Please go with PNP

Yeah
Go ahead. No matter what
Do not lose out on it and must not regret later.
Nothing is predictable. It is always good to be on the safe side. Go on with that

 

[kunalkardam]

Please Please Please go with PNP

I was in a similar situation earlier where I received the NOI but didn't complete the process for OINP in lieu of waiting for EE. I have been waiting in the pool since October 2019. My advise would be to go with what you currently have in hand. Things are really unpredictable right now. You would be able to recover this amount in a matter of month or two once you reach Canada. Don't think about the extra moolah, just proceed with your application.

 

[aj534160]

To all the pesimistic and wierd dudes such as @aipg , here's a piece of information about jobs
https://globalnews.ca/news/7161539/coronavirus-canada-jobs-june-unemployment/

Job market is slowly taking shape. Border restrictions gonna be relaxed. All these points to FSW draws constantly as it was before.

 

[indianstudent96]

To all the pesimistic and wierd dudes such as @aipg , here's a piece of information about jobs
https://globalnews.ca/news/7161539/coronavirus-canada-jobs-june-unemployment/

Job market is slowly taking shape. Border restrictions gonna be relaxed. All these points to FSW draws constantly as it was before.

Bro, do not pay any attention to these trolls. They are just coming up with the non-sense pulled from their ass to upset others in the forum.

They will stop it once you start ignoring them.

 

[Sunilneha]

I hope there will b2b draw now...

 

[MJ Mumbai]

Guys.. I received ITA in the latest 8th July draw, For the application submission and documents, need advice on the following:

1. In my passport, my given name is my (first name) + (Father's name + Kumar) but in all other documents (like in college degrees, at work places), it is my (first name) + (Father's name only). Now they have asked for a "Legal Name change doc". What are the documents that can be given in this category?

2. Also as my brother is a PR in Canada, they have asked for a 'family member proof' & 'Proof of Sibling relationship'. What document can be given for this ?

89 days to submit.....

 

[georgeb88]

I bet you all. Cut-off will come down.
Reduced IELTS, ECA almost to a standstill. How on earth will a candidate get into the pool amid tons of crisis.
I'm in a group where there are tons of aspirants that were planning to write IELTS
No one is really interested to venture out until there's a vaccine.
Pencil/Paper based mode of IELTS houses a majority of candidates and this is not all happening for the past 4 months.
It is also not gonna happen in full swing anytime before end of September
More than all, except University of Mumbai, it is almost next to impossible to firstly obtain a transcript from an university (many universities are shooing away people and not allowing them to enter the campus except some extremely essential services) be it North or Southern India.
Plus some of the potentials candidates have all left metro cities and are stranded in their native. There are lots more that I can keep saying but again, CUT-OFF WILL COME DOWN and that's my strongest bet.
You will see that from the very next draw itself.
I have made an in-depth, detailed, and logical analysis and conveying this.
Time and again I have repeatedly said this to people and I will be mute now
Will come back to you all and prove to you what I said once draws resume.

Hello

First of all, i also hope to have the cut-off decrease. I have been striving to reach 460, and as soon as i got there the points have never come down to that level, and then came march madness !!!

But i just want to discuss your points bit further - It's true what you say regarding IELTS and ECA, but there are other factors that determine the cut-off score. Such as...
1. Current backlog of people in higher score
2. Influx of people
3. number of PNP nominations - if this is high the cutoff score also will be a bit higher
4. Number of people the invited for the draw.

You have mentioned only about point 2, influx of people.
Regarding this, we can see that in the last 2 pool distributions that were published, there is an increase of around 1200 people added to the pool despite slow IELTS and ECA. Lets assume this stays the same rate as it is now (hope it decreases ), even then for the score to come down in a few months, we have to consider the other above points as well.

Regarding current backlog - we all know that there is enough ppl in higher than 465 even for 2 more draws for sure..

Regarding PNP nominations - If the PNP nominations increase in any of the draws, the cut-off score is affected! We have no way to predict this will increase or decrease.

Regarding number of ppl invited - If they invite less that 3900, then again cut-off does not come down quickly. An additional point to consider is to achieve their annual target of invites, they don't need 3900 every draw from now. If they continue 3900, they will achieve their annual target by mid november. So they might even reduce this number ( again i hope they don't )

So considering all of this do you still think the cut-off would reduce to 455 ? or even 460 soon ?
It would drop to that number if the IELTS & ECA are in a bad state till like January 2021, continously, but i don't think that can happen.

Well i hope the scores decrease though, but considering all of this, i don't know if i can just bank on it based on just one factor of IELTS & ECA. What do you think ?