PRs will NOT be refused entry.Do you think H&C grounds could cover the above situation? The last thing we would want is we quit our jobs & life here in April 2021 and land up at a Canadian POE and are refused entry or flagged for RO breach. The breach of RO which was not intended but happened as a result of things outside our control.
If being "flagged" for a breach of the Residency Obligation means being issued a 44(1) Report and Departure Order upon arrival, yes that is a possibility for any PR arriving at a PoE who has failed to comply with the PR Residency Obligation. That is NOT certain to happen, particularly for PRs who have a reasonable explanation as to why they have failed to come to Canada sooner. Even if it does happen, the PR is allowed to enter Canada and allowed to stay in Canada pending an appeal.
Obviously, by a big, big margin, the safest approach to keeping PR status is to arrive in Canada BEFORE failing to comply with the RO. As I have oft repeated, the very BEST H&C case can be tricky, and it tends to be difficult to successfully make even the rather good H&C case.
As I discuss in a lengthy post above, it is quite likely SOME additional flexibility and leniency will be allowed PRs given the situation this year. How much so is UNKNOWN, UNPREDICTABLE, and undoubtedly DEPENDS on how things go from here AND ON the individual PR's personal situation. A lot of variables!
Which leads to addressing additional personal H&C factors: notwithstanding many comments in forums like this about what constitutes a H&C reason and what does not count as an acceptable H&C reason, that is NOT how it works. H&C reasons do NOT work like an on/off switch. CBSA officials, at the PoE, and IRCC officials (such as visa office decision-makers processing a PR TD application), and IAD panels in the IRB, MUST take into consideration ANY and ALL explanations the PR has to offer. What influence any particular element in the PR's explanation has VARIES, and can vary depending on context and the influence of other factors.
One of the most common examples illustrating the variability is a PR's explanation that he remained abroad for employment reasons. Some here will categorically state this is NOT an H&C factor. But actually it can be a positive factor DEPENDING on the context and other factors, the latter including in particular the underlying reasons why the PR felt compelled to stay employed abroad in conjunction with what impact this had on how long it took the PR to come to Canada. Sure, generally staying abroad to work or for business reasons will tend to be a negative factor, for most PRs, but again this does NOT work like an on/off switch, it can go both ways, DEPENDING, and it will have variable weight in the overall assessment as to whether the PR's situation is one in which Canada should allow the PR to keep PR status DESPITE the BREACH of the RO.
At the other end of the spectrum, in a sense, there is the PR with medical reasons for staying abroad. Some here will say yes, depending on establishing the fact of a medical necessity, this is an H&C reason. BUT NO, again, the assessment of H&C reasons does NOT work like an on/off switch. Especially since medical treatment is available in Canada, and generally as readily so. Thus, again, whether or not a medical reason will have much weight in influencing whether H&C relief is allowed, let alone be the primary reason for allowing a PR to keep status, will VARY and can VARY WIDELY, depending on many individual factors.
You reference a significant factor: family support during treatment. So yes, that should be a positive factor tending to have some favourable influence. Whether that will be enough to tip the scales is very, very difficult to forecast.
Thus, APART from any overt relief that Canada might implement given this year's situation, mostly having to do with the impact the pandemic is having on the capacity of individuals to travel, the H&C case
(1) always entails SOME RISK of losing status
(2) is never anywhere near as safe as getting to Canada in time to avoid a breach of the RO, and
(3) it is very difficult to forecast since outcomes vary widely depending on many, many individual factors
This year's situation, again this mostly having to do with the impact the pandemic is having on the capacity of individuals to travel, introduces an additional complicating element. Which includes the possibility that Canada will adopt some more or less formal guidelines regarding enforcement of the PR Residency Obligation. There may or may not be some formal relief. There will be at least some consideration given the impact of the situation (as noted before, any reason affecting how long it took the PR to come to Canada MUST be considered), but how this will factor into an individual case apart from any formal relief cannot be reliably forecast.
Thus, overall, UNLESS and UNTIL there is some official announcement about formal relief based on the events of this year, not coming to Canada in time to comply with the RO will entail taking the RISK of losing PR status UNLESS one's personal explanations are sufficient to persuade Canadian officials the PR DESERVES a chance to keep PR status . . . remembering, the PR gets at least two bites of the apple (the opportunity to persuade CBSA officials at the PoE, and if that is not successful, the chance to persuade the IRB IAD panel who hears the appeal).
Or . . . the SHORT ANSWER: You will likely have a decent to good H&C case to make but that is way shy of any guarantee.
This is not entirely true, given that scores and scores of credible sources have been warning about the need to plan for a pandemic for decades, and there have been some somewhat recent trial runs (the first SARS and H1N1 events). There have also been other types of events which were not specifically predictable but fall under the category of planning in a way that anticipates stuff-happens. Such as the Icelandic volcano eruption a number of years ago that disrupted travel from Europe to North America for several weeks. And then there is always the risk that stuff-happens personally, like getting seriously injured in an automobile crash on the way to the airport for the flight to Canada one had long planned, in time to comply with the PR Residency Obligation.. . . nobody could've planned for this coronavirus crisis . . .
Nonetheless, as I note above, there will be at least some consideration given to PRs whose travel to Canada was delayed due to this year's situation. Just as there would be for the PR who is involved in a car crash on the way to the airport. How much flexibility or leniency will be allowed is difficult to forecast and will almost certainly vary widely from person to person. Thus, for example, I tend to agree with the observation offered by @canuck78 "Chances are you will likely be fine if you arrive soon after things have settled down." Noting, however, there are no guarantees, and there are some variables.
Note, after all, the explanation "planned to get to Canada just barely in time to meet our RO, and ran into a delay at the last minute," is not exactly the most persuasive argument for failing to meet a rather flexible obligation, even though the delay itself was not the PR's doing. (But, again, if you arrive relatively soon after travel is again practically available, odds probably are good you will not be issued the 44(1) Report at the PoE.)
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