And that is a big deal. An important correction and clarification (and appreciated). That means the breach of the PR is much bigger and the odds of being waived into Canada without being reported much lower. For one thing, a big thing, it makes the fact of the breach and its extent far more obvious.Just want to correct the their PR cards expire in May 2020 and 5 years are up around March 2020.
And of course that extends to all the stages in the process:
-- likelihood of referral to Secondary
-- likelihood of being Reported and issued a Departure Order, and
-- likelihood an appeal will not be successful even if the family stays in Canada pending the appeal
-- likelihood of being Reported and issued a Departure Order, and
-- likelihood an appeal will not be successful even if the family stays in Canada pending the appeal
That said, I do not prejudge the outcome of any of these cases. It is patently clear to me we do NOT KNOW what percentage of PRs in breach are allowed to enter Canada at a PoE without being reported versus how many are reported. We know it goes both ways. We know that the bigger the breach, the bigger the risk of being reported. And, roughly, some idea of the influence other factors may have. BUT that leaves us way, way short of being able to reliably forecast how things will go for any particular Canadian.
To a large extent, a very large extent, the decision @eeltamo is faced with making is whether taking the gamble is worth it or not. And of course a key element in making that decision is whether the family can even afford to take such a gamble.