Crs score 445 to 450 any chances this year or by 2020?

[khush2canada]

Hi Members,

Can anyone please share some predictions weather CRS score of 445 to 450 can get ITA by end of year or in 2020.

Thanks

 

[harman2725]

Hi Members,

Can anyone please share some predictions weather CRS score of 445 to 450 can get ITA by end of year or in 2020.

Thanks

Very slim chance.

And coz there are federal elections in canada in oct2019. I doubt it would would be any better in future.

 

[khush2canada]

Very slim chance.

And coz there are federal elections in canada in oct2019. I doubt it would would be any better in future.

But i guess there are not many people in pool above 450 , or if there are then wouldn't by next 4 or 5 draws score will come down??

 

[harman2725]

But i guess there are not many people in pool above 450 , or if there are then wouldn't by next 4 or 5 draws score will come down??

Yes there is a possibility that score will come down, but it's hard to predict when.

 

[khush2canada]

Yes there is a possibility that score will come down, but it's hard to predict when.

Yea lets be hopeful Thanks

 

[harman2725]

Yea lets be hopeful Thanks

Yes ,, believe in hope.
I waited solid 18 months before I got enough points to apply and got PR without issue.

 

[khush2canada]

Yes there is a possibility that score will come down, but it's hard to predict when.

Do you have any idea and what are your thoughts on the current distribution in the pool.

 

[khush2canada]

Do you have any idea and what are your thoughts on the current distribution in the pool.

@harman2725 you can refer to the below link:
https://www.canada.ca/en/immigration-refugees-citizenship/services/immigrate-canada/express-entry/submit-profile/rounds-invitations.html

 

[khush2canada]

Hi Members,

Can anyone please share some predictions weather CRS score of 445 to 450 can get ITA by end of year or in 2020.

Thanks

@T80 Sir can you help on this and suggest. Thanks

 

[ammad88]

The score will reduce for sure. Elections won't have an impact on ITA's so soon. IN order for a new government to settle in and make mega changes, it takes about 4 to 6 months.

 

[khush2canada]

@ammad88 Really nice to hear that Sir

Also as per the stats we can see from 450 to 1200 there might be 10000 people, so is it like after 5 to 8 draws the score might come back in 445 to 450 stage?

Thanks in advance

 

[khush2canada]

@rajapanesar Sir what are your suggestions on this.

 

[ammad88]

@ammad88 Really nice to hear that Sir

Also as per the stats we can see from 450 to 1200 there might be 10000 people, so is it like after 5 to 8 draws the score might come back in 445 to 450 stage?

Thanks in advance

Before the last draw there were about 6800 people from 451 to 600 and about 474 for 600+. After issuing an ITA for 3600 people the total falls down to about 3695 people. If the draw takes place on the 21st, and even if new people joined the pool (451-600 range new addition would be approx.1500, and 601-1200 range would be 300) still the lumpsum total would be 300+1500+3695= approx 5500. The upcoming draw would remove another 3600 candidates or even more which leaves about 1900 candidates (mostly ranging from 451-460). SO, in about a couple or more draws, the CRS has to fall down considerably.

 

[khush2canada]

Before the last draw there were about 6800 people from 451 to 600 and about 274 for 600+. After issuing an ITA for 3600 people the total falls down to about 3695 people. If the draw takes place on the 21st, and even if new people joined the pool (451-600 range new addition would be approx.1500, and 601-1200 range would be 300) still the lumpsum total would be 300+1500+3695= approx 5500. The upcoming draw would remove another 3600 candidates or even more which leaves about 1900 candidates (mostly ranging from 451-460). SO, in about a couple or more draws, the CRS has to fall down considerably.

@ammad88 thats great so even if we see next 5 to 7 draws all people will be removed from 450+ or only few would be left then score has to come down below 450 right?

 

[rajapanesar]

@rajapanesar Sir what are your suggestions on this.

Seeing about 7,300 450+ on 2nd August, and 18 days have passed since then, it could be well over 10,000 by now.
If the number of ITAs goes up to around 3900-4000 in the coming draws and biweekly at that, you'll see your ITA in 5 to 6 draws. At 3600, it could take 10 draws, and I don't know if 10 will happen in 2019 or extend into 2020.
Any skipped or late draw will raise the bar.
Unfortunately at 461(TBD), I am skeptical too as I need it to happen in September.