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Ray of hope 122th draw

Rose1207

Full Member
Jul 8, 2019
44
17
You made me laugh. That's fine my friend.

Probably, I'll be getting my ITA on July 24th and may not be creating Ray of Hope threads anymore. But, I'll be active on ROH threads.
I missed today’s draw by 1 point :-( I cannot wait for the next one unless they do a weekly draw. My points will go down to 453 from 459 because of Birthday on July 22.

Need some suggestions:
1. Iqas is still processing my Masters. It is in line since June 28. So I can’t tell when I’ll get my Master’s evaluation.
2. Just booked another CELPIP for coming Sunday and hoping to get higher score (I cannot do better in those english exams)
3. Should I add my UK experience for 2 years part-time as team leader? I have not mentioned in previous applications that I was a team leader. All I mentioned was customer service as I started Tesco UK job with that level. Will they raise a question??
Is it too late to show a new work experience?
 

ripul

Hero Member
Jan 29, 2019
386
196
No I am still here ~ congratulation to the ITA increase but didn't really help to lower the CRS this time
Still keeping the negative attitude, good for you.

Even if the small increase, it might have opened the window for few more candidates. Who knows if the draw size was 3350, score could have been 461 or people could lose their spot to Tie breaker. This is just the start and shift towards more positive turnarounds.
 

ziah6237

Star Member
Aug 28, 2018
90
10
For people who are super close but not able to get the invitation, I highly suggest stop checking the score and start gathering documentation, it will turn your anxiety to productivity.

And it is really easy to turn frustration into resentment, so please be aware of your state of mind.
 

yyzstudent

Champion Member
Nov 6, 2015
1,334
703
For people who are super close but not able to get the invitation, I highly suggest stop checking the score and start gathering documentation, it will turn your anxiety to productivity.

And it is really easy to turn frustration into resentment, so please be aware of your state of mind.

100% agree with the above. I’m sitting at 450. Im still collecting my paperwork. I have an LMIA sponsor. We’re positive the outcome will be positive, even though the timeline is extremely tight. My PGWP runs out 9 calendar days after my sponsor can apply for the LMIA. It’s nail biting. I’m freaking out. Im losing sleep. But drilling in to collecting the paperwork is what is keeping me level headed.

I’ll still take suggestions on how to stick around until the LMIA is in and apply for a bowp, if anyone has some. Inland, CEC, not indian.
 

SimAneja

Member
Aug 15, 2018
16
8
You made me laugh. That's fine my friend.

Probably, I'll be getting my ITA on July 24th and may not be creating Ray of Hope threads anymore. But, I'll be active on ROH threads.
What is your CRS bhai.. I am waiting at 458.. I thought that today i might get but don't know what is coming next seeing the backlog.
 

SimAneja

Member
Aug 15, 2018
16
8
If I am not here, those 440-450 folks will keep listening to fake hope and wait for the score to drop below 450 and end up a diaster
So how have you saved them..??
By convincing IRCC to issue them ITAs under the table??
Its good that you like facing the reality but sometimes little hopes can make significant changes in daily life. Surely giving hope here won't get them ITA soon, but a positive energy from here can help them make some other decision of their lives wisely.
So you better.. Chill..
If not, create your another forum with the name of.. Dooming your hopes draw 122..and keep on comment there.
 

SimAneja

Member
Aug 15, 2018
16
8
Bro, ur predictions has been so accurate but I wud like to correct this post as below:
Correction:
470 to 465: -5
465 to 462: -2.28
462 to 460: -2.44

Explanation:

ITA 3350, lower 470 to lower 465= -5
ITA 3350 lower 465 to higher 462= -2.28 (not 3, please also check the cut off)
Hence fall in the rate of decreasing CRS = (2.28/5)*100= 45.60%

Now considering the same fall of 45.60% in decreasing rate, 10 th July CRS would drop by (45.60/100)*2.28= 1.03 with 3350 ITA
Hence CRS would be 461 if ITA was 3350
But 3600 ITA brought it down to 460:)

Now going further, it’s not a 462-460= 2 point decrease as explained below:

Only 11 days accumulation of 462 was cleared during previous draw hence 84% of 462 were still remaining
And 40% of 460 are remaining now

Hence total decrease is as below:
84% of 462 got cleared
100% of 461 got cleared
60% of 460 got cleared

Hence it is a 2.44 CRS points drop not 2:)
Someone is talking some logic and sense here.. .. Appreciate
 
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imusi

Star Member
Jun 3, 2019
193
131
Passport Req..
15-01-2020
For people who are super close but not able to get the invitation, I highly suggest stop checking the score and start gathering documentation, it will turn your anxiety to productivity.

And it is really easy to turn frustration into resentment, so please be aware of your state of mind.
Good point. And finally seeing a Chinese!
You should really get your docs ready as you’ll definitely get your ITA in the next draw.
 

zabrodov

Hero Member
Sep 19, 2018
655
362
Gatineau
Category........
FSW
Visa Office......
Montreal
NOC Code......
4163
App. Filed.......
11-11-2018
AOR Received.
11-11-2018
File Transfer...
24-01-2019
Passport Req..
02-08-2019
LANDED..........
02-09-2019
I am tired to explain again lol ... sure I will keep saying very good thing to them okay

Full of hope
It looks like you registered here specifically to troll the applicants. It's not cool, dude. Why can't you move on with your life in Canada?
Everyone is aware of the reality here but neither you, nor anyone else can predict what IRCC will do with the program and how the points needed will change.

Btw, it's "calm down", not "claim down".
 

robin6869

Hero Member
Jul 31, 2017
278
252
Lets talk something real guys
1. CRS is dropping slowly but still it will keep dropping till end of the year for sure.
2. Program specific draw will happen but it will not affect regular draws and score as CIC following exactly last year pattern.
3. Everybody hoping for B2B draws but we do not know exactly when would it happen but it will at some point. So that would bring CRS down for sure.
4. Yes people below 450 has to wait long but still if ITA are increased 3900 and then B2B draws will seal the deal for all of applicants from the pile.
5. Election will not affect CEC and FSW for sure as Conservatives are not bad they are just against some refugee policy and social service to refugees.
6. HYPOTHESIS: Even if nothing expected happens this year and lets say CRS just dropped till 453 at the end of the year with regular 3600 draw from now. Remember January 2019 they issued 7.5K ITA then. So new year new target new hope.
7. That H1B visa issue and study in Canada are the constant parameters since 2016/17 so its not something special now. Just that FST draw in may ruined everything and will take little time to get back to normal.

Moral of the story is it's tough time but still all we need to have is Ray Of Hope.