Ray of Hope - 120th Draw

[EnthuChap]

So many Indian nationals wanting to leave... The Indian economy is booming and I recon it will overtake Canada in the not too distant future.

We can come back later on then. Enjoy the best of both worlds ;-)

 

[chirkut]

So many Indian nationals wanting to leave... The Indian economy is booming and I recon it will overtake Canada in the not too distant future.

1 reason is India is over populated... competition is fierce there... And Indians already have a strong community in Canada.

 

[chirkut]

Hello friend, please update my score as 453!

thanks!!

And even Brazilians!! a lot of them. when i went IELTS, two groups dominated the centre(Indians and Brazilians)

 

[jricardobt]

And even Brazilians!! a lot of them. when i went IELTS, two groups dominated the centre(Indians and Brazilians)

Canadian immigration is not strong here in Brazil yet. Many students often choose to go to European countries that shared a past with Brazil (i.e Portugal, Italy or Spain). Nevertheless, yes, IELTS tests are always crowded haha.

The weather, friendly population and culture are not paying back violence and corruption anymore

 

[mahamkd]

What is the hope of getting invited at CRS 456?

 

[lazarus]

Just would like to make some observations in case it maybe useful to others. This article says that Canada has received 300 percent more students from India in 2018 compared to 2015. That means the number of students have been steadily increasing from around 35000 to around 100000 per year. Now this is 100000 students in one year just from India. Almost everyone one of those 100000 students come here to get PR. Which means as soon as they finish their 8 month course, they apply for their open work permit, start working in canada and get Canadian experience. So after this, every year, there is going to be an increasing number if students entering the pool whenever they feel they have enough Canadian experience points. Canadian experience points can easily push younger candidates score to around 500 points.

Another smaller source of Canadian experience candidates are closed work permit holders from IT companies. This has increased form 2k per year in 2015 to around 9k per year now just from India.

So as the number of candidates from these two route starts filling up the ITA quota of around 80k per year, others will get squeezed out. Slowly if this trend continues it would mean the main way to PR would be by studying in Canada, working on working permit and then applying with Canadian experience.

This squeezing out process will take one or two years two complete, as right now it is the students who came in 2016 and 2017 who are completing one year of work experience now and getting in with higher points. Hence the slow but steady rise in cut off score. the 100k from 2018 will finish their one year Canadian experience in 2020 summer and start getting into the pool we will really see the score sky rocket.

Not to try to discourage anyone,but just trying to analyze what is happening and understand the long term trends.

It would appear in the future, immigrating to Canada would require coming in to study first

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.cicnews.com/2019/03/students-from-india-now-outnumber-those-from-china-at-canadian-schools-0311966.html/amp

Logical explanation and reason for high CRS.. and USA's immigration uncertainty adding to the woes.

 

[lazarus]

https://www.conferenceboard.ca/e-library/abstract.aspx?did=10150

Can’t Go it Alone: Immigration Is Key to Canada’s Growth Strategy
By 2030, all 9.2 million of Canada’s most prominent worker cohort—the baby boomers—will be of retirement age. This reality, in combination with a low fertility rate, is placing increasing economic and fiscal pressure on Canada. As such, Canada needs to identify solutions to replenish those exiting the workforce in order to maintain its high living standards.

Can’t Go it Alone: Immigration Is Key to Canada’s Growth Strategy evaluates how various solutions could help strengthen Canada’s labour force and economy. The solutions assessed include welcoming more immigrants, improving the labour force participation of women, Indigenous peoples, and persons with disabilities, boosting the fertility rate, and advances in technology such as automation and artificial intelligence.

 

[Kenneth89]

My prediction for tomorrow's draw is 460+-1

 

[Kenneth89]

My prediction for tomorrow's draw is 460+-1

 

[chirkut]

Everyone has their predictions! i would like to be more optimistic ! 456 +/-

 

[NikSharma01]

I also think, 462 +-1 for 3350 ITA,
Can’t be 460!

Yes, looking at the current influx of applicants the score would be above 460 if the same number of ITAs are issued!

It can be 460 if the number of people entering the 460+ group is less

Ohh.. I'm sorry mate, incapable of denying the fact!
Technically, the cut-off will remain in that range only with the given number of ITAs. However emotionally, I wish it may drop back in the early 440s with 6,000-8,000 ITAs..

 

[chirkut]

What is the hope of getting invited at CRS 456?

The hope is being positive. Regardless of outcome! We have done our parts! Now let CIC do theirs ! CIC has not been predictive and plus new High scoring candidates adding on. But your Good man! you will get it before August.!

 

[jaibajrangbali]

Morning,
Does anyone know how the tie-breaking date time is derived by CIC?

 

[Angel1113]

Morning,
Does anyone know how the tie-breaking date time is derived by CIC?

When multiple people have minimum crs score in a draw. Then person who submitted his/her profile earlier gets an ITA & that person's profile time and date becomes the tie breaker time.

 

[Dark_Night]

Yes, looking at the current influx of applicants the score would be above 460 if the same number of ITAs are issued!


Ohh.. I'm sorry mate, incapable of denying the fact!
Technically, the cut-off will remain in that range only with the give number of ITAs. However emotionally, I wish it may drop back in the early 440s with 6,000-8,000 ITAs..

Have you considered PNP's - not sure what your situation is? I know it is a long shot, but I've seen people getting job offers and LMIAs after going through an immigration consultant and after having submitted 100 applications to prospective employers. Never give up mate!