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Ray of Hope - 119th Draw

kevwe91

Full Member
Apr 5, 2019
39
8
T

Thanks, u mean whole amount of the required funds can be shown as gift deed, no contribution to funds is required from my side, right?
Whole or part, I don't think it matters. All CIC want to know is if you have access to those funds. To be extra safe tho, you could also write a letter of explanation to CIC notifying them that you got a gift from dad, you have his support and blessings with respect to migration to Canada and you have full and unrestricted access to the funds that your dad has made available via the gift deed. But this money must be in your own account. Ok?
 

Punitsingh

Hero Member
Jul 27, 2018
549
403
My prediction:

12th June: 463 (+/-2)
26th June: 459 (+/-2)
10th July: 457 (+/-2)

After that... It will start coming down, but unlikely to break below the 450-451 mark.

This is based on a few assumptions:
  • There are 240 people above 450 CRS that enter the pool everyday.
  • 75% these people are 460+ CRS
  • The remaining 25% are 450-460.
For people who are below 455
  • 75% is a pretty big number, I am sure the percentage of 460+ is lower (however this is more likely to be the worst case).
  • The assumption of all 240 above 450 CRS is also a bit wild - so the cutoff is likely to slide faster even if we have 5-10% of the 240 below 450 :)
My CRS: 460
(Still waiting for my ECA, so not in the pool yet)

All the best everyone!
I also have same predictions and same assumptions
 
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Reactions: navjotbindra

Punitsingh

Hero Member
Jul 27, 2018
549
403
Whole or part, I don't think it matters. All CIC want to know is if you have access to those funds. To be extra safe tho, you could also write a letter of explanation to CIC notifying them that you got a gift from dad, you have his support and blessings with respect to migration to Canada and you have full and unrestricted access to the funds that your dad has made available via the gift deed. But this money must be in your own account. Ok?
Ya, thanks
 

Macky1907

Newbie
Jun 11, 2019
7
4
Thanks. But from previous draws, when does it normally come out?
Nobody can be 100% sure about it, but yes, the2 week frequency maintenance notice hint that there is a draw today
that wouldn't mean anything for the general ones in the pool like me if tomorrow only draws provincial nominees...so far the crs distribution score still shows the previous normal draw. one wonders... If that's the case the next normall draw would still be 470 or up...the score would possibly come down again in July and later. That's just utterly disruptive and frustrating. I hope I am just paranoid, believe me!
 

navjotbindra

Full Member
Apr 16, 2019
24
18
I won't be very surprised if the cutoff is more like 458-460 today (the best case)

If I were to alter our assumptions a little bit, based on last draw (after 4 weeks), only 80% of the people are above 450+.

That takes the cutoff below 460 even in today's draw. Guess we would know soon, which set of assumptions are more realistic :)
 

EnthuChap

Hero Member
Jun 9, 2014
875
605
Toronto
Category........
PNP
Visa Office......
Sydney, NS
NOC Code......
0601
App. Filed.......
01-12-2019
Doc's Request.
22-01-2020
Nomination.....
26-11-2019
AOR Received.
01-12-2019
Med's Request
02-11-2019
Med's Done....
17-01-2020
Passport Req..
06-04-2021
LANDED..........
10-09-2021
Wicked Wednesday is here again. Besides certainly wanting a draw, I am banking on a 3900 draw size. There has to be some increment on the 3350 figure and that would imply more positives in the near future.