Ray of Hope - 114th Draw

[skg1988]

If there are more than 3350 applicants entering the pool every two weeks with a score of 445 and above, I doubt the CIC will need do a back to back draw cos they are hitting their targets even with a cutoff of 450+? So basically, no hope for 445-449 this year... ?

Could you please explain how they are hitting their target which is 81400 for 2019 with a cutt-off 450+....
Are you assuming target=ITAs issued ???
Or in what % do you think ITAs would be declined

 

[abhishek_89]

If there are more than 3350 applicants entering the pool every two weeks with a score of 445 and above, I doubt the CIC will need do a back to back draw cos they are hitting their targets even with a cutoff of 450+? So basically, no hope for 445-449 this year... ?

The thing with targets is that you can achieve the target in multiple ways.

If CIC wants to have more applications in the earlier part of the year, they might invite more now and reduce the ITA count later. So, it totally depends on how they want to split the yearly invites.

As mentioned in my post, with 3350 ITAs and bi-weekly draws the cut off would decrease and settle around the 446-449 range.

 

[momar81]

If my friend got 454 in the system base on 2 years work experience. However his real 2 years work experience is March 29, 2019 , can he take this invitation and submit everything after March 29?

Thanks

YES
Need to apply exactly after the period has elapsed as they will compare your score at ITA and at e-Apr and will use the higher score

 

[kalex123]

I am loosing interest man
I am stuck at 450 since Jan 30.
which was considered as safe bet.

 

[jojalex]

I am loosing interest man
I am stuck at 450 since Jan 30.
which was considered as safe bet.

U will definitely get thru in

 

[Shishir Chandra Kumar]

I am loosing interest man
I am stuck at 450 since Jan 30.
which was considered as safe bet.

There's a strong chance that you will get thru in #114. I'm pretty confident about it.

 

[13nitinsharma]

I am loosing interest man
I am stuck at 450 since Jan 30.
which was considered as safe bet.

Dont worry, we’ll be through on April 3 or April 17 draw for sure.

 

[13nitinsharma]

Just noticed, my total mesgs sent and CRS score for today are same - 452

And I am stuck at 450

 

[biquanbi96]

@abhishek_89 : what's your prediction for the next draw?

 

[Satyanarayana Arnepalli]

I feel the there is higher probability of 449 or 450 CRS with the existing for data for April 3rd draw fro 3350 inviations

3350= 449/450

Once it comes down below 450 , it will sustain.

In all likely there is a chance of B2B in the month of April or else there will be an increase in Invitations,

 

[Satyanarayana Arnepalli]

I am loosing interest man
I am stuck at 450 since Jan 30.
which was considered as safe bet.

You will get through my friend in the coming draw,(Apr 3rd ) along with @SeniorStakes @13nitinsharma I understand it is frustrating.

3350= 449/450

Al the best,

 

[SeniorStakes]

I am loosing interest man
I am stuck at 450 since Jan 30.
which was considered as safe bet.

If your birthday is not around, just relax. You will be through sooner or later.

 

[SeniorStakes]

At 451, I submitted my application on 2 Feb so I am almost, in fact little less than, one point away. At an implied speed of 5 applications per point per day, there should be 5 x 49 = ~250 candidates ahead of me.

If the 451+ speed from now until the next draw turns out to be 220 per day or less, I'll be through. The speed was 211 from 28 Feb to 14 Mar so can go beyond 220 too. It seems I am again borderline case.

 

[BumbleFrisbee]

I am loosing interest man
I am stuck at 450 since Jan 30.
which was considered as safe bet.

Get out of the pool then. Some people have been waiting since years and have finally reached 440’s and now still won’t make it.

 

[BumbleFrisbee]

Question: why have they not been taking more people in? What are the chances of increasing number of invites? Please advise.