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Ray of Hope 111th draw

Guys, Quick question.

My profile was in the pool with 461 CRS points. Today(20/Feb/19), I have updated my spouse WES credentials and the CRS points got changed to 462.
If there is draw today, will I receive the ITA?
 
Shaanoh said:
Ray of Hope became Ray of Desperate. Chillax Guys.. Lot of time for the draw. If not today, You can count there will be a chance for tomorrow as well. Hang in there. Sit tight. No point in pressing the F5. You will get eventually get notified. I am waiting for the draw as well. CRS 449. Fingers Crossed.

Cheers
Shan
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well guys lets hope 2019 will be like 2017, where there was a lot of three week gap but a lot of 7 day gap as well! And, 2017 is the year with lowest CRS cutoff till today!
 
askaboutcanada said:
Guys, Quick question.

My profile was in the pool with 461 CRS points. Today(20/Feb/19), I have updated my spouse WES credentials and the CRS points got changed to 462.
If there is draw today, will I receive the ITA?
Click to expand...
>460 CRS is almost guaranteed ITA I would say
 
canstar.kites said:
High??? If you don't get it in next draw most don't... U catch a good night sleep either this draw or next draw (only said next draw because of the application log in date) u will get an Invite.

Cheers n Good Luck[/QUOTE
If no draw this week god knows the cutoff might be 480
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DRAW PREDICTIONS:

Draw 111 - Feb 20 - 3350 ITAs - CRS 457
Variance is +/- 3.

OR

Draw 111 - Feb 20 - 3900 ITAs - CRS 451
Variance is +/- 3.
 
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EricD said:
well guys lets hope 2019 will be like 2017, where there was a lot of three week gap but a lot of 7 day gap as well! And, 2017 is the year with lowest CRS cutoff till today!
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I don't know who you are If that happens I make sure I will find you and give u a treat if that really happens. My score is at 436. Looking for a God wonder
 
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canstar.kites said:
In Last draw 450+ there are only 350 applications. I am not sure if there will be 3500+ applications logged in with scores above 450+. Just a thought provoking question
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The last draw data you have provided is incorrect.

On the Jan 23rd draw, all applicants with CRS 450+ got ITA, so nobody in the pool existed with 450+ on Jan 23rd after the draw took place. The data on Jan 25th shows 391 applicants in the pool with 450+ which means 391 applicants got added to the pool with CRS 450+ in 2 days. So, using simple calculation, you can estimate how many might get added in 21 days.

I am using historical data to obtain average intake to the pool to calculate the cut off. So, unless a miracle happens the cut off would be around my predicted value.
 
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The draw rarely occurs post 2:30 pm UTC.

I don't think it will happen today. It may happen tomorrow or next week or sometime later this year in the worst case.
 
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