+1(514) 937-9445 or Toll-free (Canada & US) +1 (888) 947-9445

September 2018 AOR - join here

ain88

Hero Member
Feb 20, 2016
363
151
I did not understand, not quite clear. I was in iP1 for 4 weeks, today I complete 4 weeks in IP2. FSWO USA resident. Every week I think I will get it in 2 more weeks but nothing, not even a ghost update. My latest thought is I will get it around 22nd December. But who am I kidding? My VO is CIO Sydney!!!!:mad::mad::mad::mad::mad::mad: if I get it within 180 days that would be a miracle
well according to that data, 70% approved case, multiply 70% whithn 1 month makes only 50% of people are getting within a month

so...your wait time shoudnt be more than 1 month from now at least(with 85% of chance)

we are almost there buddy!
 
  • Like
Reactions: Bandit Queen

Bandit Queen

Hero Member
Oct 10, 2018
201
150
NOC Code......
0121
AOR Received.
09-09-2018
Med's Done....
05-10-2018
Looking at other threads it seems NDVO has sent PPR today. Hope there are more from September AORs.
 

ravleen

Hero Member
May 20, 2017
716
333
Category........
FSW
Visa Office......
Ottawa
NOC Code......
4021
AOR Received.
23 September 2018
Med's Done....
23 October 2018
Can you please share what was your NOC and what your agent selected by mistake.
Now you shouldn't worry about the rejection... congratulations :)
 

kori_27

Star Member
Jun 4, 2018
51
25
AOR Received.
14-09-2018
Med's Done....
11-10-2018
Well I'm stupid enough to track last 6months cases to relieve myself.

I tracked 2 cases

Case 1) people ip1->ip2 gap is more than 1 months (all stream)
Case 2) people who's CEC, ip1->ip2 gap is more than 2 weeks

to track how long my application will take as I recently moved to ip2 from ip1 and inland cec applcant.

on both cases, appx. 20-30%% of people gets ppr in 3 days once they are changed to ip2 (or they didn't check their status for awhile which makes this a bit unaccurate but still probably they did get ppr in 2weeks after ip2, cos people usually check their application often)

Case 1) 70% approved(ppr stage), 30% still pending(ip2 stage)
from approved stage - 70% of cases gets their ppr in 1 month, 20% of cases gets their ppr in 2 months, 10% of cases gets thier ppr after 2 months.
from still pending stage- 8-90% cases they been waiting less than 2 months, 10-20% cases more than 2months waiting(or in security check or they forgot to update!)

Case 2) 70% approved(ppr stage), 30% still pending(ip2 stage)
from approved stage - 85% of cases get thier ppr in month(monstly within 3 days), 95% of cases get thier ppr in 2 months, 5%- over 2 months
from still pending stage- they been waiting less than 2 months or about that..

So i assure myself i will mostly get my ppr in December (50% of chance), or in January (35% of chance), in February(10% of chance), further :mad:

Everything is approximately and it's based myimmitracker with more than 100 cases(1st case), 20 cases(2nd case)

Edit: to elaborate my wording: most llikely if you are ip2 after long wait of ip1, with 50% of chance you will get ppr in 1 month, with 85% chance within 2 months!
I hope I will not lose my sanity waiting for PPR :) just a thought on myself :D
 
  • Like
Reactions: williamps

nimeshp

Newbie
Mar 25, 2017
1
0
Hi All,
My AOR is 16th September, 2018. I am a PNP applicant. I read somewhere that they take more time for PNP applicant. Is that true ? Already waited for 18 months for PNP nomination, still stuck at IP2...:(:(:(
 

Ashtush

Hero Member
Apr 7, 2017
924
265
Hi All,
My AOR is 16th September, 2018. I am a PNP applicant. I read somewhere that they take more time for PNP applicant. Is that true ? Already waited for 18 months for PNP nomination, still stuck at IP2...:(:(:(
Mate ! Even i hv heard the same .. Though we never know Christmas can come early for us too