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Ray of Hope - 95th Draw

ankurrana

Star Member
Jun 8, 2015
170
62
Finally received ITA although the circumstance is not what I intended when I first entered the pool in January nonetheless it is good to finally see something positive during a draw day.

Congratulations to all who receive the ITA today.

And for the rest, keep your hope alive but don't let the ray of hope become a ray of doom for you. I personally believe this thread can be a awesome thing for many who are unable to increase their score further and hope is the only thing that is left for them but for others do not wait for the score to drop. Things are not the same as it was and I think it will never be the same again. Keep trying your best to increase your score and do not let false hope and expectation derailing you from your path.
best of luck for the journey ahead..
 

saani

Hero Member
Jul 29, 2017
237
48
Finally got the ITA.. started my journey of immigration last year.. was at 387 .. took IELTs thrice.. eventually got CLB 9 on july 7... my CRS jumped to 444... never give up.. don’t loose hope.. if i can do it.. you all are capable to get ITA.. wish luck to all of you waiting for ITA... hoping for smooth journey ahead...
 

jahrule

Star Member
Dec 31, 2015
173
38
Instead of worrying about the ITA that you are sure to get, start getting your docs organized and double check, if 2 days pass and you don't get the ITA then you come back and start to query. But I am sure many persons who are getting carried away does not have every single piece of document ready and checked.
Congrats by the way to you all not hating in anyone, but a word to the wise is sufficient
 

yeskayk

Star Member
May 4, 2017
150
64
DUBAI
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
1123
AOR Received.
19-09-2018
Passport Req..
25-03-2019
LANDED..........
12-11-2019
Hi to all,

Congratulations to all those who got through in this draw (95th Draw) & wishing you luck with the rest of the formalities.

Just to let you know, I uploaded my profile with 403 last year (May'17) & I was hoping the score would drop eventually. As then the score dropped to 413 & there were only 43K odd people in the pool with fewer above 420+

I happened to give IELTS 6 times despite having 18+ years of formal English education and having spoken English on a daily basis all my life.
I felt like *^&$ every time I didn't get a CLB 9. It so also happened that , twice my IELTS score was delayed for more than 14+ days.
It was definitely not easy on me but I am happy today.
I went from 403 to 472 & I am waiting for my ITA !!

1) IELTS (March '17) : L:7.5 R:6.0 W:7.5 S:8.0 British Council
2) IELTS (Aug '17) : L:9.0 R:6.0 W:6.5 S:8.0 British Council ( Result delayed for 14 days)
3) IELTS (Feb '18) : L:8.0 R:6.5 W:7.0 S:6.5 IDP
4) IELTS (March '18) : L:7.5 R:7.0 W:6.5 S:7.5 British Council ( Result delayed for 23 days)
5) IELTS (May '18) : L:8.0 R:7.0 W:6.0 S:7.5 IDP ( Re-evaluation - no change)
6) IELTS (July'18) : L:8.0 R:7.0 W:7.0 S:7.5 IDP

Though of sharing my journey & to all those who didn't make it , stay strong & please keep at it- Don't give up!
 

ravleen

Hero Member
May 20, 2017
716
333
Category........
FSW
Visa Office......
Ottawa
NOC Code......
4021
AOR Received.
23 September 2018
Med's Done....
23 October 2018
Hello everyone...congrats to all those who have received ITA's :)
I submitted my profile on 19th July 2018, will I get the ITA?
 

tobs

VIP Member
May 25, 2018
3,879
2,484
Nigeria
Category........
FSW
Visa Office......
Ottawa
NOC Code......
2145
App. Filed.......
10-07-2018
AOR Received.
10-07-2018
Passport Req..
04-01-2019
Finally got the ITA.. started my journey of immigration last year.. was at 387 .. took IELTs thrice.. eventually got CLB 9 on july 7... my CRS jumped to 444... never give up.. don’t loose hope.. if i can do it.. you all are capable to get ITA.. wish luck to all of you waiting for ITA... hoping for smooth journey ahead...
Big congratulations to you
 

at4446

Hero Member
Sep 24, 2016
260
107
ontario
Category........
CEC
Visa Office......
ottawa
I thought it was impossible too, until I carried out this analysis earlier today. What's your take on this:

Pool size on the 17/07/2018 (estimate)

600 - 1200: 219
451 - 600 : 314
441 - 450 : 866

Total: 1399

441 to 1200: Pool size entry (300/day) 17/07/2018 - 24/07/2018: 2400 - 2700

Draw size: 3750 (25/07/2018)

(2400+1399) Total: 3799...... 49 left on 441

(2700+1399) Total: 4099.....349 left on 441

Either way, cut off estimate (25/07/18): 441

Tie break with 49 left on 441: ??
Tie break with 349 left on 441:??

08/08/2018 next draw size: 4000


Please note: 300/day (441-1200) is a conservative estimate (this has been overestimated to accommodate IELTS result effect, if there is any). Typically, the 300/day entry should include profiles with/on 400 crs.

If this is the case, the 25/07/18 draw should clear all profiles on 441, and possibly include very few profiles on 440. In summary, tomorrow's draw could be 440 optimistically, or 441 conservatively.
amazing analysis you did!!! please do another one with current data!!!! it is been a while since a prediction hasn't been right
 
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tobs

VIP Member
May 25, 2018
3,879
2,484
Nigeria
Category........
FSW
Visa Office......
Ottawa
NOC Code......
2145
App. Filed.......
10-07-2018
AOR Received.
10-07-2018
Passport Req..
04-01-2019
Been in the pool for 1 year, 3 months and 10 days. Started with 408 to 414 to 439 to 453. It took me 5 Ielts to get what I needed and I almost gave up in btw.
But God is great and thank you friends for keeping the hope up! :)
wow. congrats