Ray of Hope - 95th Draw

[Kurco]

"It's been 2 min and still no ITA" questions begin hahahahahaahaha

 

[pursuit_of_happiness]

USA is a paradise for IT crowd in terms of salary. You hardly get half salary in Canada.

paradise..LOL..you surely are part of the bubble

 

[aahaanbajaj]

Looks like cic express entry account website is down. Is anyone able to access?

I am logged into my cic account. But no message yet

 

[keyur sharma]

Correct.It look like CIC will make next draw on 3 weeks gap to increase CRS around 450 and CIC creates artificial demand and tempting candidates!!! !!!

They are not creating artificial demands. It’s not easy in Australia and Usa than why everyone expect that Canada will give PR easily. Last year cut off went down because there was only 57000 people applied and this year 88000 people. Even last year I got ITA in July and I kept my self at 447 points.

 

[reachforjay]

Looks like cic express entry account website is down. Is anyone able to access?

Yeah I can get in, no problem.

 

[keyur sharma]

I am logged into my cic account. But no message yet

Will take 24 your don’t worry if you are above 441 you will get that golden email

 

[keyur sharma]

My score is 451 and I submitted my profile on 21st July 2018. Will I be invited in today's draw? And by when can we expect the ITA notification in our account/email?

Thanks

Ya you will get invitation wait for few hours

 

[keyur sharma]

I have been in the queue since January this year and finally should
e
I have been in the queue since January and finally will get my chance this time , I was stuck in 430s so looked at all my options to increase my score, dont leave any points, spouse ECA, multiple IELTS is worth trying if it can increase the score. All the best everyone still in the queue. Dont lose hope.

What about PNP??

 

[aahaanbajaj]

Will take 24 your don’t worry if you are above 441 you will get that golden email

I m not worried, just replied to the message above

 

[bpant1]

I am also waiting for ITA @ 449. Hope will get it in few hours. Can anybody see invitation in their profile yet?

 

[abhishek_89]

And next year one can expect few aspirants based on high cut-off samples this year

No. This trend will continue till maybe there is a Canadian Donald Trump in power!

 

[AlfredoInans]

JULY 25, 2018 - DRAW PREDICTION:

I have come up with the prediction for the 95th draw.

If it happens today (Jul 25) with:
3750 ITAs - CRS 441
4000 ITAs - CRS 440
4250 ITAs - CRS 440

The variance in the above calculation is +/- 2 CRS.

Please find below the CRS cut off in case the number of ITAs issued is more/less than the predicted ITA count:

I thought it was impossible too, until I carried out this analysis earlier today. What's your take on this:

Pool size on the 17/07/2018 (estimate)

600 - 1200: 219
451 - 600 : 314
441 - 450 : 866

Total: 1399

441 to 1200: Pool size entry (300/day) 17/07/2018 - 24/07/2018: 2400 - 2700

Draw size: 3750 (25/07/2018)

(2400+1399) Total: 3799...... 49 left on 441

(2700+1399) Total: 4099.....349 left on 441

Either way, cut off estimate (25/07/18): 441

Tie break with 49 left on 441: ??
Tie break with 349 left on 441:??

08/08/2018 next draw size: 4000


Please note: 300/day (441-1200) is a conservative estimate (this has been overestimated to accommodate IELTS result effect, if there is any). Typically, the 300/day entry should include profiles with/on 400 crs.

If this is the case, the 25/07/18 draw should clear all profiles on 441, and possibly include very few profiles on 440. In summary, tomorrow's draw could be 440 optimistically, or 441 conservatively.

Both of you were spot on. Next draw should comfortably hit 440.

 

[Helipatel42]

My score is 466. I want to know will they email us on our routine email address? Or there will be message in account? I have work so cannot access it

 

[akmh1b]

What about PNP??

yes

PNP??

Yes pnp as well, but pnp route is not for everyone since it res restricts you to a state and delays the application process

 

[Helipatel42]

I am also waiting for ITA @ 449. Hope will get it in few hours. Can anybody see invitation in their profile yet?

Did you get any reply?