Ray of Hope - 94th Draw
- Thread starter hope2018
- Start date
437-440 if the draw happens on 11th julynumber guys - prediction for next draw. I again missed it because of tie breaker
What a pleasant surprise! Congratulations to all 442 tie-breakers and above. A draw couple of days before has been blessing to many many applicants. Good luck with the post ITA process. It going to be even more of a patience tester. Brace yourself for that, but eventually it will be done and dusted for sure!
Quick calculations:
Number of people above 450 on 8th June = 317+2596 = 2913
Number of people above 450 on 20th June = 209 + 1057 = 1266
Number of people cleared on 13th June with cut-off of 451 = 3750
Assuming 451 was cleared off on 13 June (mostly 20-30 people would remain)
Number of people above 450 entering pool in 12 days = 3750 + 1266 - 2913 = 2103
Number of 450 per day = 2103 / 12 = 175 (this was 196/per day last time)
Additionally, number of people within 441-450 entering pool per day = (1731-1092)/12 = 53
So, overall number of people above 440 entering per day = 175 + 53 = 228
This is still high, but significantly lower than the 263 we saw last time. Hopefully we see a downward trend on this!
Number of people above 450 on 8th June = 317+2596 = 2913
Number of people above 450 on 20th June = 209 + 1057 = 1266
Number of people cleared on 13th June with cut-off of 451 = 3750
Assuming 451 was cleared off on 13 June (mostly 20-30 people would remain)
Number of people above 450 entering pool in 12 days = 3750 + 1266 - 2913 = 2103
Number of 450 per day = 2103 / 12 = 175 (this was 196/per day last time)
Additionally, number of people within 441-450 entering pool per day = (1731-1092)/12 = 53
So, overall number of people above 440 entering per day = 175 + 53 = 228
This is still high, but significantly lower than the 263 we saw last time. Hopefully we see a downward trend on this!
Guys what are the chances of draw day after tomorrow
You went too far bro. But it doesnt hurt to dream a little bit so who knows.
Well, we have discussed this issue here many times already, that this year the CIC doesnt have to better the previous years total ITA number which was 86k. However, it is my secret wish that this assumption is true and CIC will issue more than 86k ITA this year also. Today in cicnews they ahve also wrote something similar
Even with larger, more frequent draws, like the one seen today, IRCC still has a long way to go in order to surpass the 86,023 ITAs issued in 2017.
https://www.cicnews.com/2018/06/minimum-crs-drops-to-442-in-second-express-entry-draw-in-11-days-0610805.html#gs.Ie4_j2M
This makes me hopeful.
Even with larger, more frequent draws, like the one seen today, IRCC still has a long way to go in order to surpass the 86,023 ITAs issued in 2017.
https://www.cicnews.com/2018/06/minimum-crs-drops-to-442-in-second-express-entry-draw-in-11-days-0610805.html#gs.Ie4_j2M
This makes me hopeful.
It happens when older profiles improve their scores. They might have been at 436 and then improved their language exam scores, for example, to bring their score up to 442. The age of the profile is the same, but the score has changed.
Hi All,
Please help !!!!!!!!!!!!
I will get most probably my ITA in some time for today draw as my score is 474. But I have one doubt related to my application. It would be really great if someone can answer that:
I have started working in Canada on 26-June-2017 and still working with same company till date. I got 48 points for 1 year of Canada experience in May 2018 itself and I was declining the ITA till now. I will be completing my actual one year by today EOD and I will get ITA today for draw happened in the morning. Will it be considered of 1 year completion or not if I get ITA today or my work experience will be counted by 1 day short. Will it be safe with submitting my e-APR by accepting this draw?
Thanks in advance
Please help !!!!!!!!!!!!
I will get most probably my ITA in some time for today draw as my score is 474. But I have one doubt related to my application. It would be really great if someone can answer that:
I have started working in Canada on 26-June-2017 and still working with same company till date. I got 48 points for 1 year of Canada experience in May 2018 itself and I was declining the ITA till now. I will be completing my actual one year by today EOD and I will get ITA today for draw happened in the morning. Will it be considered of 1 year completion or not if I get ITA today or my work experience will be counted by 1 day short. Will it be safe with submitting my e-APR by accepting this draw?
Thanks in advance
What a surprise! There was a draw today! Congratulations to all those who received ITA! I hope CIC will not make me regret for not being patient!
There was a draw today! Congratulations to all those who received ITA! I hope CIC will not make me regret for not being patient!
This was a shocker!!! Congrats to everyone who is going to receive ITA. I am happy because it was starting to get gloomy in the ROH threads lol