Ray of Hope - 92nd Draw

[Sam_Malhotra]

whats your score ?

mine is 445

 

[bimale4bipeople]

mine is 445

seems like a reasonable score... everyone here is predicting a draw by next week on Wednesday. But lot of theories around what is going to be the min. cut off.

 

[Mayur_M]

IMO this should be your options in the following order:

1. See if your spouse can get higher IELTS, that could be 30 days
   
2. Wait for a few draws till your spouse's IELTS scores come, 440 is not too far. If spouse gets more you will get through in the following draw
3. Try alone if you are not confident of the cut-off coming down. Basically this is a judgement call only you can take. Your guess is as good as anyone else's here.

All the best !

IELTS it is then.

 

[bimale4bipeople]

Ofcourse, the good news is that:

1. your Federal PR application is already under process and you will receive it once the process is done
2. with the Federal PR you can settle in any province. With the OINP nominated Federal PR you will have to meet the Ontario Province nomination conditions to avoid citizenship problems in future

I was aware about the point# 2 that's why i never gave the feedback to my laywer...
But let me ask you another question here... what if I was to get rejected by OINP for whatever. Will that still have any impact on my federal PR application currently in process ?

 

[Swordwater]

Thank you for your patience... One more question Zoheb...

It is kinda ironic, that cpl of days ago, I got an email from OINP regarding ADR(about duplicate WES report), so why are they still pursuing my application when I have already got an ITA ?

sorry for the nagging questions... some parts of this PR process i have understood some parts still surprise me...

If u have a direct ITA now, tell Ontario u can't send them any duplicate ECA, that u don't have the time and money. They will reject your application and send back your 1500CAD.

 

[akakiyani]

I believe the hopes now hang on the fact that how many ITAs are actually going to be issued by the Canadians this year. Last year they had a target of 71,700 but they ended up giving around 86,600 ITAs. This year they have a target of 74,900 but they have only issued 32,200 ITAs by now. Going by the same end result that they had last year (giving almost 20% more ITAs than target), only 36% of the total (expected) ITAs have been issued yet (43% of target) and almost half of the year has passed. Can we expect bigger/more frequent draws? Especially in the later half of the year? I believe we can, or at least I hope so!

 

[FMT]

I believe the hopes now hang on the fact that how many ITAs are actually going to be issued by the Canadians this year. Last year they had a target of 71,700 but they ended up giving around 86,600 ITAs. This year they have a target of 74,900 but they have only issued 32,200 ITAs by now. Going by the same end result that they had last year (giving almost 20% more ITAs than target), only 36% of the total (expected) ITAs have been issued yet (43% of target) and almost half of the year has passed. Can we expect bigger/more frequent draws? Especially in the later half of the year? I believe we can, or at least I hope so!

I believe in a matter of draws, there will be an increase in the number of people invited and that will help in re-building our hopes. The expected target will be met (74,900).Ray of hope

 

[Ese2014]

I am going to share some more bad news. Was just looking at the data from open.canada. They now updated the Admission statistics up to April 2018. So in total 38,605 PR admission happened in the first four months of which PNP are 6475. So out of 74700 target for this year 32130 admission already done in just 4 months. So CIC is well on their way towards the 2018 Admission target for express entry. now if we get the average admission of 2018 for the first 4 months it is 8033 and at this rate they will end up with 96k Admission for 2018 under the three classes of express entry.

So this makes me believe that we are not going to see an increase in their activity and if anything we are going to see less frequent draw from now on. Remember last year, in order to control the flow they just did 2 draws in the whole of June and July. I think similar to that is going to happen very soon.

This is more like it.

 

[Sam_Malhotra]

seems like a reasonable score... everyone here is predicting a draw by next week on Wednesday. But lot of theories around what is going to be the min. cut off.

yeah, that is what i am thinking, but there is always chances of increase min. points after 3 week gap.. it could go upto 450 or higher you never know
is there any chances of draw on Friday or Monday ?

 

[Johnny Ghaddar]

I

I'm on 438 but glad that I went for OINP, that's in the DIP stage right now.

Same case here. Just checked the forum and found out about no draw yesterday.
All hopes with OINP now !

 

[bimale4bipeople]

If u have a direct ITA now, tell Ontario u can't send them any duplicate ECA, that u don't have the time and money. They will reject your application and send back your 1500CAD.

You should have told me day before.. already too late...
btw i never paid for the OINP or EE, it was my organisation

 

[bimale4bipeople]

yeah, that is what i am thinking, but there is always chances of increase min. points after 3 week gap.. it could go upto 450 or higher you never know
is there any chances of draw on Friday or Monday ?

+ve sochne kaa...
no time for -vevity...

 

[Sam_Malhotra]

+ve sochne kaa...
no time for -vevity...

:d yeah...optimistic

 

[zohebshaikh]

I was aware about the point# 2 that's why i never gave the feedback to my laywer...
But let me ask you another question here... what if I was to get rejected by OINP for whatever. Will that still have any impact on my federal PR application currently in process ?

Getting rejected by Ontario will not have any impact now as you have already filed your PR application.

Btw, did the E-APR application ask whether you had another application in process ? I cannot recollect if it did

 

[lightning_crashes]

You aware that OINP is not only HCP, don't you? 6.6k is for all streams, which include the huge master stream also.

Thanks for all the responses to my questions about OINP HCP!

Yes I'm aware that 6,600 is split across the different streams. What I understand from you guys

6,600 total
1,500 given to last year
2,600 to HCP this year


2,500 left for rest of the streams...

Means not many HCP left for rest of this year?