Ray of Hope - 91st Draw

[YPS]

These results dont matter i guess... need exp as well

Well, some people in the pool waiting for their Masters degree which will keep the score around 440 if not pushing up.

 

[YPS]

Normally when do grad and post grad results get declared in a year? Add two months to those weeks and you will have a nice surge of applicants

Now and in November I think..

 

[Avengers]

Wow!! You are saying that crs might shoot upto 445 on june 20th and suddenly drop to 435 the very next draw..i.e on july 4th!!! Wow unbelievable

well brother average people from 431 to 440 in 15 days are 250 and in next couple of draw 438 will be flushed out ...July's draw I.e.4th will be without ielts so they have to pick least 3000 from 430s ...n I am sure 435-438 it's not more than 3000.....apply 8778 permutations u will come to know that bunch of people are sitting in 440, 438 n 433.....
calculation is based on draw if happens on mentioned date...n i think ITA will increase to 3750 for next 4 draws...

total ITA which need to issue 2018 will be between 74000- 78000 so we are left with roughly 50000 under federal quota. ....these are my assumption for unpridicatable IRCC. ..

 

[Gury Singh]

Well, some people in the pool waiting for their Masters degree which will keep the score around 440 if not pushing up.

Masters generally takes 2 yrs...if that is d case they wud hv startd in 2016 but in 2017, even Bachelors was more than enough to get ITA...413 was lowest in 2017... so i disagree with masters theory.... n also WES takes 2 mnths time

 

[YPS]

Masters generally takes 2 yrs...if that is d case they wud hv startd in 2016 but in 2017, even Bachelors was more than enough to get ITA...413 was lowest in 2017... so i disagree with masters theory.... n also WES takes 2 mnths time

Ok, first thing is to forget 2017 data...... Not believing Master theory will not bring scores below 439 too
, let's wait n watch.....

I ll be happy if score goes down as I am at 428.

 

[SumH12]

Many of you guys don't sound very optimistic which I find very sad. I think last years draw pattern made everyone too hopeful regarding their chance and that is why we are now seeing not so hopeful posts from many of you. However, I believe in numbers and they never lie and they help me keep my hopes up.

You know last year in first 6 months 51305 nos of ITAs were issued and only 34738 ITAs in the last 6 months, this year however it will be the opposite or there will be a more balanced approach. This year up until now 31500 ITAs has been issued and there are 7 more months left so that makes me belive that more ITAs will be issued in the later part of the year and that will bring the score down. Now how low it will go I don't know but surely it will not stay in 440 for much longer. The admission target set by the Canada Govt is more now than the last year and will be more in 2019 compared to his year, so surely I don't see any reason for them to slow down. Stop worrying about it too much, stop over thinking and putting pressure on yourself.

I completely agree with you!

Guys/ ladies... let’s keep our hope alive. If we consider the following facts/ numbers, we may have chances to receive ITA this year:
1- Last year, as @special3220 mentioned, they issued lot of ITAs at the first semester. Between February and May, the number of ITAs issued per draw fluctuated between 3,600-3,923. The second semester, they slowed down and during last trimester the ITAs per draw were reduced between 2,000 and 2,801.
This year, 4 draws with 3,000 and 4 with 3,500.
2- The goal for 2018 is not less than the one set for 2017. That implies that the number of ITAs will be at least the same as last year.
3- The tendency of 441+ candidates is decreasing since March 20 (if we analize the numbers published and corresponding to 5-7 days before the draw). Note: Even if the data is not up to the actual draw date, the data is still consistent to the draw interval of 2 weeks.

So, pattern is reversed and I believe that for the next draws we could see more number of ITAs (3,750 or 4,000 are both posibles) and a CRS in the lower range of 430s.

Good luck to everyone!
*sending positive vibes for a draw tomorrow*

 

[Aarti123]

Only if you have a graduation degree, you can get CGA membership under MRA between ACCA and CPA Canada. My husband doesn't have a 3 year graduation degree, so he is not eligible for CGA membership.

I don't have a degree. I'm thinking of doing a degree so I won't have to do over CPA. What do you think?

 

[lavi13]

Many of you guys don't sound very optimistic which I find very sad. I think last years draw pattern made everyone too hopeful regarding their chance and that is why we are now seeing not so hopeful posts from many of you. However, I believe in numbers and they never lie and they help me keep my hopes up.

You know last year in first 6 months 51305 nos of ITAs were issued and only 34738 ITAs in the last 6 months, this year however it will be the opposite or there will be a more balanced approach. This year up until now 31500 ITAs has been issued and there are 7 more months left so that makes me belive that more ITAs will be issued in the later part of the year and that will bring the score down. Now how low it will go I don't know but surely it will not stay in 440 for much longer. The admission target set by the Canada Govt is more now than the last year and will be more in 2019 compared to his year, so surely I don't see any reason for them to slow down. Stop worrying about it too much, stop over thinking and putting pressure on yourself.

Agree with you..
more over, the less ITAs in second half of last year means less PR files processed in 2018 from last year.

We need to understand one thing, the Quota is for PRs and not the ITAs.. I believe, CRS will eventually come down..
As many suggested, next draw might invite 3750 or 4000
Hope for best and good luck all..

 

[NOMAD2017]

I don't have a degree. I'm thinking of doing a degree so I won't have to do over CPA. What do you think?

That's what I am trying to do. Are you not eligible for Oxford Brook degree?

 

[NOMAD2017]

P.s according to the trend the range could go up to 3750 atleast I believe?

If that happens, cut-off will sure go below 440 on 6th June. Let's see.

 

[shersingh]

How many people on average enter pool between 441 and plus?

 

[lavi13]

How many people on average enter pool between 441 and plus?

2600-3100 avg every two weeks

 

[lightning_crashes]

Agree with you..
more over, the less ITAs in second half of last year means less PR files processed in 2018 from last year.

We need to understand one thing, the Quota is for PRs and not the ITAs.. I believe, CRS will eventually come down..
As many suggested, next draw might invite 3750 or 4000
Hope for best and good luck all..

Yep my friend got ITA last year in May and just landed last week in Toronto

 

[sundar17feb99]

Many of you guys don't sound very optimistic which I find very sad. I think last years draw pattern made everyone too hopeful regarding their chance and that is why we are now seeing not so hopeful posts from many of you. However, I believe in numbers and they never lie and they help me keep my hopes up.

You know last year in first 6 months 51305 nos of ITAs were issued and only 34738 ITAs in the last 6 months, this year however it will be the opposite or there will be a more balanced approach. This year up until now 31500 ITAs has been issued and there are 7 more months left so that makes me belive that more ITAs will be issued in the later part of the year and that will bring the score down. Now how low it will go I don't know but surely it will not stay in 440 for much longer. The admission target set by the Canada Govt is more now than the last year and will be more in 2019 compared to his year, so surely I don't see any reason for them to slow down. Stop worrying about it too much, stop over thinking and putting pressure on yourself.

Thanks for keeping "Ray of hope alive"

 

[Gury Singh]

Ok, first thing is to forget 2017 data...... Not believing Master theory will not bring scores below 439 too
, let's wait n watch.....

I ll be happy if score goes down as I am at 428.

Thats fine but why to raise misconception abt masters result n stress ppl over here.... we r here to talk sense n facts, not rumours or hypothetical mindworks.

With due respect, no offence.