Ray of Hope - 89th Draw

[Karnesh]

And so is Fishal, but not downtown.

Hey, How're you.?

 

[metabug]

That feeling when you miss it at the tie breaker
Anyways, the downward trend of cutoff and new entrants is really encouraging!

 

[ianduff]

That feeling when you miss it at the tie breaker
Anyways, the downward trend of cutoff and new entrants is really encouraging!

when did you create your profile?

 

[liezlvinci8]

Will there be any chance for a 3-week-gap next month? There are 5 Wednesdays for the month of May and if that happens, CRS score will rise up again.

Sitting at 441.

 

[ravidgohil@gmail.com]

Congratulations Ravi!

What's the secret behind your scores? Lol

I am stuck with L : 7, W : 7.5, R : 8, S 8.5. Overall 8.0

Thanks!

Thank you...

There isn’t any secrete but the Canadian education & experience with full points for age & ielts

 

[metabug]

when did you create your profile?

15th march 2018

 

[pessacanada]

Congratulations to ITA receivers!
Good news is that CRS came down to 441 and soon it'll touch CRS 430

Hope we'll see more ITAs like 3750 next month

#KeepYourHopeAlive

 

[Akta28390]

Congratulations everyone who recieved ITA in 88th draw!!
Finally saw the miraculous 441 draw but highly heartbreaking to have missed ITA due to the tie breaker rule....
Had started to feel like the dream will remain just that but now it seems more achievable....
Starting the two week wait with renewed hope!

 

[Lucaskaldo]

15th march 2018

Tie breaker for me too.
My profile was created in February.
Ianduff, are you in the same situation?

 

[Sandeep198511]

Thank you...

There isn’t any secrete but the Canadian education & experience with full points for age & ielts

hey why were you refused for OINP ?

 

[tjsecondtry]

Hey, How're you.?

Studying my butt off, lol. Working hard to earn the points to qualify for an ITA.

Thanks for asking

 

[Hardit singh]

Will there be any chance for a 3-week-gap next month? There are 6 Wednesdays for the month of May and if that happens, CRS score will rise up again.

Sitting at 441.

There are only 5 wednesday. 2nd, 9th, 16th, 23th, 30th.
Chances of three draws are more than three weeks gap. But cic is unpredictable so we can just hope for best

 

[ShahidWS]

Congratulations everyone who recieved ITA in 88th draw!!
Finally saw the miraculous 441 draw but highly heartbreaking to have missed ITA due to the tie breaker rule....
Had started to feel like the dream will remain just that but now it seems more achievable....
Starting the two week wait with renewed hope!

Bad luck with the tie breaker rule. You had applied for OINP earlier right? Any progress on that, has your application moved forward?

 

[kearun]

Hi all
I am yet to create an EE profile.Will the crs score generating be same as what I got using crs calculator?
Thanks in advance

 

[special3220]

Another good draw today + declining applicants entering pool is very positive.

Here are my abridged calculations for a May 9th draw of 3500, using Alexross' figures above. I'm using the new applicants from April 4th-19th.

On May 9th there will be approx 2500 applicants sitting at 441 and above - thus with a 3500 draw we will take out 1000 applicants from 440 and below.

On May 9th there will be approximately 7400ppl between 431 and 440 in the pool. If we assume the distribution between this range is even we have about 740ppl sitting at each CRS score. Therefore based on 740ppl at 440CRS they will all be cleared and a further 260 people will be cleared on 439CRS (leaving about 500people on 439 score).

TLDR: My estimate is 439 cutoff for May 9th draw. But cutoff date will impact a lot of people with 439.

PS: I know the distribution will not be even like I have said, this is just an estimation for the fun of it. There is likely a lot of people sitting on 438 and 435 scores. So it is possible there is a lot less than 740 ppl sitting at 440 and 439, so perhaps we could even start nibbling away at 438 on the next draw.

In mid October 436 and above was cleared. So the 7000+ people sitting in the 431-440 region are mostly in below 436. I would say there are around 2500 profile in between 437-441 currently. Back to back will have massive impact on this range and if no back to back draw then still around 1000 of them will get removed in the next draw if it happens with 3500 ITAs.