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Ray of Hope - 88th Draw

daman__hayer

Full Member
Apr 25, 2018
21
1
guys im at 441 i sended my profile on 7th december est 10:30 pm i recevied the email on 8th that your profile is active from 8th december. will i receive an ITA
 

tims88

Newbie
Apr 4, 2018
8
2
You can check your account now. The msgs usually come at night.
What should I look for ? I dont find anything in my account
Have I been invited to apply? still says "You do not have an invitation to apply at this time."
 

viprewind

Star Member
May 3, 2015
98
65
Canada
Category........
CEC
Visa Office......
Ottawa
NOC Code......
1254
App. Filed.......
23-05-2018
Doc's Request.
NA
Nomination.....
NA
AOR Received.
23-05-2018
IELTS Request
NA
File Transfer...
NA
Med's Request
NA
Med's Done....
NA
Interview........
NA
Passport Req..
13-07-2018
VISA ISSUED...
18-07-2018
LANDED..........
21-07-2018
  • Like
Reactions: Vivu

keyur sharma

Hero Member
Dec 3, 2016
676
190
34
Barrie
Category........
CEC
Job Offer........
Yes
Pre-Assessed..
Yes
App. Filed.......
1/07/2017
Doc's Request.
12/08/2017
Nomination.....
12/07/2017
AOR Received.
12/08/2017
IELTS Request
31/05/2017
Med's Request
12/08/2017
Med's Done....
12/09/2017
Passport Req..
26/10/2017
VISA ISSUED...
29/11/2017
LANDED..........
30/11/2017
In how much time you got your PPR. Please share your timeline
26 October PPR
27th passport sent
29th November passport recived
30th November Border crossed
24 th jan PR CARD
 

alexross

Hero Member
Jan 11, 2018
413
321
Calculations I have done on net new applicants entering the pool at different CRS point levels, based on the CRS pool distributions:

From oct 26th to Nov 9th (2017):
above 440: 171 per day
above 430: 239 per day
above 410: 272 per day

From Nov 9th to Nov 30th:
above 440:174 per day
above 430:213 per day
above 410:237 per day

Nov 30th to Dec 18th:
above 440:171 per day
above 430:197 per day
above 410:215 per day

Dec 18th (2017) to Jan 4th (2018)
above 440:161 per day
above 430:195 per day
above 410:211 per day

Jan 4th to Jan 18th:
above 440:163 per day
above 430:193 per day
above 410:221 per day

from Jan 18th to Feb 1st:
above 440:186 per day
above 430:216 per day
above 410:258 per day

From Feb 1st to Feb 15th:
above 440:227 per day
above 430:257 per day
above 410:278 per day

From Feb 15th to Mar 8th:
above 440:226 per day
above 430:261 per day
above 410:279 per day

From Mar 8th to Mar 20th:
above 440:181 per day
above 430:226 per day
above 410:252 per day

From Mar 20th to Apr 4th:
above 440:196 per day
above 430:216 per day
above 410:235 per day

From April 4th to April 19th
above 440:163 per day
above 430:187 per day
above 410:213 per day

For those interested in how the calculations are done, here is a sample:
For example, lets take calculation for above 440 from Dec 18th to Jan 4th:
All those with CRS points 440 and above on Jan 4th= 233+1374+1274=2881
All those with CRS points 440 and above on Dec 18th=420+1211+1260=2891
We know that the Jan 4th value is = Dec 18th value + net entrants into pool (i.e new entrants - expired entries) - ITAs from Dec 20th
2881=2891 + net entrants - 2750
2881-2891+2750=net entrants
So we have net entrants between Jan 4th and Dec 18th with crs above 440 = 2740
Therefore we have average entrants per day above 440 between Jan 4th and Dec 18th= 2740/17=161

The values listed are cumulative:
above 430=(430 to 440) + above 440.
so if you want only 430 to 440 per day you can calculate that by subtracting above 440 from above 430 value.
i.e) people entering the pool with score between 430 to 440 from feb 15th to march 8th would be 261-226=35 per day
 

Mhh40

Full Member
Apr 25, 2018
20
2
Hi All,
Please check my logic here.
Draw #78 Lowest CRS score 439. And tie break is Oct, 19 , 2017.
( Meaning anything above 439 on Oct,19,2017 has been invited correct ?).

But...
Draw #83 lowest CRS score 442. And tie break is May,29, 2017.
( what about draw #78 ???)

I'm concluding that some exceptions exsit. Draw system is not so mechanical or... any inputs?