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Ray of Hope - 83rd Draw

Contactnisha

Hero Member
Jul 15, 2017
266
395
thanks mate,
we are sitting at 439 with my spouse due her ielts test.
what do you suggest, shall i go for nomination or wait for CRS to get down to 439?
i am gonna loose 5 points of age in april mid
I think just wait for 2 draws, if cutoff is getting lower u would get direct ita in 3 draws. But if the cutoff remains same or +1 don't step back.
Take the pnp route.
 

keyur sharma

Hero Member
Dec 3, 2016
676
190
34
Barrie
Category........
CEC
Job Offer........
Yes
Pre-Assessed..
Yes
App. Filed.......
1/07/2017
Doc's Request.
12/08/2017
Nomination.....
12/07/2017
AOR Received.
12/08/2017
IELTS Request
31/05/2017
Med's Request
12/08/2017
Med's Done....
12/09/2017
Passport Req..
26/10/2017
VISA ISSUED...
29/11/2017
LANDED..........
30/11/2017
Hey guys all the best

My prediction
Date:- 02/07/2018
ITA:- 2750
Cut off:- 438-441
 
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krishkumar7

Full Member
Nov 17, 2017
43
21
india
Hi guys

Keeping the score distribution of 18th Jan and the crs cut off of 444 in mind, today's score doesn't seem to be going anywhere below 444-442.
Only frequent draws and higher number of invitation can do the trick. Moreover the fact that I read many of the IELTS scores were postponed can result in many more profiles joining the pool in the coming few draws. I wish CIC surprises us with 3500 invitations! All the while, with the frequently changing number of invitation kept us going and expecting something good. But ever since we are stuck on the number 2750, there is no excitement whatsoever.
 

Ayesha Fawad

Newbie
Aug 3, 2017
2
2
Hey all...I have 2yrs of work experience and added this to my profile to claim crs of 435...However my first job I was paid in cash..And to simplify complications I want to remove the first job exp...I see that my score is still 435..
But the problem is I have already received noi from Ontario so if I make any change to my profile without changing crs is it goin to affect the noi? can somebody pls help me.
 

abhishek_89

Champion Member
Feb 9, 2017
1,621
3,038
Toronto, Canada
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
2173
App. Filed.......
26-05-2017
AOR Received.
26-05-2017
Med's Done....
22-05-2017
Passport Req..
24-07-2017
VISA ISSUED...
04-08-2017
LANDED..........
16-03-2018
Around CRS 442 if draw happens today with 2750 ITAs.
Assuming ITAs issued in each draw stays constant @ 2750 and draws happen every 2 weeks, the February and March CRS cut offs could be somewhat like below (assuming current average intake continues):
Feb 7 - CRS 442
Feb 21 - CRS 440/441
Mar 7 - CRS 439/440
Mar 21 - CRS 438/439


The above predictions become void in the below 2 scenarios:
1) If number of ITAs issued in each draw increases/decreases from the current threshold of 2750.
2) If the gap between consecutive draws are more/less than 2 weeks.


Disclaimer: I have no insider information and all these are predictions based on multiple variables and the average intake data I am using is based on pool composition from Nov 2017 till Jan 2018. So, using these predictions for decisions regarding applying for OINP, etc. should be your own responsibility and I am not responsible for your decision.
 

Hassan.Fahm

Hero Member
Feb 15, 2015
205
190
Oman
Category........
FSW
Visa Office......
Islamabad
NOC Code......
3111
App. Filed.......
15-11-2017
Nomination.....
none
IELTS Request
R 9.0, L 8.5, S 7, W 7.5
VISA ISSUED...
11-11-2018
LANDED..........
26-01-2019
Have you seen a difference in CIC Calculated score and what the EE profile shows? I see 442 on EE Profile but the calculator showed 441. I'm pretty sure I didn't make any mistake while creating the profile. Don't want to screw things up.
I had the same issue but other way round.
 

Varunaimar

Hero Member
Jan 25, 2018
718
419
India
Category........
FSW
Visa Office......
Ottawa
NOC Code......
2132
App. Filed.......
18-03-2018
AOR Received.
20-05-2018
IELTS Request
29-12-2017
Med's Done....
08-05-2018
Passport Req..
20-09-2018
VISA ISSUED...
04-10-2018
LANDED..........
26-04-2019
Assuming ITAs issued in each draw stays constant @ 2750 and draws happen every 2 weeks, the February and March CRS cut offs could be somewhat like below (assuming current average intake continues):
Feb 7 - CRS 442
Feb 21 - CRS 440/441
Mar 7 - CRS 439/440
Mar 21 - CRS 438/439


The above predictions become void in the below 2 scenarios:
1) If number of ITAs issued in each draw increases/decreases from the current threshold of 2750.
2) If the gap between consecutive draws are more/less than 2 weeks.


Disclaimer: I have no insider information and all these are predictions based on multiple variables and the average intake data I am using is based on pool composition from Nov 2017 till Jan 2018. So, using these predictions for decisions regarding applying for OINP, etc. should be your own responsibility and I am not responsible for your decision.
There are other factors that you may not be considering here. For example, the rate of new entrants into the pool has increased. There are also chances that those in CEC program increase their scores by increasing Canadian work experience. Not to mention those who have studied in Canada and are passing out this year... Too many variables.
 
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kulpsing

Star Member
Nov 19, 2015
69
7
guys, i was wondering how the number of 2750 ITAs limit with in 444 CRS points.
as per the data
601-1200 202
451-600 796
441-450 1,420
these slots total to 2418 only, still CRS cut off is 444.
can anyone explain the gap or correct me?
The data that you are looking at is till 18th January. So obviously, there are 6 days from 18th till the date of the last draw (24th). I hope that makes sense.