Ray of Hope 68th Draw

[AlliBatista]

How do you know if this standing rule is not applied yet...?
I'm at 441 and haven't received any confirmation message yet.

It takes up to 24h for the ITA to arrive.

When they apply the tie-breaker rule, their statement will say something like "All those who have CRS of at least 441 AND created a profile before June 1st are invited to apply".

 

[lucky07]

Anything yet....?

nope.. going to bed.. its already 1 Am here.. will see in the morning..

 

[Dinu_J]

nope.. going to bed.. its already 1 Am here.. will see in the morning..

Same here. I'm from Sri Lanka.
Hoping for the best.

 

[Saj_immigration]

Congrats to all who received ITA today.

We move on to the next ROH thread.

Hope floats...

 

[sacmanitin]

Predictions for when the crs is gonna come to 420-425?

I will do this for you soon ..but considering precedence , today's score flushed 1 less point 440 ,at this point ~141 candidate get added each week ~350 candidates are here today ( 3 weeks) ~600 candidates in next two week . So if the rest math remain same and below 440 if you have ~200 candidates at each point . Next draw will have 435 CRS on 17th Aug with 3116 ITA . Though I will give you more precise calculation soon .At present overwhelmed by the invite

 

[username1235]

My Job is in Predictive Analytics ..

I can definitely see that. Please keep the updates coming. Thanks again for your help!

 

[lucky07]

Going to bed.. All the best guys.. hope, you all will receive an ITA before i wake up.. and i hope same for me

 

[SuperSaiyanGod]

I got it

 

[pj8051]

Hi,
I am new in this thread. I have just got my ITA. Tomorrow i am gonna take my medical appointment.
I just want to know is there any chances of rejection due to weak eyesight.? I am using glasses and my no is - 1.75 for both eyes.

I am worried. Please help me. Thanks

 

[Dinu_J]

I got it

Congrats

 

[AlliBatista]

Hi,
I am new in this thread. I have just got my ITA. Tomorrow i am gonna take my medical appointment.
I just want to know is there any chances of rejection due to weak eyesight.? I am using glasses and my no is - 1.75 for both eyes.

I am worried. Please help me. Thanks

Nope, they don't check for that.

Here a testimony from a member of the forum:

"Medical examination consist of three parts:
1.History taking: about your present illness if any,past history of any disease or operation, any medication you are taking etc.
2.Physical examination: which include measuring your height,weight, blood pressure,pulse and other physical examination like chest examination,heart examination and abdominal examination.
3.Lab examination: Blood sample, urine sample and chest x ray.
Full body stripping is not required but varies from DMP to DMP."


By the way, I have astigmatism, -3.75 on each eye.

http://www.canadavisa.com/canada-im...threads/what-happens-in-a-medical-exam.22162/

 

[abhishek_89]

This doesn't look too off, I think you're close. Just curious, how did you calculate /estimate the number of invitations?

My prediction was 2 points off or 1 day off! Close enough though!
I calculate the intake to the pool per day at each CRS range and then multiply with the number of days between the draws.

 

[abhishek_89]

I have come up with the prediction for the 68th draw.

If it happens on:
Aug 2 - CRS 439 - ITAs 3200
Aug 3 - CRS 441 - ITAs 3200
Aug 4 - CRS 443 - ITAs 3200

The variance in the above calculation is +/- 3 CRS.

Please find below the CRS cut off on each date (in case the number of ITAs issued is more/less than 3200):

I predicted 3061 folks with CRS 441 and above today, but actuals were 3264. My predictions were almost accurate!

 

[Grudy]

Guys I have one question that I posted a thread about, but I thought I'd ask here too:

I complete my 3 years of experience at my current job on 15/09/2017 but CIC already granted me the points and we are still in August. Is this normal? This is because I received my ITA today unknowingly because I thought I still only had 2 years experience and I'm thinking about declining it for now just to be safe.

Any input on this matter would be appreciated.

 

[cnrp]

Let's go back to estimations.

If 68th draw take place today, it will make 16 days from the previous round.
If the draw take place on Wednesday it will make 21 days.

Data shows that less than 20 to 11 days between rounds would mean 4 to 9 point decrease in the lowest score. Less than 10 days between rounds could reflect as 10 to 20 points decrease. More than 20 days would mean an increase, between 1 to 7 points. If the distance between rounds is more than 25 days, the increase in the lowest score goes up dramatically, up to 30 points.

This is because of the education credentials process time which takes around 30 days and ielts general training tests which is twice a month.

I'd received many criticism for this but my regression analysis was spot on.

All in all, we need at least 4 rounds to go below 420 in 2 rounds per rounds scenario with -2 to -8 points in CRS each round.
However if we see 3 rounds within 30 days, at the end of the 3rd rounds CRS will go below 420 without any concern.

Good luck to all of my future neighbors.