20 long years yeah. Spent a placement year there during university in 1997 and have never stopped thinking about it. Only recently convinced my wife to make the move so here we are.
We should consider only 3 draws in May as the remaining 2 draws were limited to PNP and FSTP and the invites sent in both the draws combined was just around 500.
Hahaha. Oh thank you so much, i miss Irish people complaining about the weather lol. BTW i lived in Dublin for 7.5 years, so how ye, lol. It is not an easy decision to move to new location with family and kids, very expensive. Few days ago i read in irishtimes a couple with 3 kids had to spend more than 20k euros to relocate to Ireland. Very very expensive affair. But now that you have convinced your minister of house, lol, go all guns blazing. Keep in touch though, you are the first Irish fella i have talk to here20 long years yeah. Spend a placement year there during university in 1997 and have never stopped thinking about it. Only recently convinced my wife to make the move so here we are.
I am Irish, well Northern Irish. Another strong reason to get to Canada. I really don't want the kids growing up in Northern Ireland. Too much bigotry and sectarianism here. And let's not mention Irish weather!
Yes, I still believe it can go down to 380's or 390's range by the end of the year. If there are 3 Draws in July then scores will go down below 420 and in August below 410. After that Nominations from all provinces will already be used and therefore, we can expect a low number of new applicants above 450. This can lead to scores going down below 400 in October/November.
Just wanted to add, if the above happens (3 consecutive draws on the next 3 Wednesdays), be ready to witness the all time lowest CRS cut off on July 19th!
If draws are on 5, 12, 19 then it will have 4 consecutive draws as we already have one on 28th June.
Good analysis, but just wanted to add that the new applicants in the range of 450-600 would still be getting added to the pool throughout the year. Once the nominations from provinces stop, the applicants above 600 would be reducing.
It is my estimate that we have 16 more draws for this year and about 54,249 ITA's left (taking 40% declining rate), so we can expect the size of ITA's to be 3,391. Nevertheless, it can be lower or higher depending on CIC calculations. They will calculate it with following formula:
My rough calculation states the CRS cut off would fall by 17-18 points and reach 431 or 432, if the draw happens on July 5 with 3400 ITAs.
If this happens the CRS cut off would surely go below 400 this year. This gives a lot of hope for those awaiting ITA.
OINP Total Nomination quota is getting filled very quickly but ICT Quota is only 40% filled while other NOC's have already filled or have reached 90% Quota. To assure they give maximum Nominations to ICT Candidates they have dropped the limit to fill its quota. It doesn't seem to be linked to CIC and I think they might finish their Quota at the time when CIC will drop scores below 400. Let's see what the future holds.
At First I thought the same but the option is there for people who get the nomination from the Quebec (Certificat de sélection du Québec) and Quebec is not available in the EE profile creation but it will be there once you get the ITA.
