Ray of Hope 67th Draw

[raj2017]

None of the three. It is due to too much jinxing in our forum!!

totally agree, may be we are seeing this CRS high score bc of some kind of jinxing, negative pessimistic ppl

 

[Jaymin007]

Figure shows on website about nember of applicant as of 22nd july. Which means all those above 449 crs score applicant listed in that list has been selected in today's draw? Am i right ?

So there will be less number above 450 now. Only new applicant joining after this draw and who would have 450 crs score?

 

[gmchinchayan]

This is what I think (with the most peeimistic numbers)
July 5 420+/-2 with 3500 ITA
441-450 809+5% ~900
431-440 1082+6% ~1150
421-430 1172+7% ~1250
Total ~3300

I agree with this statement,

by the July 12-19 (2nd cut off) the cut off will aprox be 405-410 and 28th of July (3rd cut off) the points can be approx upper 390s

 

[astralsource]

Figure shows on website about nember of applicant as of 22nd july. Which means all those above 449 crs score applicant listed in that list has been selected in today's draw? Am i right ?

So there will be less number above 450 now. Only new applicant joining after this draw and who would have 450 crs score?

Right!! Good observing.

 

[CA_India]

Figure shows on website about nember of applicant as of 22nd july. Which means all those above 449 crs score applicant listed in that list has been selected in today's draw? Am i right ?

So there will be less number above 450 now. Only new applicant joining after this draw and who would have 450 crs score?

New applicants and old applicants who get the approved nominations.

 

[Lyssiej]

I think the fact they didn't do a tie-breaker is a good sign. I think it means they created it for those lower numbers where there are a LOT of people on each point. I still feel in my bones that CIC has taken June to get the infrastructure in place to get point values down to 400.

 

[Sandeep198511]

CRS + Per day application added 21 June Data Added application by 28th Total CRS standing before 28th draw Current CRS Data after 28th draw Per day * 6 June 5th Prediction (If there is draw) Sum of CRS after each section
600 17 355 101 456 0 101 101 101
450 106 2216 633 2849 0 633 633 735
441 39 809 231 1040 1040 231 1271 2006
431 52 1082 309 1391 1391 309 1700 3706
421 56 1172 335 1507 1506 335 1841 5547
411 94 1968 562 2530 2530 562 3092 8639

Lot of number crunching and voila 5th July CRS 435 +/- 5

 

[gmchinchayan]

I think the fact they didn't do a tie-breaker is a good sign. I think it means they created it for those lower numbers where there are a LOT of people on each point. I still feel in my bones that CIC has taken June to get the infrastructure in place to get point values down to 400.

yeah by what happened today based on the cutoff, I believe CIC is getting ready to accept those that are in the upper 390s by the end of next month if the trend is what we are all estimating it to be

 

[mqamar1994]

I so hope that be the case. Although highly doubtful but who know. I'm surprised by the odd 9 ITA. Correct me if i am wrong, but from what i read the number of ITAs' would only be in round figures. Am i missing anything?

I too thought the same mate. I Wonder why they showcased the tie breaker rule then

 

[raj2017]

You are spot-on. And, finally on 19th July - 407 and we are in!!

dude kindly keep it to 405 instead of 407 so that i can get in too and i am totally agree with the arunroy there will be draw next week and crs would be between 420 to 425 and this is very fair and square prediction, CIC should not mess with our prediction this time

 

[karthik.andhamil]

If a draw happens next week then then the score would drop to 425+/- 2...if the draw happens after 2 weeks then the score would around 442

I don't think another draw will happen next week. Most probably next month. Because we should also see the number of invitations they issue. When they used to draw every two weeks, the number was around 1500. But last month and this was 3500.

 

[mqamar1994]

My Prediction for next Wednesday is 437 +/- 2 as there are much lower new entrants than expected. By the end of July scores will get back to 420's.

I expect at least 3 Draws in July.

@KingKurly mate his stats are spot on always. Looks like CRS will go down eventually but it will take a bit more time than expected

 

[ankitptrivedi]

The 3409 ITA's issued today, are they out of the pool completely? Or only those who accept ITA before the next draw are out?

 

[BillHyatt]

There are only 1000 above 440. It should go decrease more?.

It can be the case but still the number of new applicants will also increase from now onwards.

 

[DBOR]

The 3409 ITA's issued today, are they out of the pool completely? Or only those who accept ITA before the next draw are out?

All out of the pool.. the ones that stay are the ones who decline the invitation.